{"id":142720,"date":"2025-12-15T20:46:24","date_gmt":"2025-12-15T19:46:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/2025-une-annee-de-tres-belles-pistes-danticipation\/"},"modified":"2025-12-16T13:10:56","modified_gmt":"2025-12-16T12:10:56","slug":"assessment-of-our-anticipations-for-2025-63-success-rate","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/assessment-of-our-anticipations-for-2025-63-success-rate\/","title":{"rendered":"Assessment of our anticipations for 2025: 63% success rate"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><strong>EVALUATION<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>2025 &#8211; A year of very promising anticipatory lines<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>As every December, this exercise is not about playing fortune tellers, but about assessing how far the real world, which moves forward without asking for our opinion, has confirmed or not the main trends we identified last January. And in 2025, it must be said, reality has not lacked humour. It has validated 63% of our predictions, reminding us once again that spectacular disruptions fascinate the media, but the underlying trends always win out in the end.<\/p>\n<p>As you will see from our arguments, the West continues to discover that multipolarity is not an academic concept but an effective redistribution of power, and that technologies, once believed to be liberating, are showing their structural limitations. In the meantime, our societies, convinced for thirty years that the world would forever turn around them, must now accept and live with their own loss of centrality.<\/p>\n<p>Last January, our 30 trends were not bets but the logical projection of systems already in motion. The following pages therefore offer a concise summary accompanied by honest perspective and ratings: where we were right (1), where the world still managed to surprise us (0.5), and above all, where the differences were most marked (0). As always, anticipating is not about predicting the inevitable, but about identifying the probable.\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_subscribe \">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button \">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange_inverse\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/abonnement\/\">To read the full article, register now<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#\" id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_popup\">Already a subscriber? Sign in<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_close\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-notices-wrapper\"><\/div>\n\n\t\t<h2>Login<\/h2>\n\n\t\t<form class=\"woocommerce-form woocommerce-form-login login\" method=\"post\">\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-form-row woocommerce-form-row--wide form-row form-row-wide\">\n\t\t\t\t<label for=\"username\">Username or email address&nbsp;<span class=\"required\">*<\/span><\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" class=\"woocommerce-Input woocommerce-Input--text input-text\" name=\"username\" id=\"username\" autocomplete=\"username\" value=\"\" \/>\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-form-row woocommerce-form-row--wide form-row form-row-wide\">\n\t\t\t\t<label for=\"password\">Password&nbsp;<span class=\"required\">*<\/span><\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input class=\"woocommerce-Input woocommerce-Input--text input-text\" type=\"password\" name=\"password\" id=\"password\" autocomplete=\"current-password\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<p class=\"form-row\">\n\t\t\t\t<label class=\"woocommerce-form__label woocommerce-form__label-for-checkbox woocommerce-form-login__rememberme\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<input class=\"woocommerce-form__input woocommerce-form__input-checkbox\" name=\"rememberme\" type=\"checkbox\" id=\"rememberme\" value=\"forever\" \/> <span>Remember me<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input type=\"hidden\" id=\"woocommerce-login-nonce\" name=\"woocommerce-login-nonce\" value=\"c55100addf\" \/><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"_wp_http_referer\" value=\"\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/142720\" \/>\t\t\t\t<button type=\"submit\" class=\"woocommerce-button button woocommerce-form-login__submit\" name=\"login\" value=\"Log in\">Log in<\/button>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-LostPassword lost_password\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/my-account\/lost-password\/\">Lost your password?<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t<\/form>\n\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>EVALUATION 2025 &#8211; A year of very promising anticipatory lines As every December, this exercise is not about playing fortune tellers, but about assessing how far the real world, which moves forward without asking for our opinion, has confirmed or not the main trends we identified last January. And in 2025, it must be said, [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-142720","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-telescope-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Assessment of our anticipations for 2025: 63% success rate - GEAB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Assessment of our anticipations for 2025: 63% success rate - GEAB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"EVALUATION 2025 &#8211; A year of very promising anticipatory lines As every December, this exercise is not about playing fortune tellers, but about assessing how far the real world, which moves forward without asking for our opinion, has confirmed or not the main trends we identified last January. 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