{"id":135860,"date":"2024-10-15T20:48:19","date_gmt":"2024-10-15T18:48:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/2048-letat-disrael-tel-quon-la-connu-ne-fetera-pas-ses-100-ans\/"},"modified":"2024-10-16T19:19:09","modified_gmt":"2024-10-16T17:19:09","slug":"2048-the-state-of-israel-as-we-know-it-will-not-celebrate-its-100th-anniversary","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/2048-the-state-of-israel-as-we-know-it-will-not-celebrate-its-100th-anniversary\/","title":{"rendered":"2048 &#8211; The State of Israel (as we know it) will not celebrate its 100th anniversary"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>In 2048, Israel, far from celebrating its centenary, may no longer exist in its current form. The challenge does not come from its external enemies, but from demographic challenges, internal social fragmentation and an exodus of its most educated population. The country&#8217;s future will depend on its ability to reinvent itself, or disappear.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>No, it will not be Iran that destroys Israel, nor Hamas: it will be the Israelis themselves who leave the project. The trend is already well underway. Explanations:<\/p>\n<p>This issue of the GEAB looks ahead to 2050 on the basis of demographic facts. The question of who is having children is one of the main themes, migration is another, as are all the major structural trends affecting populations. But what characteristics of the Israeli population are currently emerging?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Declining fertility: Demographic erosion on both sides of the conflict<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>This is the most obvious fact, the most commented on, but ultimately the least interesting. Israel has long been concerned that Arabs are having more children than Jews, and that the Jewish state could eventually become predominantly Muslim.\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_subscribe \">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button \">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange_inverse\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/abonnement\/\">To read the full article, register now<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#\" id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_popup\">Already a subscriber? Sign in<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_close\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-notices-wrapper\"><\/div>\n\n\t\t<h2>Login<\/h2>\n\n\t\t<form class=\"woocommerce-form woocommerce-form-login login\" method=\"post\" novalidate>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-form-row woocommerce-form-row--wide form-row form-row-wide\">\n\t\t\t\t<label for=\"username\">Username or email address&nbsp;<span class=\"required\" aria-hidden=\"true\">*<\/span><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Required<\/span><\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" class=\"woocommerce-Input woocommerce-Input--text input-text\" name=\"username\" id=\"username\" autocomplete=\"username\" value=\"\" required aria-required=\"true\" \/>\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-form-row woocommerce-form-row--wide form-row form-row-wide\">\n\t\t\t\t<label for=\"password\">Password&nbsp;<span class=\"required\" aria-hidden=\"true\">*<\/span><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Required<\/span><\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input class=\"woocommerce-Input woocommerce-Input--text input-text\" type=\"password\" name=\"password\" id=\"password\" autocomplete=\"current-password\" required aria-required=\"true\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<p class=\"form-row\">\n\t\t\t\t<label class=\"woocommerce-form__label woocommerce-form__label-for-checkbox woocommerce-form-login__rememberme\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<input class=\"woocommerce-form__input woocommerce-form__input-checkbox\" name=\"rememberme\" type=\"checkbox\" id=\"rememberme\" value=\"forever\" \/> <span>Remember me<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input type=\"hidden\" id=\"woocommerce-login-nonce\" name=\"woocommerce-login-nonce\" value=\"e160da00eb\" \/><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"_wp_http_referer\" value=\"\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/135860\" \/>\t\t\t\t<button type=\"submit\" class=\"woocommerce-button button woocommerce-form-login__submit\" name=\"login\" value=\"Log in\">Log in<\/button>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-LostPassword lost_password\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/my-account\/lost-password\/\">Lost your password?<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t<\/form>\n\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In 2048, Israel, far from celebrating its centenary, may no longer exist in its current form. The challenge does not come from its external enemies, but from demographic challenges, internal social fragmentation and an exodus of its most educated population. The country&#8217;s future will depend on its ability to reinvent itself, or disappear. No, it [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":135846,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[6038,287,6672,715],"class_list":["post-135860","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-telescope-en","tag-demography","tag-israel","tag-population-en","tag-world-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>2048 - The State of Israel (as we know it) will not celebrate its 100th anniversary - GEAB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2048 - The State of Israel (as we know it) will not celebrate its 100th anniversary - GEAB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"In 2048, Israel, far from celebrating its centenary, may no longer exist in its current form. 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