{"id":64017,"date":"2019-01-15T21:59:53","date_gmt":"2019-01-15T20:59:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/crise-financiere-imminente-une-prophetie-autorealisatrice\/"},"modified":"2023-10-12T18:57:50","modified_gmt":"2023-10-12T16:57:50","slug":"looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\/","title":{"rendered":"Looming financial crisis: A self-fulfilling narrative?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Happy New Black Clouds?<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>The standard wishes for a Happy New Year seem almost out of place for many, given the black clouds<a href=\"#_ftn1\" name=\"_ftnref1\"><sup>[1]<\/sup><\/a> that seem to be gathering over the economy of the United State of America (US)<a href=\"#_ftn2\" name=\"_ftnref2\"><sup>[2]<\/sup><\/a> and the political threats to the economy existing in the European Union (EU).<a href=\"#_ftn3\" name=\"_ftnref3\"><sup>[3]<\/sup><\/a> The proximate causes are not hard to see and, without being exhaustive, include:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The trade-war between China and the US, which has boiled over to the point where business travellers have been arrested<a href=\"#_ftn4\" name=\"_ftnref4\"><sup>[4]<\/sup><\/a><\/li>\n<li>The government shut-down and ongoing dysfunctional politics in Washington<a href=\"#_ftn5\" name=\"_ftnref5\"><sup>[5]<\/sup><\/a><\/li>\n<li>The uncertainty perpetuated by the prospect of either a \u2018hard Brexit\u2019 or of endless post-Brexit talks<a href=\"#_ftn6\" name=\"_ftnref6\"><sup>[6]<\/sup><\/a><\/li>\n<li>The rampaging of yellow-jackets, burning President Macron\u2019s EU credibility as well as buildings<a href=\"#_ftn7\" name=\"_ftnref7\"><sup>[7]<\/sup><\/a><\/li>\n<li>Increased visibility of overtly nationalist politicians in governments in Europe and beyond<a href=\"#_ftn8\" name=\"_ftnref8\"><sup>[8]<\/sup><\/a><\/li>\n<li>The prospect of conflicts flaring up into fighting again in places like Eastern Ukraine and Kosovo<a href=\"#_ftn9\" name=\"_ftnref9\"><sup>[9]<\/sup><\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>A cool head would look at this and point out that political and geopolitical turbulence has always been around, and we should not worry so much. After all, the US President hasn\u2019t been caught sending \u2018burglars\u2019 to the Watergate building, Russia hasn\u2019t invaded Afghanistan, the Soviet Union hasn\u2019t collapsed, the World Trade Centre hasn\u2019t been destroyed by passenger aircraft, the financial markets haven\u2019t gone into meltdown because of sub-par Collateralised Debt Obligations being sold as AAA rated assets, Japan hasn\u2019t had another nuclear power plant meltdown and there are not another million refugees all heading to Germany at once. And, given we managed to overcome those past events, surely we must be able to handle the current batch of bad news.\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_subscribe \">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button \">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange_inverse\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/abonnement\/\">To read the full article, register now<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#\" id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_popup\">Already a subscriber? Sign in<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_close\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-notices-wrapper\"><\/div>\n\n\t\t<h2>Login<\/h2>\n\n\t\t<form class=\"woocommerce-form woocommerce-form-login login\" method=\"post\" novalidate>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-form-row woocommerce-form-row--wide form-row form-row-wide\">\n\t\t\t\t<label for=\"username\">Username or email address&nbsp;<span class=\"required\" aria-hidden=\"true\">*<\/span><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Required<\/span><\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" class=\"woocommerce-Input woocommerce-Input--text input-text\" name=\"username\" id=\"username\" autocomplete=\"username\" value=\"\" required aria-required=\"true\" \/>\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-form-row woocommerce-form-row--wide form-row form-row-wide\">\n\t\t\t\t<label for=\"password\">Password&nbsp;<span class=\"required\" aria-hidden=\"true\">*<\/span><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Required<\/span><\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input class=\"woocommerce-Input woocommerce-Input--text input-text\" type=\"password\" name=\"password\" id=\"password\" autocomplete=\"current-password\" required aria-required=\"true\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<p class=\"form-row\">\n\t\t\t\t<label class=\"woocommerce-form__label woocommerce-form__label-for-checkbox woocommerce-form-login__rememberme\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<input class=\"woocommerce-form__input woocommerce-form__input-checkbox\" name=\"rememberme\" type=\"checkbox\" id=\"rememberme\" value=\"forever\" \/> <span>Remember me<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input type=\"hidden\" id=\"woocommerce-login-nonce\" name=\"woocommerce-login-nonce\" value=\"e160da00eb\" \/><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"_wp_http_referer\" value=\"\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/64017\" \/>\t\t\t\t<button type=\"submit\" class=\"woocommerce-button button woocommerce-form-login__submit\" name=\"login\" value=\"Log in\">Log in<\/button>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-LostPassword lost_password\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/my-account\/lost-password\/\">Lost your password?