Category: Telescope
Water… let there be soil! In 2019, Saudi Arabia’s proven oil reserves were estimated at 263.1 billion barrels[1]. At the rate of production at the time, this was equivalent to around 70 years of production, which takes us to 2089. The oil-producing countries are all aiming to diversify, because the oil bonanza won’t last more […]
In a world where the future is unfolding at breakneck speed, the GEAB is inaugurating a new section, Terra Cognita 2089, to refine its short- and medium-term forecasts and continue to reduce the degree of strategic uncertainty among its readers. The aim is twofold: Increase our focus on the multipolar world (space deployment) and Open […]
Public International Law (PIL[1]) is on the brink of a forced revolution. This revolution, of which Trump will be the catalyst, is based on the inadequacies of the current system. This transformation raised several issues, particularly in terms of human rights. It will also be the source of a certain indifference as regards the protection […]
This fiction, edited by Christopher H. Cordey[1] assisted by AI, depicts an imaginary conversation between theorists of two worldviews clashing in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict: American hegemonism on the one hand and civilisational multipolarism on the other. 15 May 2016, 46° 05′ 09.46″ N 7° 44′ 36.92″ E, Refuge du Weisshorn, Canton Valais, Switzerland. A […]
We anticipate that, in a few weeks’ time (sooner than we might think), a peace agreement will be signed between Russia and Ukraine, under American guidance, known as the Treaty of Riyadh[1], ushering in a new era for the Western system of power To gain a clearer picture, let’s take a series of the major […]
Until now, it has been a question of preventing China from overtaking the United States in terms of technology. In 2025, not only will the West realise that China has already overtaken it, but above all that it is not China but the whole of Asia that has overtaken it: not just in terms of […]
The fundamental principles of the Internet in 1995 included free access and technological democratisation. For the most part, the information highways launched at the time seemed to be offered to the public with a humanistic and humanitarian goal: universal access to knowledge. Then, in 2009, Big Tech began to take control of Web 2.0 (the […]
The transformation of the global landscape is no longer simply a matter of Chinese technological or economic dominance. We are witnessing the emergence of a new world order structured by China, in which technology is just one of the many threads in a complex web woven with remarkable strategic precision. This silent revolution is not […]
Europe’s geopolitical game of musical chairs End of the war in Ukraine During the first half of the year, a peace agreement will have been signed between the Russians and the Ukrainians, with the help of the United States and China, by bringing major new players like Turkey to the table. The terms of the […]
With the US withdrawal from the Russian-Ukrainian conflict now in sight, Europe will be forced to confront its own responsibilities and the European edifice will likely crumble under the weight of reality. As we’ve previously mentioned[1], Europe’s ideological straitjacket will be violently challenged in 2025, marking one of the defining features of the year, in […]
Our team is proud to present its self-evaluaiton of the 2024 trends published in January. This year we have recorded a 74.19% success rate. Several events were accurately anticipated from the start of the year: the defection of at least one of the two US presidential candidates, the dissolution of the government in France and […]
As economic and political instability intensifies, our team takes a closer look at the forecasts of the major Western financial institutions. Between optimism and underestimated risks, these reports are as full of lessons as they are surprisingly consistent. Given the growing instability in international economic and political affairs, our team has decided to redouble its […]
The answer that immediately comes to mind is: “China, of course”! But that’s too easy for the GEAB, so we won’t be going down that route in this article. Instead of presenting our hypothesis right away, as we typically do, we prefer to keep you in suspense and take you on a journey. So, what’s […]
In the coming years, the African continent will find itself more isolated than ever. Its relations with the global system and Western countries have reached a point of dysfunction that cannot be surpassed, and these ties are bound to be reexamined. Paradoxically, this situation grants African countries newfound freedom in choosing their alliances, which, magnified […]
While economic conglomerates may be on the decline worldwide, they remain the dominant force for foreign investment in Africa. This overview highlights the most influential structures on the continent, revealing the power strategies and economic confrontations that lie ahead. In our last GEAB issue, we showed that Africa is the major pole of resistance to […]
The triumphant re-election of Donald Trump symbolises the end of the baby-boomer generation’s dominance – their values, economic models and worldview – massively rejected, not just by a large majority of American voters, but also by global public opinion. This response was more supportive of this victory than the Western political and media spheres would […]
In 2048, Israel, far from celebrating its centenary, may no longer exist in its current form. The challenge does not come from its external enemies, but from demographic challenges, internal social fragmentation and an exodus of its most educated population. The country’s future will depend on its ability to reinvent itself, or disappear. No, it […]
The birth rate has always been very high in religious, traditionalist and conservative communities. To anticipate what our future generations will be dreaming of, it is vital to ask which communities are having the most children today. The dystopian world foreseen by the grim prophets of hyper-tech won’t come to pass. The reason is simple: […]