{"id":146803,"date":"2026-10-15T16:02:31","date_gmt":"2026-10-15T14:02:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/presidentielles-francaises-2027-questionner-les-certitudes\/"},"modified":"2026-10-15T16:02:31","modified_gmt":"2026-10-15T14:02:31","slug":"presidentielles-francaises-2027-questionner-les-certitudes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/presidentielles-francaises-2027-questionner-les-certitudes\/","title":{"rendered":"Pr\u00e9sidentielles fran\u00e7aises 2027&nbsp;: questionner les certitudes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #ff9900;\"><strong>ANTICIPATION<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p>Une \u00e9lection importante aura lieu en 2027, celle du prochain pr\u00e9sident fran\u00e7ais qui h\u00e9ritera d\u2019une dette stratosph\u00e9rique<a href=\"about:blank#_ftn1\" name=\"_ftnref1\">[1]<\/a>, d\u2019une France g\u00e9opolitiquement affaiblie<a href=\"about:blank#_ftn2\" name=\"_ftnref2\">[2]<\/a> et d\u2019une crise sociale majeure<a href=\"about:blank#_ftn3\" name=\"_ftnref3\">[3]<\/a>. Bon courage \u00e0 lui.elle.<\/p>\n<p>Les deux tours de l\u2019\u00e9lection auront lieu mi-avril-d\u00e9but mai, six mois encore donc avant le scrutin, et pourtant sondages, analystes et candidats y vont bon train depuis m\u00eame avant l\u2019\u00e9t\u00e9, croisant le fer, tentant d\u2019influencer et commentant abondamment les moindres faits et gestes du Landerneau politique fran\u00e7ais.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00f4t\u00e9 anticipation, tout le monde est certain d\u2019une chose\u00a0: le Rassemblement National (RN) de Marine Le Pen (droite radicale ou extr\u00eame droite selon les sources) sera au deuxi\u00e8me tour<a href=\"about:blank#_ftn4\" name=\"_ftnref4\">[4]<\/a>. Les deux seules questions \u00e9tant\u00a0: \u00ab\u00a0face \u00e0 qui\u00a0?\u00a0\u00bb et \u00ab\u00a0peut-il gagner le second tour\u00a0?\u00a0\u00bb.<\/p>\n<p>Si le GEAB a pour m\u00e9thode le questionnement des certitudes, nous ne partageons pas avec nos lecteurs toutes nos r\u00e9flexions mais uniquement celles qui aboutissent \u00e0 une hypoth\u00e8se pertinente. En l\u2019occurrence, nous jugeons utile de d\u00e9crire le scenario qui a notre faveur actuellement et dans lequel le RN n\u2019est PAS au second tour.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Le RN caracole en t\u00eate de tous les sondages<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Certes le RN prom\u00e8ne \u00e0 35% d\u2019intentions de vote tandis que loin derri\u00e8re lui, La France Insoumise (LFI) de Jean-Luc M\u00e9lenchon (autour de 17%) ou Horizon, le parti macroniste d\u2019Edouard Philippe (17%, auxquels il convient logiquement d\u2019ajouter les 5% de l\u2019autre parti macroniste, Renaissance de Gabriel Attal).\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_subscribe \">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button \">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange_inverse\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/abonnement\/\">To read the full article, register now<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#\" id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_popup\">Already a subscriber? 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Bon courage \u00e0 lui.elle. Les deux tours de l\u2019\u00e9lection auront lieu mi-avril-d\u00e9but mai, six mois encore donc avant le scrutin, et pourtant sondages, analystes et candidats y vont [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-146803","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Pr\u00e9sidentielles fran\u00e7aises 2027 : questionner les certitudes - GEAB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pr\u00e9sidentielles fran\u00e7aises 2027 : questionner les certitudes - GEAB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"ANTICIPATION Une \u00e9lection importante aura lieu en 2027, celle du prochain pr\u00e9sident fran\u00e7ais qui h\u00e9ritera d\u2019une dette stratosph\u00e9rique[1], d\u2019une France g\u00e9opolitiquement affaiblie[2] et d\u2019une crise sociale majeure[3]. Bon courage \u00e0 lui.elle. Les deux tours de l\u2019\u00e9lection auront lieu mi-avril-d\u00e9but mai, six mois encore donc avant le scrutin, et pourtant sondages, analystes et candidats y vont [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/presidentielles-francaises-2027-questionner-les-certitudes\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"GEAB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/globaleuropeanticipationbulletin?fref=ts\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2026-10-15T14:02:31+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/Screenshot-2026-10-15-at-16.57.13.png\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"416\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/png\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"GEAB_AUTEUR\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"GEAB_AUTEUR\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"11 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/presidentielles-francaises-2027-questionner-les-certitudes\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/presidentielles-francaises-2027-questionner-les-certitudes\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"GEAB_AUTEUR\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/058c6d8844b4f7a3a44975eeb21b08f3\"},\"headline\":\"Pr\u00e9sidentielles fran\u00e7aises 2027&nbsp;: questionner les certitudes\",\"datePublished\":\"2026-10-15T14:02:31+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/presidentielles-francaises-2027-questionner-les-certitudes\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":2226,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/presidentielles-francaises-2027-questionner-les-certitudes\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2026\\\/10\\\/Screenshot-2026-10-15-at-16.57.13.png\",\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/presidentielles-francaises-2027-questionner-les-certitudes\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/presidentielles-francaises-2027-questionner-les-certitudes\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/presidentielles-francaises-2027-questionner-les-certitudes\\\/\",\"name\":\"Pr\u00e9sidentielles fran\u00e7aises 2027 : questionner les certitudes - 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