{"id":139016,"date":"2025-04-15T14:06:41","date_gmt":"2025-04-15T12:06:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/le-dernier-krach-du-vieux-monde\/"},"modified":"2025-04-17T16:02:15","modified_gmt":"2025-04-17T14:02:15","slug":"el-ultimo-choque-del-viejo-mundo","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/es\/el-ultimo-choque-del-viejo-mundo\/","title":{"rendered":"El \u00faltimo choque del viejo mundo"},"content":{"rendered":"

EDITORIAL<\/span>
\n<\/strong>
\n<\/strong>35,5 billones de euros: eso es lo que ahorra Europa. Es tambi\u00e9n el importe de la deuda federal estadounidense. En veinte a\u00f1os, ha pasado del 5% al 123% del PIB, generando una carga de intereses de 881.000 millones de d\u00f3lares – \u00a1o 100 millones cada hora!<\/h3>\n

Mientras tanto, una burbuja tecnol\u00f3gica ha enmascarado fallos sist\u00e9micos. Desde 2010, los “7 magn\u00edficos” (Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, Tesla y Nvidia) han generado el 40 % del rendimiento de la renta variable estadounidense, con un crecimiento burs\u00e1til superior al 27 000 %.<\/p>\n

Crecimiento por encima del suelo, desconectado de cualquier utilidad real.<\/p>\n

\u00bfLa prueba? A pesar de todo este dinero, la mera llegada del competidor chino DeepSeek al mercado de GenAI provoc\u00f3 un desplome del 17% en el precio de las acciones de Nvidia, alertando al mundo financiero de la inminencia del estallido de una burbuja tecnol\u00f3gica[1]<\/a> con consecuencias potencialmente catastr\u00f3ficas.<\/p>\n

As\u00ed que los aranceles son una buena explicaci\u00f3n del hurac\u00e1n que azota las bolsas estadounidenses….<\/p>\n

Ahora bien, \u00bfes el crack burs\u00e1til de 2025 una nueva crisis financiera mundial?<\/p>\n

Probablemente no: al igual que la guerra euro-rusa por Ucrania no se convertir\u00e1 en una guerra mundial, la crisis financiera estadounidense de 2025, a pesar de los esfuerzos de Trump por disfrazarla y extenderla al resto del mundo a trav\u00e9s del “asunto de los aranceles”, no se convertir\u00e1, en nuestra opini\u00f3n, en una crisis financiera global. El mundo financiero est\u00e1 mucho m\u00e1s diversificado que en 2008.<\/p>\n

Como resultado, este gran desplome est\u00e1 adquiriendo cierta virtualidad. Miles de millones se esfuman. Pero, \u00bfes realmente dinero? \u00bfDe qui\u00e9n era? \u00bfCu\u00e1nto tardar\u00e1 en reaparecer? \u00bfY c\u00f3mo se puede ganar dinero con estas fluctuaciones?… Las subidas y bajadas de la bolsa ya no impresionan realmente.<\/p>\n

Lo que importa ahora no es el estado de Wall Street, sino el estado de nuestras econom\u00edas reales.<\/p>\n

Seg\u00fan Keir Starmer, “la globalizaci\u00f3n ha fracasado”[2]<\/a>. Pero lo mismo puede decirse de las finanzas que, a pesar de su rendimiento casi ininterrumpido desde 2008, ya no son capaces de enriquecer nuestras sociedades ni de evitar que nuestros gobiernos se endeuden.<\/p>\n

Como todos los sistemas, el financiero ha derivado hasta no servir a nadie m\u00e1s que a s\u00ed mismo: el dinero hace dinero para hacer m\u00e1s dinero, invirtiendo mec\u00e1nicamente en la c\u00faspide de la cadena alimentaria, es decir, en esos 7 Magn\u00edficos que saben qu\u00e9 hacer con \u00e9l: \u00bfqui\u00e9n utilizar\u00e1 sus bellos inventos si se seca el suelo econ\u00f3mico?<\/p>\n

Se avecina otra revoluci\u00f3n: monedas digitales, criptomonedas, automatizaci\u00f3n, IA… todas ellas tecnolog\u00edas que anuncian el fin de las finanzas tal y como las conocemos. [3]<\/a><\/p>\n

Mientras las cifras financieras vuelan con el viento Emergiendo de los escombros del viejo sistema, los humanos, con la ayuda de la IA y las divisas digitales, tienen ahora v\u00eda libre para crear un nuevo paradigma financiero al servicio de la econom\u00eda real… en modo de prueba y ensayo<\/em>.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/p>\n

Marie-H\u00e9l\u00e8ne Caillol, Directora de redaction<\/p>\n

Leer el GEAB 194<\/a><\/p>\n

[1]<\/a>\u00a0 \u00a0\u00a0 Fuente: Les Echos<\/a>, 27\/01\/2025<\/p>\n

[2]<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Fuente: The Times<\/a>,<\/p>\n

[3]<\/a>\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Fuente: EY<\/a>, 28\/02\/2024<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

EDITORIAL 35,5 billones de euros: eso es lo que ahorra Europa. Es tambi\u00e9n el importe de la deuda federal estadounidense. En veinte a\u00f1os, ha pasado del 5% al 123% del PIB, generando una carga de intereses de 881.000 millones de d\u00f3lares – \u00a1o 100 millones cada hora! Mientras tanto, una burbuja tecnol\u00f3gica ha enmascarado fallos […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":139011,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[128],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-139016","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-perspectivas"],"yoast_head":"\nEl \u00faltimo choque del viejo mundo - GEAB<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"El \u00faltimo choque del viejo mundo - GEAB\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"EDITORIAL 35,5 billones de euros: eso es lo que ahorra Europa. Es tambi\u00e9n el importe de la deuda federal estadounidense. 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