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Web3: Meta is not the future of metaverse

Between the film Ready Player One and the thunderous announcements of Facebook’s name change to Meta, the obedient public of the future (that we are) could end up imagining a soon-to-be scenario where we would all be connected 24/24 through 3D headphones, locked in Mr Zuckerberg’s Metaverse, circulating under the Meta label from our job […]

Editorial: We declare the GEAB is of public utility!

Dear readers, A new year is beginning, the sixteenth anniversary of the GEAB, and the team believes that the bulletin should now be declared of public utility. At a time when mental health is faltering throughout the West, under the new shock of societal transformation causing loss of bearings and meaning, the GEAB seems to […]

Germany’s Map for 2022-2025: A Multipolar Government for a Multipolar World

In Germany, three parties have just successfully created a new government in record time through the signing of a coalition treaty[1] and the election of Scholz by the Bundestag. Our team wishes to share a selection of highlights from this 177-page text as they are formulated. Indeed it is an important “brick of the future” […]

Future Briefs: World Politics 2022 – The de-populist wave continues

As you may have noticed, the last “populists” on the planet are all in trouble. They are no longer in fashion obviously. The new generations propelled to the forefront of post-Covid shock societies do not recognise themselves in the populists. Opposition is better organised. This is what we said two months ago about Eastern Europe, […]

New Space 2025: When space dreams collide with terrestrial realities

Elon Musk has just been named Man of the year.[1] Yet the SpaceX empire faces a new threat: a technological disruption. His promises have become a global communication success, reaching right up to the highest levels of power. However, they come up against technical reality, like any promise of innovation. Space is Hard: it applies […]

Global Economy 2022: What if growth is not forthcoming…

The IMF has already started to revise downwards its 2021 growth projections: for the US (from 7 to 6%)[1], Asia (from 7.6 to 6.5%)[2], the Eurozone (from 5.4 to 5%)[3], and the world (from 6 to 5.9%).[4] As seen in our article on the central banks, the Western financial administration is bent on continuing unconventional […]

Global humanitarian crisis: Europe at the epicentre of a world war (again)

The First World War was the result of unsurpassable alliances that have become anachronistic. The alliance with America is both outdated and unsurpassable in the 21st century: outdated because the world needs all its actors to work together to solve the immense challenges of the 21st century; unsurpassable because of the series of alliances. The […]

Global Political Agenda: The major events of the next 3 months

Our team is always impressed by the broad vision provided by this exercise in exploring the future of the upcoming major political events. Whilst checking the following elections in Africa, South America and Eastern Europe in particular, we are struck by the gigantic wave of transformation sweeping or about to sweep the global political scene. […]

Game-changer 2024: Towards a break in NATO’s nuclear sharing

In 2024, the German military fighter planes that guarantee the country’s role in NATO’s nuclear sharing will be outdated. If this equipment is not replaced, Germany will no longer be able to host US nuclear weapons on its soil. This would be a major break in the transatlantic defence cooperation. Nuclear sharing is one of […]

The China-AUKUS war will not happen

The new military alliance between Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States (AUKUS) illustrates nothing more than a reheating of the Cold War between China and the West. In this barely concealed confrontation, blocs are beginning to take shape: in the West, an Anglo-Saxon bloc in the midst of an attempt to recompose itself […]

United States 2022 – Who will benefit from the trillions in the Infrastructure Deal?

To avoid the collapse of the dollar, Biden (as well as Trump before him) is betting on a Keynesian plan to rebuild the country’s infrastructure and social and health care system, designed to bring the billions of foreign investments flowing around the world back to America. To do this, the White House, Congress and the […]

United States, Europe, Muslim World, Mafias 2040: The domino effects of the US withdrawal from Afghanistan

In Afghanistan, the Taliban are back in power and history is picking up where it left off exactly 20 years ago. However, those 20 years of Afghanistan’s mire have occurred, changing the course history would have taken. Wars, terrorism, destruction, displacement, new players, … the whole world had to rush to the bedside of a […]

The “traditional” family in 2040: marrying freedom with stability

The traditional family model has been changing dramatically over the past few decades. Originally (until only a few decades or years ago[1]), family was defined as a lasting union (marriage) between a man and a woman with the intention of procreation. However, expanding personal freedoms of the constitutive parts of the family has resulted in […]

Sexuality 21 – And Sex Became Art…

The differentiation between sex and reproduction, characteristic of human beings, is not new. Indeed, if humans have learned to control their fertility, they have never been fully able to control their sexual impulses… We can even consider that the more they have tried to control them, the more “bizarre” they have become from nature’s point […]

España 2050 Strategy Paper – A broken promise

The Espana 2050[1] project, presented by the Sanchez government on the 20th of May, brings together, in the form of 9 challenges, 50 objectives and 200 proposals,[2] a set of reform measures in the fields of education, healthcare, taxes, employment, pensions and environment, setting out the framework for a 30-year national strategy for Spain.[3] Produced […]

Global political scene 2021-2025: Welcome to the “tech-politics” era

Trump was the seal of the populists’ era born in the wake of the gigantic crises of the last decade: Putin, Erdogan, Trump, Bolsonaro, Johnson… More fear than harm in the end. Yet, a new era is beginning, the nature of which Israel has just indicated, as anticipated by us: the techno-radicals are here. Enough […]

Very Big Systemic Trend – Demographics, the mother of change

Demographics are the “mother of change”. Indeed, the successive resizing of the global population is at the origin of the imperatives to transform the political-techno-economic systems that organise the human community. For example, the Industrial Revolution created an era of shared prosperity which represented social progress in its early stages (allowing a very primitive and […]

A timeline of the UK trade negotiations

The concept of Global Britain was formulated in the early months following the 2016 referendum on the UK’s decision to exit the EU. Theresa May and her teams have been using it as an umbrella term for the country’s aspirations to strengthen its global (and European) influence once separated from the 27 member states. In […]