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GEAB 125

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 May 2018

2018-2020 Financial Crisis: Turning a Dollar Rain into a Wealth Harvest

Apprehension goes hand-in-hand with financial matters. Last April, the alarmist IMF announcements predicted a huge crisis by 2020 linked to the level of global debt that ten years of ‘crisis management’ have not brought under control. Rather, US public debt has doubled in absolute terms (from $10,000 billion to $20,000 billion), the EU’s debt has increased from €8,000 billion to €12,000 billion, China has contributed 40% of the increase in world debt in 10 years, etc. In this context, financiers are worried about the tendency towards protectionist retreat which appears to be behind the announcements of US customs duties on steel and aluminium. But are we really on the edge of a new financial crash?

First of all, we remind you our constant warnings in the past year of the end of Quantitative Easing policies and the consequences of the accompanying end to easy money. We particularly anticipated a significant risk of corporate bankruptcies for 2018, including multinationals, which could cause significant shocks to global finance[1]. Hence, our readers are used to the current alerts.

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In summary

Following the removal of the last of the bolts imposed by the previous world order, and in line with our anticipations, vast amounts of until now restrained transforming energy are [...]

The Middle East looks as if it could flare up at any moment. Iran and Israel are now face-to-face for the first time. The Turkish regime is hardening and now [...]

The Middle Eastern mega-city project called NEOM that we have told you about in a previous issue is a real reason to hope. As mentioned last time, the Saudis would [...]

The revival of European dynamics, whatever they might be, depends largely on the restoration of relations with Russia. This has divided the European Union since 2014 and demonstrated how much [...]

Cryptocurrencies lie at the centre of many of the questions being asked by individuals, companies and market authorities, and therefore by nation states. Their position within the economic environment is [...]

The future is filled with the factual data on which we base the anticipations that inform our decisions. That's why, on a quarterly basis, our team shares with the GEAB [...]

- Oil – don’t count on it! - The dollar – deals to make? - Gold – not like the rest - Loans – urge you on! - Savings – [...]

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