Category: geab
The head of the Mexican army will not permit international experts to interrogate his troops over allegations they may have been involved in the apparent massacre of 43 students last year, and rejects any suggestion they may have been involved. Modal TriggerGen. Salvador Cienfuegos Zepeda (from left), Mexican President Enrique Pena Nieto and Secretary of […]
Continuing its in-depth analysis of the consequences of the end of the world order which had been the legacy of WWII, LEAP/E2020 started several months ago a strategic reflexion on the future of Israel. In this number 7 of the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin, our teams present the two major options which, according to our […]
Riga, November 28-29, 2006 – The upcoming NATO summit, which chose to take place on former soviet soil in order to symbolize the success of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, is likely to be remembered as the Summit where two opposite trends thrust the Alliance into the ongoing global systemic crisis, and as the symbol […]
A systemic crisis, especially a global one, is not a sudden process. It is on the contrary a progressive phenomenon that can be anticipated through the analysis of certain indicators that reveal growing weakness in the international financial system, ruptures of sub-systems and attempts by some strategic players to manipulate or conceal the main indicators. […]
M3 is the decisive factor … As illustrated by most of the 9 indicators described in this third issue, the past weeks have confirmed how decisive the US Federal Reserve’s decision is to stop reporting M3 on March 23, 2006. We are now convinced that this decision portends a period of accelerated money-printing by the […]
The crisis anticipated for the end of March 2006 will provide a serious test for Euroland and will determine whether the Euro is sustainable or not. The significant fall of the Dollar will automatically induce a strong upward pressure on the Euro against this currency, and against others linked to the Dollar (the Chinese currency […]
The American and Iranian decisions coming into effect the week of March 20-26, 2006 will catalyse seven sectoral crises into a total crisis, affecting the whole planet in the political, economic, financial and probably military fields: loss of confidence in the Dollar, explosion of the US financial imbalances, oil crisis, end of the US leadership, […]
We estimate to over 80% the probability that the week of March 20-26, 2006 will be the beginning of the most significant political crisis the world has known since the Fall of the Iron Curtain in 1989, accompanied by an economic and financial crisis of a scope comparable with that of 1929. This last week […]
In this beginning of 2006, the project of constitutional treaty is still at the centre of most EU discussions. Does this mean that the process of ratification is being rejuvenated or is it the sign of a profound deadlock in which the EU institutions and political leaders are stuck? What course will follow the EU […]