{"id":144601,"date":"2026-04-15T17:03:19","date_gmt":"2026-04-15T15:03:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/notre-veille-crise-obligataire-le-deploiement-silencieux-du-subprime-des-entreprises\/"},"modified":"2026-04-16T13:15:49","modified_gmt":"2026-04-16T11:15:49","slug":"monitoring-the-bond-crisis-the-silent-rise-of-the-corporate-subprime","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/monitoring-the-bond-crisis-the-silent-rise-of-the-corporate-subprime\/","title":{"rendered":"Monitoring the Bond Crisis: The silent rise of the corporate subprime"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><strong>ANALYSIS<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>On 30 March, we issued a \u201cwarning\u201d regarding US Treasury auctions that were likely to fail around 8\u20139 April. Poor sales \u2013 meaning that US debt can no longer find buyers at reasonable prices \u2013 are likely to accelerate the currently relatively quiet but <em>de facto <\/em>ongoing process of the debt system\u2019s collapse.<\/p>\n<p>What we feared to the extent that we wished to warn our readers outside our usual publication schedule has indeed come to pass: the auctions of 8 and 9 April signal and exacerbate the now unsustainable nature of US debt and the entire debt system of the last 20 years.<\/p>\n<p>Combined with the private debt crisis started in January with Blackrock\u2019s freeze on redemptions<a href=\"#_ftn1\" name=\"_ftnref1\">[1]<\/a>, this major stage in the monetary paradigm shift increasingly resembles a corporate <em>subprime<\/em> crisis, where it is no longer individuals who will lose their homes to the banks, but companies that will lose their solid \u00a0assets (property, infrastructure, etc.). All this is happening in the absence of any control on the part of governments (and particularly the United States) to bail out anyone.<\/p>\n<p><strong>The sale of 30-year bonds on 9 April was indeed a <em>failed auction<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The results of the 22 billion 30-year bond auction on 9 April 2026 are as follows:<\/p>\n<p>\u2018Indicator &#8211; Result &#8211; 6-month average &#8211; High yield\u00a0 4.876% 4.745% &#8211; WI ~4.858% \u2014 Tail<\/p>\n<p>~+2 bps +0.2 bps &#8211; Bid-to-cover 2.39x 2.42x \u2013 Indirects 64.14% 66.0% &#8211; Directs 24.23%<\/p>\n<p>24.0% &#8211; Primary dealers 11.62% 9.9%\u201d.\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_subscribe \">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button \">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange_inverse\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/abonnement\/\">To read the full article, register now<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#\" id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_popup\">Already a subscriber? Sign in<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_close\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-notices-wrapper\"><\/div>\n\n\t\t<h2>Login<\/h2>\n\n\t\t<form class=\"woocommerce-form woocommerce-form-login login\" method=\"post\" novalidate>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-form-row woocommerce-form-row--wide form-row form-row-wide\">\n\t\t\t\t<label for=\"username\">Username or email address&nbsp;<span class=\"required\" aria-hidden=\"true\">*<\/span><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Required<\/span><\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" class=\"woocommerce-Input woocommerce-Input--text input-text\" name=\"username\" id=\"username\" autocomplete=\"username\" value=\"\" required aria-required=\"true\" \/>\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-form-row woocommerce-form-row--wide form-row form-row-wide\">\n\t\t\t\t<label for=\"password\">Password&nbsp;<span class=\"required\" aria-hidden=\"true\">*<\/span><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Required<\/span><\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input class=\"woocommerce-Input woocommerce-Input--text input-text\" type=\"password\" name=\"password\" id=\"password\" autocomplete=\"current-password\" required aria-required=\"true\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<p class=\"form-row\">\n\t\t\t\t<label class=\"woocommerce-form__label woocommerce-form__label-for-checkbox woocommerce-form-login__rememberme\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<input class=\"woocommerce-form__input woocommerce-form__input-checkbox\" name=\"rememberme\" type=\"checkbox\" id=\"rememberme\" value=\"forever\" \/> <span>Remember me<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input type=\"hidden\" id=\"woocommerce-login-nonce\" name=\"woocommerce-login-nonce\" value=\"e160da00eb\" \/><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"_wp_http_referer\" value=\"\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/144601\" \/>\t\t\t\t<button type=\"submit\" class=\"woocommerce-button button woocommerce-form-login__submit\" name=\"login\" value=\"Log in\">Log in<\/button>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-LostPassword lost_password\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/my-account\/lost-password\/\">Lost your password?<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t<\/form>\n\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>ANALYSIS On 30 March, we issued a \u201cwarning\u201d regarding US Treasury auctions that were likely to fail around 8\u20139 April. Poor sales \u2013 meaning that US debt can no longer find buyers at reasonable prices \u2013 are likely to accelerate the currently relatively quiet but de facto ongoing process of the debt system\u2019s collapse. What [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-144601","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-telescope-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Monitoring the Bond Crisis: The silent rise of the corporate subprime - GEAB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Monitoring the Bond Crisis: The silent rise of the corporate subprime - GEAB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"ANALYSIS On 30 March, we issued a \u201cwarning\u201d regarding US Treasury auctions that were likely to fail around 8\u20139 April. Poor sales \u2013 meaning that US debt can no longer find buyers at reasonable prices \u2013 are likely to accelerate the currently relatively quiet but de facto ongoing process of the debt system\u2019s collapse. 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