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Investments, trends and recommendations (Nov)

Eurozone: State bankruptcies on the horizon? Stagflation, recession, rising credit costs, unemployment… the negative signals are multiplying for the eurozone economies. As the end of the year approaches, these indicators are going to hit the headlines and it is going to become increasingly complicated for governments to put on a brave face. The direct consequence […]

Monetary geopolitics: libra vs e-yuan

The immense stagnation of a eurozone trapped in a crumbling EU has caused many missouts. But two game-changers are shaking the monetary union from its lethargy. We are speaking of: Facebook’s announcement of the launch of its virtual currency, the libra, which has created panic among state officials and, at least for the time being, […]

Digital Euro: From Eurozone to Eurozon.com 

We have been anticipating the arrival of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) for a year.[1] And it was Christine Lagarde’s speeches at the IMF last November, in particular, that encouraged us to do so. Inevitably, Christine Lagarde’s appointment as head of the ECB indicates that this type of agenda is likely to be accelerated in […]

Coming soon, the GEAB 139 (November issue). Synopsis

Social unrest is beginning to be perceived by the financial markets and economy as a possible trigger for the famous 2020 crisis: Demonstrations, increased public debt, budgetary crises, the redirection of debt from private to public, austerity, loss of confidence of economic and financial players, bankruptcies etc… In a context of economic slowdown, rising discontent […]

Eurozone: The banking union as a solution

From a budgetary point of view, this compromise can only lead to a kind of status quo. The institutional architecture will stay close to that drafted by the 2011-2013 reforms that were based on unilateral recoveries in competitiveness. All transfers between states will be conditioned and will do nothing to help rebalance the eurozone. They will […]

September 2017 – Euro crisis: The ECB loses its independence

The post-Brexit Europe does not need the extreme right-wings, it is already lining up with the national-European model proposed by the British. The antagonism between European and national levels, which has dramatically increased within the crisis, due to a lack of democratic anchoring at the European level, has led in just 6 months to a […]

Germany: An Arrhythmia at the Heart of Europe

We anticipate that this European state will face several economic, cultural and political difficulties this year and next. First, the rise of the euro will hurt German exports; the stabilisation of oil prices prohibits the oxygen balloon effect of prices declines of 2015; failure of the migrant strategy puts Germany face to face with all […]

Eurozone – Sovereign Bonds Backed Securities: Possible precedent or alternative for the EuroBonds?

To strengthen the eurozone, the European Commission has just launched the idea of creating products backed by European sovereign debt, a proposal which could be more an alternative than a precedent for the Eurobonds. On May 31, 2017, the European Commission presented its analysis on the “deepening of the Economic and Monetary Union”[1], which had […]