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Global Political Agenda: The major events of the next 3 months

Our team is always impressed by the broad vision provided by this exercise in exploring the future of the upcoming major political events. Whilst checking the following elections in Africa, South America and Eastern Europe in particular, we are struck by the gigantic wave of transformation sweeping or about to sweep the global political scene. […]

Game-changer 2024: Towards a break in NATO’s nuclear sharing

In 2024, the German military fighter planes that guarantee the country’s role in NATO’s nuclear sharing will be outdated. If this equipment is not replaced, Germany will no longer be able to host US nuclear weapons on its soil. This would be a major break in the transatlantic defence cooperation. Nuclear sharing is one of […]

The China-AUKUS war will not happen

The new military alliance between Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States (AUKUS) illustrates nothing more than a reheating of the Cold War between China and the West. In this barely concealed confrontation, blocs are beginning to take shape: in the West, an Anglo-Saxon bloc in the midst of an attempt to recompose itself […]

United States 2022 – Who will benefit from the trillions in the Infrastructure Deal?

To avoid the collapse of the dollar, Biden (as well as Trump before him) is betting on a Keynesian plan to rebuild the country’s infrastructure and social and health care system, designed to bring the billions of foreign investments flowing around the world back to America. To do this, the White House, Congress and the […]

United States, Europe, Muslim World, Mafias 2040: The domino effects of the US withdrawal from Afghanistan

In Afghanistan, the Taliban are back in power and history is picking up where it left off exactly 20 years ago. However, those 20 years of Afghanistan’s mire have occurred, changing the course history would have taken. Wars, terrorism, destruction, displacement, new players, … the whole world had to rush to the bedside of a […]

The “traditional” family in 2040: marrying freedom with stability

The traditional family model has been changing dramatically over the past few decades. Originally (until only a few decades or years ago[1]), family was defined as a lasting union (marriage) between a man and a woman with the intention of procreation. However, expanding personal freedoms of the constitutive parts of the family has resulted in […]

Sexuality 21 – And Sex Became Art…

The differentiation between sex and reproduction, characteristic of human beings, is not new. Indeed, if humans have learned to control their fertility, they have never been fully able to control their sexual impulses… We can even consider that the more they have tried to control them, the more “bizarre” they have become from nature’s point […]

España 2050 Strategy Paper – A broken promise

The Espana 2050[1] project, presented by the Sanchez government on the 20th of May, brings together, in the form of 9 challenges, 50 objectives and 200 proposals,[2] a set of reform measures in the fields of education, healthcare, taxes, employment, pensions and environment, setting out the framework for a 30-year national strategy for Spain.[3] Produced […]

Global political scene 2021-2025: Welcome to the “tech-politics” era

Trump was the seal of the populists’ era born in the wake of the gigantic crises of the last decade: Putin, Erdogan, Trump, Bolsonaro, Johnson… More fear than harm in the end. Yet, a new era is beginning, the nature of which Israel has just indicated, as anticipated by us: the techno-radicals are here. Enough […]

Very Big Systemic Trend – Demographics, the mother of change

Demographics are the “mother of change”. Indeed, the successive resizing of the global population is at the origin of the imperatives to transform the political-techno-economic systems that organise the human community. For example, the Industrial Revolution created an era of shared prosperity which represented social progress in its early stages (allowing a very primitive and […]

A timeline of the UK trade negotiations

The concept of Global Britain was formulated in the early months following the 2016 referendum on the UK’s decision to exit the EU. Theresa May and her teams have been using it as an umbrella term for the country’s aspirations to strengthen its global (and European) influence once separated from the 27 member states. In […]

2025-2030: Back to “nuclear reason”

To tackle a subject as complex as energy, the LEAP teams called on the collective intelligence of the GEAB, through the GEAB Café of 20 April, and the active participation of Greg de Temmerman and other discreet contributors, whom we warmly thank for assistance. If you wish to also take part in this type of […]

Future Energy Technology – A Timeline

Our universe is an ever-changing web of abundant energy, it is a central aspect of life and all human activity. Yet if we see energy through the lens of our economic activity, it appears as a limited commodity. In this future energy technology timeline, we wish to cast a look at the current energy transition, […]

China’s Political Timeline

2021-2022 18-21/04/2021: The Boao Forum for Asia (BFA) Annual Conference 2021, “A World in Change: Join Hands to Strengthen Global Governance and Advance Belt and Road Cooperation” will take place in Boao, Hainan. 2021 marks BFA’s 20th anniversary. Since the Forum’s establishment, BFA is committed to promoting Asian economic integration and the world’s common development.[1] […]

Space 2030: The Chinese New Deal

By 2030, the International Space Station may have become the first space museum of the late 1990s, when everyone tried to work together. By prohibiting the Chinese from boarding the ISS in 2011,[1] the US compelled China to go its own way. As a result, like during the Cold War years, the next stage of […]

The EU as a confidence builder between the US and China: Some simplistic recommendations for European leaders

Faced with the immense challenges that the US-China confrontation poses to the world, Europe must be aware that it is not a negligible player, that it must publicly state its specific interests (peace, prosperity, autonomy), and build a strategy aimed at not getting trapped in the wars of others, following one guideline: to base the […]

Vatican 2023: Transcending the Apocalypse

Whether or not one believes in the prophecy of Saint Malachi, who identified Pope Francis II as Peter the Roman (the last of a line of 112 popes)[1] one thing is certain: in the inevitably very symbolic and probably somewhat superstitious universe of the seat of the Catholic Church, this kind of “anticipation”, active since […]

European Commission: Ideological revolution at work

Integration of an open foresight approach into the decision-making process, willingness to involve citizens to it, visionary and ambitious strategies… what’s happening to the European Commission?!! Our junior team immersed itself in a series of reports published over the last few months and interviewed one European official to try to get a clearer picture. Their […]