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Strategic recommendation: remain covered Even though this GEAB bulletin is optimistic and sees the end of the transition tunnel focused on peace in the Middle East, we shall keep our warning of the last two months: remain covered until the end of the year! We are in the middle of a global geopolitical reconfiguration era, […]

China’s decision to introduce in 2018 the gold-convertible petro-gazo-Yuan currency is an important step in the process of internationalisation of the Yuan. It confirms the will of Beijing (asserted for a decade already) to impose the Renminbi (official name of the Chinese currency) as new global reference currency. In October 2016 the IMF decided to […]

Bitcoin: in and out Whilst maintaining our recommendation to be extremely cautious on Bitcoin, we suggest to those who wish to test it one simple method: buy an amount of Bitcoins which you are ready to lose and resell it as soon as it reaches the value you have previously targeted; take another amount you […]

– European Automobile Industry – The long and winding road
– GM – LOL
– General Electric – Will it fail or not?
– Oil: Seesawing to its death
– Financial market: Ashes to ashes, junk to junk
– Investments – Where does the money go? 
Convinced that the emissions scandal is now behind it, the German automobile industry is ready to restart. VW (Volkswagen), for instance, lined up 440,000 vehicles in October (compared to the 310,000 last August). But two markets are about to escape VW – and not the least important …

Our readers know what the dollar is becoming – a currency like any other. Also, they will not be surprised to learn that  oil is following the same path and becoming a source of energy like any other. First, have a look at the following graphs of global energy and oil consumption; one from the […]

The Food Blockchain Waste, traceability requirements, increased food risks, decentralised production, the costs of this global food-industry, consumer prices: Consumers and industry players are becoming increasingly demanding about transparency within the agri-food sector, the origin and composition of products and the processes involved in their transformation. Manufacturers, producers, suppliers, distributors and consumers: We are living […]

Ten years after the Lehman Brothers collapse, the fear of another major financial crisis hasn’t totally disappeared. In a recent forum, Nouriel Roubini, one of the economists who had anticipated the 2007-2008 crisis, announced for 2020 the possibility of a new financial crisis, plunging the global economy into recession. For him, all the ingredients of […]

 We hereby inaugurate a series of articles by the title « Changing paradigm » aimed at anticipating the different economic and political models that are emerging on the horizon of the new multipolar world, their expansion processes and modes of interaction. Introduction: the scene is set The election of President Trump was clearly an important expression of […]

The millions of dollars dumped in South America by evangelical churches have brought the eighth world economic power (Brazil) into their hands, knowing that the first (the US) is already conquered. In Africa, it is the Pentecostals who spread their hatred of others and try to place their aficionados inside the governments. The sixth world […]

We are free to be cynic whilst looking ahead to our future and anticipating. When new situations occur, we must not hesitate to analyse them thoroughly and try to extract unexpected advantages from them, no matter how politically incorrect it might be. If we use this approach when analysing the future of oceans, we can […]

– Oil: Bottom down – Businesses: beware of bankruptcies galore – Businesses: beware of bankruptcies galore – Bitcoin and cryptocurrency: everything is under control – Precious metals, safe assets Oil: Bottom down  The US announcements of oil production effect (we moved overnight from the ‘explosion of production’ to ‘less than expected production’[1]) have resulted in […]

In this short column, we are discussing, in the form of brief alerts, several risks that our bulletin cannot develop further, but concerning which we want, nevertheless, to warn our readers. Syria once again  The American camp seemed to be failing for some time, leaving the way open to the Russian camp to calm the […]

– ICOs: Be agile, but well informed – NEOM: The key to a new Middle East citizenship? – Oil: Beware of dollar fluctuations – European arms industry: All the way, with military QE ahead ICOs: Be agile, but well informed As we have seen in this issue of the GEAB, ICOs (Initial Coin Offerings) allow […]

No one needs expensive oil[1] and we anticipate that oil prices are about to drop significantly and sustainably in the coming months. Read on for the reasons behind this anticipation. OPEC stops controlling oil production Since the main topic of this GEAB number is the dissolving of supranational systems, we will start with the anticipation […]

As we all know, Donald Trump kicked off the reinvention of trade relationships by imposing customs barriers on steel and aluminium.  In addition to the duty of protecting this industry and the jobs connected with it, he was motivated by the strategic nature of this sector which is intrinsically linked to the army. Economy, employment, […]

We have been anticipating for many months a political takeover by the national level all over the world. This takeover has emerged as a necessity linked to the structural incapacity of supranational levels of governance (patiently put in place during the second half of the twentieth century) to trigger the reforms imposed by the huge […]

– Oil / Gas: Good news for the producing countries – Iran: Not much longer – Frontier markets: Opportunities in sight Oil / Gas: Good news for the producing countries The announcements about attacks on Syria, followed by the trilateral US-GB-FR attack itself, have raised bench mark oil prices to their highest in the last […]

Saudi Arabia has recently sent a significant signal concerning the establishment of a ‘New Middle East’, perfectly in line with all our anticipations for this world region. Let’s take a look at this move. At the beginning of March, Mohammed Ben Salman (aka MBS) visited Egypt as part of his first official visit abroad since […]