Category: Archives
The recent choice by American voters, who have violently rejected the policy followed for six years, is nothing other than a loud cry for help. As much as Iraq, the economic and social questions, and the rejection of corruption in Washington, determined the choice of the voters. This question of corruption is a significant indicator […]
The American mid-term elections have now passed and, only a week later, as announced by LEAP/E2020 in GEAB N°8 of last October 15, the “euphorisation” of US voters/consumers and world financial players seems to have already passed wit them. The development process of the global systemic crisis has resumed its course, artificially stopped last July […]
Last May, in the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin N°5, LEAP/E2020 had detailed the four phases of the global systemic crisis, indicating that the phase known as of acceleration would start in June and would be spread out over a period of a maximum six months at which stage, the explosive phase of the crisis, the […]
Continuing its in-depth analysis of the consequences of the end of the world order which had been the legacy of WWII, LEAP/E2020 started several months ago a strategic reflexion on the future of Israel. In this number 7 of the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin, our teams present the two major options which, according to our […]
Firstly, LEAP/E2020 confirms the crisis is still accelerating and should last from June to November 2006, as we had already announced last May. In addition, our teams can now anticipate more precisely two essential developments: the continuing of the fall of the Dollar compared to the Euro, with a new acceleration by the end of […]
While LEAP/E2020 publishes the present GEAB issue, continuing its work of anticipation of a global systemic crisis, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) publishes two reports which confirm the forecasts released by LEAP/E2020 throughout the year. In these two reports, the IMF draws a disturbing picture of the risks weighing over the global economy. It analyses and […]
The increasing difficulties of the process of Turkey entering the European Union contrasts with the progressive entry “piece by piece” of the former Yugoslavia (Slovenia is already a member and Croatia is starting its integration process while proposals to integrate the other Balkan countries multiply). This contrast is all the more striking if one compares […]
On May 15, 2006, in GEAB N°5, LEAP/E2020 announced that phase II of the global systemic crisis – the so called « acceleration phase » – would start in June 2006 and that it would be characterised by a general awareness of the existence of such a global systemic crisis. The strong and ongoing fall […]
During the first semester of 2007, two major events for the EU will combine. In fact, European authorities believe that that semester will be key in re-launching the broken down EU: on the one hand, the French presidential election, and on the other hand, the German presidency of the EU. However LEAP/E2020 anticipates that the […]
LEAP/E2020 anticipates that the loss of confidence sector by sector will converge in June 2006, and tend to generalise in each sector, resulting in an acceleration of the crisis. The acceleration will occur over a period of three to six months and have seven major consequences. Consequence N°1 – Accelerated decline of the US-Dollar Since […]
Last February, LEAP/E2020 anticipated that a global systemic crisis was to be triggered at the end of March. Today, three months later, LEAP/E2020 can anticipate that the initial phase of this crisis is about to be finished and that, as soon as the beginning of June 2006, the crisis will enter a phase of acceleration. […]
2006, a decisive year for the Joint Strike Fighter, or the aeronautic equivalent of the invasion of Iraq. The US attempt to impose the F35, Joint Strike Fighter (JSF) – the « 21st-century air-fighter », to their allies is one of the thorniest problems NATO must solve by autumn 2006. Born in the mid-90s, amidst […]
Riga, November 28-29, 2006 – The upcoming NATO summit, which chose to take place on former soviet soil in order to symbolize the success of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, is likely to be remembered as the Summit where two opposite trends thrust the Alliance into the ongoing global systemic crisis, and as the symbol […]
A systemic crisis, especially a global one, is not a sudden process. It is on the contrary a progressive phenomenon that can be anticipated through the analysis of certain indicators that reveal growing weakness in the international financial system, ruptures of sub-systems and attempts by some strategic players to manipulate or conceal the main indicators. […]
M3 is the decisive factor … As illustrated by most of the 9 indicators described in this third issue, the past weeks have confirmed how decisive the US Federal Reserve’s decision is to stop reporting M3 on March 23, 2006. We are now convinced that this decision portends a period of accelerated money-printing by the […]
The crisis anticipated for the end of March 2006 will provide a serious test for Euroland and will determine whether the Euro is sustainable or not. The significant fall of the Dollar will automatically induce a strong upward pressure on the Euro against this currency, and against others linked to the Dollar (the Chinese currency […]
The American and Iranian decisions coming into effect the week of March 20-26, 2006 will catalyse seven sectoral crises into a total crisis, affecting the whole planet in the political, economic, financial and probably military fields: loss of confidence in the Dollar, explosion of the US financial imbalances, oil crisis, end of the US leadership, […]
We estimate to over 80% the probability that the week of March 20-26, 2006 will be the beginning of the most significant political crisis the world has known since the Fall of the Iron Curtain in 1989, accompanied by an economic and financial crisis of a scope comparable with that of 1929. This last week […]