<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t<\/form>\n\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Happy New Black Clouds? The standard wishes for a Happy New Year seem almost out of place for many, given the black clouds[1] that seem to be gathering over the economy of the United State of America (US)[2] and the political threats to the economy existing in the European Union (EU).[3] The proximate causes are [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[37],"tags":[711,173,5485,3801],"class_list":["post-64017","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-telescope-en","tag-economy-en","tag-finance-en","tag-governance-en","tag-investment-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Looming financial crisis: A self-fulfilling narrative? - GEAB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_GB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Looming financial crisis: A self-fulfilling narrative? - GEAB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Happy New Black Clouds? The standard wishes for a Happy New Year seem almost out of place for many, given the black clouds[1] that seem to be gathering over the economy of the United State of America (US)[2] and the political threats to the economy existing in the European Union (EU).[3] The proximate causes are [&hellip;]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"GEAB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/globaleuropeanticipationbulletin?fref=ts\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-01-15T20:59:53+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2023-10-12T16:57:50+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/geab-131-T1.jpg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"GEAB\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"GEAB\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Estimated reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"11 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/en\\\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/en\\\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"GEAB\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/8c6c349a411026e30da8bb89a133de75\"},\"headline\":\"Looming financial crisis: A self-fulfilling narrative?\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-01-15T20:59:53+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2023-10-12T16:57:50+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/en\\\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":2246,\"commentCount\":0,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/en\\\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2019\\\/01\\\/geab-131-T1.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"economy\",\"finance\",\"governance\",\"investment\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Telescope\"],\"inLanguage\":\"en-GB\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/en\\\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/en\\\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/geab.eu\\\/en\\\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\\\/\",\"name\":\"Looming financial crisis: A self-fulfilling narrative? 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- GEAB","robots":{"index":"index","follow":"follow","max-snippet":"max-snippet:-1","max-image-preview":"max-image-preview:large","max-video-preview":"max-video-preview:-1"},"og_locale":"en_GB","og_type":"article","og_title":"Looming financial crisis: A self-fulfilling narrative? - GEAB","og_description":"Happy New Black Clouds? The standard wishes for a Happy New Year seem almost out of place for many, given the black clouds[1] that seem to be gathering over the economy of the United State of America (US)[2] and the political threats to the economy existing in the European Union (EU).[3] The proximate causes are [&hellip;]","og_url":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\/","og_site_name":"GEAB","article_publisher":"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/globaleuropeanticipationbulletin?fref=ts","article_published_time":"2019-01-15T20:59:53+00:00","article_modified_time":"2023-10-12T16:57:50+00:00","og_image":[{"url":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/geab-131-T1.jpg","type":"","width":"","height":""}],"author":"GEAB","twitter_misc":{"Written by":"GEAB","Estimated reading time":"11 minutes"},"schema":{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org","@graph":[{"@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\/#article","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\/"},"author":{"name":"GEAB","@id":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/#\/schema\/person\/8c6c349a411026e30da8bb89a133de75"},"headline":"Looming financial crisis: A self-fulfilling narrative?","datePublished":"2019-01-15T20:59:53+00:00","dateModified":"2023-10-12T16:57:50+00:00","mainEntityOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\/"},"wordCount":2246,"commentCount":0,"publisher":{"@id":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/#organization"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/01\/geab-131-T1.jpg","keywords":["economy","finance","governance","investment"],"articleSection":["Telescope"],"inLanguage":"en-GB","potentialAction":[{"@type":"CommentAction","name":"Comment","target":["https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\/#respond"]}]},{"@type":"WebPage","@id":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\/","url":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/en\/looming-financial-crisis-a-self-fulfilling-narrative\/","name":"Looming financial crisis: A self-fulfilling narrative? 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