October 2017-March 2019: Theresa May resigns in favour of Philip Hammond and the Brexit negotiations are extended

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Following the publication of Boris Johnson’s articles, Philip Hammond, the Chancellor of the Exchequer (Finance Minister), a defender of the Remain camp and fervent supporter of May, did not hesitate to warn Johnson, by stating “no one is unsackable”. Several British newspapers announced then a reorganisation within the British government, allowing May to show Boris Johnson the door[1].

Currently, the Prime Minister has four options:

– The status quo: to negotiate under the current conditions by keeping Johnson and risking the “no deal” trail.

– Resign and organise new Conservative Party elections within the Westminster Chamber to appoint a new Prime Minister

– Dismiss Boris Johnson, at the risk of seeing the latter organise a non-confidence vote in the assembly (minimum 48 deputies needed) automatically inducing a parliamentary vote to elect a new prime minister.

– Dissolve the House of Commons, at the risk of seeing her charismatic rival, the Labor Party’s Jeremy Corbyn, impressively rising in the polls, taking her place.

The status quo option seems impossible as long as negotiations are stalled. The dissolution of the chamber is totally irrelevant because for the Conservatives the maintenance of their parliamentary majority is at stake. So there are two choices remaining: Theresa May’s exit or leave…

Read the entire report in the GEAB 118 / Oct 2017

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[1]Source: The Independant, 08/10/2017