{"id":124045,"date":"2023-02-15T21:30:02","date_gmt":"2023-02-15T20:30:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/inde-2023-2024-trophee-de-la-guerre-des-mondes\/"},"modified":"2023-02-18T09:32:01","modified_gmt":"2023-02-18T08:32:01","slug":"india-2023-2024-trofeo-de-la-guerra-de-los-mundos","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/es\/india-2023-2024-trofeo-de-la-guerra-de-los-mundos\/","title":{"rendered":"India 2023 &#8211; 2024: Trofeo de la guerra de los mundos"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A medida que Occidente retiraba progresivamente sus activos de China anticipando el agravamiento de las tensiones entre ambos<a href=\"#_ftn1\" name=\"_ftnref1\"><sup>[1]<\/sup><\/a> y se daba cuenta de que su reindustrializaci\u00f3n tropezaba con innumerables dificultades (financieras, medioambientales, humanas), India aparec\u00eda como la soluci\u00f3n de sustituci\u00f3n ideal: una mano de obra numerosa y barata<a href=\"#_ftn2\" name=\"_ftnref2\"><sup>[2]<\/sup><\/a>, voluntad de desarrollo \u00aba toda costa\u00bb expresada por el gobierno siguiendo el ejemplo de Deng Xiaoping en 1978<a href=\"#_ftn3\" name=\"_ftnref3\"><sup>[3]<\/sup><\/a>, una perspectiva de crecimiento de casi 2 puntos, etc. Pero la experiencia china incita a Occidente a la prudencia: \u00bfc\u00f3mo evitar que el desarrollo de India vaya acompa\u00f1ado de un aumento de las tensiones entre Occidente e India? Siguiendo la nueva l\u00f3gica del <em>\u00abfriendshoring<\/em>\u00ab<a href=\"#_ftn4\" name=\"_ftnref4\"><sup>[4]<\/sup><\/a>, se tratar\u00eda de garantizar la compatibilidad duradera de India con Occidente. Pero esto no es f\u00e1cil: India es una potencia emblem\u00e1tica del esp\u00edritu de no alineaci\u00f3n de la Conferencia de Bandung (fue el propio Nehru quien invent\u00f3 el t\u00e9rmino \u00abno alineaci\u00f3n\u00bb en 1954). El actual Primer Ministro, el nacionalista Narendra Modi, no es una excepci\u00f3n a esta regla y procura mantener buenas relaciones con todo el mundo: Occidente, Rusia e incluso China. Aunque su bando se caracteriza por un fuerte sentimiento anti chino, el propio Modi parte de un principio de<em> realpolitik<\/em>, teniendo en cuenta la incompatibilidad del desarrollo econ\u00f3mico del pa\u00eds y la conflictualizaci\u00f3n de las relaciones con su gran vecino chino. Pero la guerra de Ucrania est\u00e1 ejerciendo m\u00e1s presi\u00f3n sobre el principio de no alineamiento: a India le resultar\u00e1 cada vez m\u00e1s dif\u00edcil mantener esta posici\u00f3n y se ver\u00e1 empujada a tomar partido a favor o en contra de China y Rusia.<\/p>\n<p>A medida que se acercan las elecciones generales de 2024, anticipamos la aparici\u00f3n de nuevas corrientes pol\u00edticas, incluidos movimientos prooccidentales probablemente vinculados a la Inglaterra de Rishi Sunak y a la di\u00e1spora india, que podr\u00edan hacerse con el poder para alinear a India con los intereses occidentales. La estrategia brit\u00e1nica post-Brexit &#8211;<em>Global Britain-<\/em> y post-Elizabeth II &#8211;<em>New Commonwealth<\/em>-, refuerza la probabilidad de este escenario y convierte al Reino Unido en un actor central en esta estrategia de realineamiento de India.\u00a0\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_subscribe \">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button \">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange_inverse\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/abonnement\/\">Para acceder al art\u00edculo completo, suscr\u00edbase<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#\" id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_popup\">Si ya est\u00e1 suscrito, ingrese aqu\u00ed<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_close\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-notices-wrapper\"><\/div>\n\n\t\t<h2>Acceder<\/h2>\n\n\t\t<form class=\"woocommerce-form woocommerce-form-login login\" method=\"post\" novalidate>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-form-row woocommerce-form-row--wide form-row form-row-wide\">\n\t\t\t\t<label for=\"username\">Nombre de usuario o correo electr\u00f3nico&nbsp;<span class=\"required\" aria-hidden=\"true\">*<\/span><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Obligatorio<\/span><\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" class=\"woocommerce-Input woocommerce-Input--text input-text\" name=\"username\" id=\"username\" autocomplete=\"username\" value=\"\" required aria-required=\"true\" \/>\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-form-row woocommerce-form-row--wide form-row form-row-wide\">\n\t\t\t\t<label for=\"password\">Contrase\u00f1a&nbsp;<span class=\"required\" aria-hidden=\"true\">*<\/span><span class=\"screen-reader-text\">Obligatorio<\/span><\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input class=\"woocommerce-Input woocommerce-Input--text input-text\" type=\"password\" name=\"password\" id=\"password\" autocomplete=\"current-password\" required aria-required=\"true\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<p class=\"form-row\">\n\t\t\t\t<label class=\"woocommerce-form__label woocommerce-form__label-for-checkbox woocommerce-form-login__rememberme\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<input class=\"woocommerce-form__input woocommerce-form__input-checkbox\" name=\"rememberme\" type=\"checkbox\" id=\"rememberme\" value=\"forever\" \/> <span>Recu\u00e9rdame<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input type=\"hidden\" id=\"woocommerce-login-nonce\" name=\"woocommerce-login-nonce\" value=\"7600d9e361\" \/><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"_wp_http_referer\" value=\"\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/124045\" \/>\t\t\t\t<button type=\"submit\" class=\"woocommerce-button button woocommerce-form-login__submit\" name=\"login\" value=\"Acceso\">Acceso<\/button>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-LostPassword lost_password\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/es\/mi-cuenta\/lost-password\/\">\u00bfOlvidaste la contrase\u00f1a?<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t<\/form>\n\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A medida que Occidente retiraba progresivamente sus activos de China anticipando el agravamiento de las tensiones entre ambos[1] y se daba cuenta de que su reindustrializaci\u00f3n tropezaba con innumerables dificultades (financieras, medioambientales, humanas), India aparec\u00eda como la soluci\u00f3n de sustituci\u00f3n ideal: una mano de obra numerosa y barata[2], voluntad de desarrollo \u00aba toda costa\u00bb expresada [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":124040,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[128],"tags":[5650,1523,5233,5295,984,5231],"class_list":["post-124045","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-perspectivas","tag-anticipacion","tag-economia-es","tag-geopolitica","tag-gobernanza","tag-india-es","tag-sociedad"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.7 - 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