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Insurance sector: Questioning of the economic model

Everyone remembers the images picturing floods, hail storms, mudslides, tornadoes and other disasters that have swept Europe, Germany, France, and Belgium recently, but also those of other continents (America, Australia, and Canada, where huge fires are still raging in Alberta). The estimated damage is reported to be in billions of Euros: 1.4 billion estimated in […]

Political Anticipation and Networks – Creating Anticipatory Systems for Government and Society

LEAP, whose method of political anticipation was invented by Franck Biancheri, and applied every month in the GEAB, is honoured to have been invited to contribute a 20-page chapter in an international scientific publication on Cognitive Systems entitled « Anticipation across Disciplines », edited by world famous anticipation expert, Prof Mihai Nadin (Springer, 2015)… . Investments, trends […]

2016 : The year of India… and the last chance for an organized systemic global transition

When LEAP launched the GEAB in January 2006 with the object of describing a “global systemic crisis” in the making, one of its aims was to help raise awareness amongst Europeans of the US’ weakness and of the opportunity which then existed to complete the continent’s independence process. This objective was not only motivated by […]

EU/UK/US – Union, Dislocation, Reinvention: The Great Systemic Transformation of the West

  For the fourth consecutive month, accompanied by all the usual precautions, our team continues to believe that the crisis’ peak is now behind us. It’s clear that two photos taken five minutes before and five minutes after this peak can be identical. On the other hand the film isn’t comparable; it’s that the perspective […]

Real estate: watch your step

The various quantitative easings, or other political stimuli and support for real estate, have prevented real estate prices to collapse as they should have done in the turmoil of the global systemic crisis. We say: “as they should have done”, because it was the only way of finally balancing delusional bubbles… Investments, trends and recommendations […]

(Geo-) political anticipation: why Europe must plan ahead positively for tomorrow’s multi-polar, open and fluid world

Where must the EU’s boundaries stop? We often hear this question, but is it still relevant? The will to eventually integrate the Ukraine in the Union is one of the origins of the current crisis with Russia. The issue of reinforcing economic ties with the Ukraine should never have been a problem, however, except that […]

Investments, trends and recommendations

. Invest in expanding one’s business on the Internet . And if the time of public investment returned… . A profession of the future: deconstruction . Digital currencies based on gold We never overestimate enough the magnitude and importance of the internet revolution – that some even call the third industrial revolution. Whether it is […]

NATO, QE, Siriza, the Ukraine, Israel: Highways towards « tomorrow’s world » on the horizon

The terrible 2014 Ukrainian crisis should be understood as an absolute limit beyond which the “world before” disappears no matter what. It will either disappear in the chaos and radicalization of the system which, in doing so, will cease to be itself, or it will disappear by opening up to the new characteristics of the […]

First half of 2015 – Oil, the Middle East, Charlie Hebdo… Last resilience tests of the Western “model”: commit suicide or adapt

In the absence of a Europe able to indicate the true ways of the future[1], the « world before »[2] is hardening, locked into its “serious thinking” ideologies (ideologies are always “serious thinking”, moreover) and repeat the recipes of the past ad nauseam. In doing so, the “world afterwards” is finding itself transformed: it will be […]

Global systemic crisis 2015 – Oil, currencies, finance, societies, the Middle East : Massive storm in the Western port!

For almost two years, by combining various points of view (speculative, geopolitical, technological, economic, strategic and monetary…), we have continued to anticipate a major crisis in the entire oil sector. Today, no one doubts the fact that we are actually at that point, and the GEAB must therefore anticipate the consequences of this veritable atomic […]

November 2006: beginning of the phase of impact of the global systemic crisis

Last May, in the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin N°5, LEAP/E2020 had detailed the four phases of the global systemic crisis, indicating that the phase known as of acceleration would start in June and would be spread out over a period of a maximum six months at which stage, the explosive phase of the crisis, the […]

September 2006: IMF confirms LEAP/E2020’s anticipations on Global Systemic Crisis

While LEAP/E2020 publishes the present GEAB issue, continuing its work of anticipation of a global systemic crisis, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) publishes two reports which confirm the forecasts released by LEAP/E2020 throughout the year. In these two reports, the IMF draws a disturbing picture of the risks weighing over the global economy. It analyses and […]

June 2006 – Beginning of phase 2 of the global systemic crisis: the phase of acceleration

Last February, LEAP/E2020 anticipated that a global systemic crisis was to be triggered at the end of March. Today, three months later, LEAP/E2020  can anticipate that the initial phase of this crisis is about to be finished and that, as soon as the beginning of June 2006, the crisis will enter a phase of acceleration. […]