{"id":43925,"date":"2018-02-24T22:02:40","date_gmt":"2018-02-24T21:02:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/\/en\/anticipations-2018-17-up-et-16-down-33-tendances-cles\/"},"modified":"2023-10-12T19:06:49","modified_gmt":"2023-10-12T17:06:49","slug":"anticipations-2018-17-up-et-16-down-33-tendances-cles","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/anticipations-2018-17-up-et-16-down-33-tendances-cles\/","title":{"rendered":"Anticipations 2018: 17 Up and 16 Down &#8211; 33 Key Trends"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As happens every year, LEAP\/E2020 presents in January a panorama of the &#8220;up &amp; down&#8221; main trends<a href=\"#_ftn1\" name=\"_ftnref1\">[1]<\/a> of the coming year. Besides the intellectual added value of this contribution, which of course reflects many of the analyses our researchers made over the last few months, LEAP\/E2020 aims to enable a better perception of priorities within current events, whilst providing hints of recommendations as well. Concretely, this list helps the GEAB readers to prepare for the coming year. With success rates varying between 69 and 85% over the past twelve years (75% in 2017<a href=\"#_ftn2\" name=\"_ftnref2\">[2]<\/a>), this annual exercise is therefore a particularly concrete decision tool for 2018.<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #993300;\"><strong>17 Up<\/strong><\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>Public Opinion &#8211; Hatred among nations<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The &#8220;revolts&#8221; generated by the crisis at its beginnings (<em>Indignados<\/em>, <em>occupy<\/em> movements, etc.) are getting &#8220;horizontalised&#8221;. Initially directed against leading elites, they are now increasingly against &#8220;the others&#8221;, whoever they are: women against men, white against dark, Catalans against Spaniards, Germans against French<a href=\"#_ftn3\" name=\"_ftnref3\">[3]<\/a>&#8230; The hatred speech is more and more trivialised and channelled by radical movements, in turn strengthening the trend, some of which won\u2019t hesitate to resort to violence. Our team anticipates the arrival of the first far-right militias in Europe sometime this year.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Security &#8211; Population control programmes<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The previous trend leads to a popular demand for increased surveillance and undermined individual freedom. This request will be too happily honoured by authorities in an easy convergence with populist movements. This trend is not new, but we will see it getting stronger in 2018.\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_subscribe \">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button \">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange_inverse\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/abonnement\/\">To read the full article, register now<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#\" id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_popup\">Already a subscriber? 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Besides the intellectual added value of this contribution, which of course reflects many of the analyses our researchers made over the last few months, LEAP\/E2020 aims to enable a better perception of priorities within [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[377,2548,173,715],"class_list":["post-43925","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-telescope-en","tag-crisis","tag-euro-en","tag-finance-en","tag-world-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Anticipations 2018: 17 Up and 16 Down - 33 Key Trends - GEAB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Anticipations 2018: 17 Up and 16 Down - 33 Key Trends - GEAB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"As happens every year, LEAP\/E2020 presents in January a panorama of the &#8220;up &amp; down&#8221; main trends[1] of the coming year. 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