American \u2018democracy\u2019 holds no surprises: two Democratic mandates then two Republican mandates, followed by two Democratic mandates and another two Republican mandates… It is on this basis \u2013 raising questions about levels of democracy involved \u2013 that the system has satisfied the Americans for two hundred years, by convincing them to remain calm, because their turn of representation can never be more than eight years away. The exceptional circumstances that this country and the world have been going through for the past twelve years have, on three occasions already, led our team to anticipate snags in the aforementioned multi-decennial routine. But nothing has deviated from this mechanical timekeeping; even if the arrival in power of Donald Trump was (perhaps) a first bug,[1]<\/a> the general outline was still respected. We should, therefore, learn from our mistakes and wisely anticipate Trump’s re-election for the second term he is entitled to. But the GEAB is not here to anticipate the obvious and we prefer to come up with scenarios of change: very important to bear in mind, in any case, to better understand the future and its mischievous nature.<\/p>\n So, we are not going to anticipate Donald Trump’s re-election. But that doesn’t mean that we see Joe Biden as the next President at the end of the year. At this stage, what piques our interest is the profound change in the underlying rationales of power in the US, following the general questioning that has taken place over the last twelve years.<\/p>\n Trump: the gravedigger of old America… assisted by Mr. COVID-19<\/strong><\/p>\n Every system encounters its builders, its managers and its gravediggers. And the gravediggers of obsolete systems are not necessarily the gravediggers of the future, contrary to what conservatives, so afraid of change, always try to make people believe. Trump has clearly embodied a certain America and, in doing so, he has put an end to it. For example:<\/p>\n As for the coronavirus, it cast the latest fatal blow to the emaciated health and social system of the \u2018world’s No 1 power\u2019.[13]<\/a> In the same way as it is blowing up the entire oil-dollar-debt system which has kept the \u2018sick man of the planet\u2019 supplied with oxygen.[14]<\/a><\/p>\n Everything has to be rebuilt… And everything is ready for that, as we will see later.<\/p>\n But just because Trump has released all this transformative energy, doesn\u2019t mean that he is actually a great man. He will remain the \u2018bad guy\u2019 in the history books. Moreover, no one will ever know if he did it all out of stupidity, recklessness or genius… or even if he was just the puppet of a great group of puppeteers. While the New America and the New World will have owed him a lot, he is probably not the one to oversee their emergence. In fact, if he managed to destroy so much without even starting a war, his brutal method could become really dangerous over a second term, which needs to be focused on reconstruction.[15]<\/a> That is why, from a systemic point of view, we believe that Trump has had his day. Mission accomplished! New ways of doing need to be embodied.<\/p>\n Figure 1 \u2013 The Americans’ view on D. Trump’s first mandate: In fact, we are no longer the only ones to anticipate a possible failure to renew his mandate: he is yo-yoing in the polls,[16]<\/a> electoral colleges are letting him down,[17]<\/a> the Republican camp is falling apart,[18]<\/a> \u2018anyone but Trump\u2019 movements are emerging,[19]<\/a>…<\/p>\n Joe Biden: the return of the living dead\t\t\n
![\"\"](\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/05\/geab-145-p1.jpg\")
<\/p>\n
\n\u2018Better off\u2019 (dark green), \u2018Not better off\u2019 (orange) and \u2018As well off\u2019 (light green).<\/p>\n