{"id":61431,"date":"2018-12-11T11:24:13","date_gmt":"2018-12-11T10:24:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/investissements-tendances-et-recommandations-mai-2017\/"},"modified":"2018-12-11T11:38:09","modified_gmt":"2018-12-11T10:38:09","slug":"investments-trends-and-recommendations-may-2017","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/investments-trends-and-recommendations-may-2017\/","title":{"rendered":"Investments, trends and recommendations (May 2017)"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Oil \u2013 It\u2019s working<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>In spite of many interests that obviously want to minimise the impact of the agreement on oil production between OPEC and its allies, and doubts related to the sustainability of the deal, it seems that Russians and Saudis are planning to extend the Vienna Agreement<a href=\"#_ftn1\" name=\"_ftnref1\">[1]<\/a> until &#8211; at least &#8211; the end of this year. The tug-of-war between the North American shale industry and the oil-producing nations is, according to us, less of an arm wrestling contest, than a trap. Shale producers are also negatively impacted by decreasing prices generated by their overproduction. In fact, they probably suffer more, not having the shock absorbers that the great nations usually have. The problem is that they are private actors, very difficult to coordinate with each other and to adapt to supranational logics. But our team believes that it is in the interest of these private producers to find a way for their chaotic levels of production to stop pitching prices. As for OPEC-NOPEC, in order to dilute the impact of non-agreement countries&#8217; production (US, Brazil, Canada), one technique is to expand their group, which they actually plan to do this month by welcoming Egypt, and especially Turkmenistan. Excluding any major geopolitical shocks, we continue to anticipate prices around $50 a barrel with small recurring episodes of adrenaline causing relatively rapid counter-reactions to the oil price increase.\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_subscribe \">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button \">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange_inverse\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/abonnement\/\">To read the full article, register now<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#\" id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_popup\">Already a subscriber? Sign in<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_close\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-notices-wrapper\"><\/div>\n\n\t\t<h2>Login<\/h2>\n\n\t\t<form class=\"woocommerce-form woocommerce-form-login login\" method=\"post\">\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-form-row woocommerce-form-row--wide form-row form-row-wide\">\n\t\t\t\t<label for=\"username\">Username or email address&nbsp;<span class=\"required\">*<\/span><\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" class=\"woocommerce-Input woocommerce-Input--text input-text\" name=\"username\" id=\"username\" autocomplete=\"username\" value=\"\" \/>\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-form-row woocommerce-form-row--wide form-row form-row-wide\">\n\t\t\t\t<label for=\"password\">Password&nbsp;<span class=\"required\">*<\/span><\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input class=\"woocommerce-Input woocommerce-Input--text input-text\" type=\"password\" name=\"password\" id=\"password\" autocomplete=\"current-password\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<p class=\"form-row\">\n\t\t\t\t<label class=\"woocommerce-form__label woocommerce-form__label-for-checkbox woocommerce-form-login__rememberme\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<input class=\"woocommerce-form__input woocommerce-form__input-checkbox\" name=\"rememberme\" type=\"checkbox\" id=\"rememberme\" value=\"forever\" \/> <span>Remember me<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input type=\"hidden\" id=\"woocommerce-login-nonce\" name=\"woocommerce-login-nonce\" value=\"38a3208387\" \/><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"_wp_http_referer\" value=\"\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/61431\" \/>\t\t\t\t<button type=\"submit\" class=\"woocommerce-button button woocommerce-form-login__submit\" name=\"login\" value=\"Log in\">Log in<\/button>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-LostPassword lost_password\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/my-account\/lost-password\/\">Lost your password?<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t<\/form>\n\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Oil \u2013 It\u2019s working In spite of many interests that obviously want to minimise the impact of the agreement on oil production between OPEC and its allies, and doubts related to the sustainability of the deal, it seems that Russians and Saudis are planning to extend the Vienna Agreement[1] until &#8211; at least &#8211; the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[3057,173,2409,179],"class_list":["post-61431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-focus-en","tag-brexit-en","tag-finance-en","tag-investments","tag-oil"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - 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