{"id":39686,"date":"2017-05-15T19:53:10","date_gmt":"2017-05-15T17:53:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/\/es\/calendrier-du-futur-maiseptembre-2017\/"},"modified":"2018-12-11T13:36:06","modified_gmt":"2018-12-11T12:36:06","slug":"calendario-del-futuro-mayo-septiembre-2017","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/geab.eu\/es\/calendario-del-futuro-mayo-septiembre-2017\/","title":{"rendered":"Calendario del futuro: mayo-septiembre 2017"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>19 de mayo \u2013 Ir\u00e1n: Elecciones presidenciales en Ir\u00e1n<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Un serio opositor amenaza las posibilidades de reelecci\u00f3n del reformista Rouhani, el ultraconservador Ebrahim Raissi, fortalecido por las enormes tensiones geopol\u00edticas que rodean a Ir\u00e1n: la guerra contra Arabia Saudita en Yemen, la implicaci\u00f3n en el conflicto sirio, amenazas de agresi\u00f3n por parte de Israel, peligro de ruptura del acuerdo nuclear por parte del nuevo presidente estadounidense, etc. A pesar de todo, Rouhani tiene altas posibilidades si no ocurre nada \u201cespecial\u201d de aqu\u00ed a las elecciones. La reelecci\u00f3n de Rouhani cortar\u00eda las alas a todos aquellos que necesitan un Ir\u00e1n agresivo para justificar sus propias acciones, aumentando la presi\u00f3n internacional en pos de encontrar soluciones pac\u00edficas. En particular, el actual dilema al que se enfrenta Israel, desde que Trump pusiera en cuesti\u00f3n la soluci\u00f3n de dos Estados. Ahora que Israel es el \u00fanico responsable de su pol\u00edtica y que puede finalmente considerar la soluci\u00f3n de un Estado \u00fanico, todos los problemas relativos a la aplicaci\u00f3n de pol\u00edticas obligan a los dirigentes a elegir entre admitir que es necesaria la soluci\u00f3n de dos Estados o bien iniciar una verdadera guerra en la que podr\u00edan entrar agentes como Rusia o Turqu\u00eda\u2026 especialmente si Ir\u00e1n se presenta como la v\u00edctima.\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_subscribe \">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button \">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange_inverse\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/abonnement\/\">Para acceder al art\u00edculo completo, suscr\u00edbase<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_article_content_suscribe__button\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_btn oct_btn_orange\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<a href=\"#\" id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_popup\">Si ya est\u00e1 suscrito, ingrese aqu\u00ed<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login_modal_close\"><\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div id=\"oct_suscribe_compte_login\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"woocommerce-notices-wrapper\"><\/div>\n\n\t\t<h2>Acceder<\/h2>\n\n\t\t<form class=\"woocommerce-form woocommerce-form-login login\" method=\"post\">\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-form-row woocommerce-form-row--wide form-row form-row-wide\">\n\t\t\t\t<label for=\"username\">Nombre de usuario o correo electr\u00f3nico&nbsp;<span class=\"required\">*<\/span><\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input type=\"text\" class=\"woocommerce-Input woocommerce-Input--text input-text\" name=\"username\" id=\"username\" autocomplete=\"username\" value=\"\" \/>\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-form-row woocommerce-form-row--wide form-row form-row-wide\">\n\t\t\t\t<label for=\"password\">Contrase\u00f1a&nbsp;<span class=\"required\">*<\/span><\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input class=\"woocommerce-Input woocommerce-Input--text input-text\" type=\"password\" name=\"password\" id=\"password\" autocomplete=\"current-password\" \/>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t\t<p class=\"form-row\">\n\t\t\t\t<label class=\"woocommerce-form__label woocommerce-form__label-for-checkbox woocommerce-form-login__rememberme\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<input class=\"woocommerce-form__input woocommerce-form__input-checkbox\" name=\"rememberme\" type=\"checkbox\" id=\"rememberme\" value=\"forever\" \/> <span>Recu\u00e9rdame<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t<\/label>\n\t\t\t\t<input type=\"hidden\" id=\"woocommerce-login-nonce\" name=\"woocommerce-login-nonce\" value=\"38a3208387\" \/><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"_wp_http_referer\" value=\"\/es\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/39686\" \/>\t\t\t\t<button type=\"submit\" class=\"woocommerce-button button woocommerce-form-login__submit\" name=\"login\" value=\"Acceso\">Acceso<\/button>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\t\t\t<p class=\"woocommerce-LostPassword lost_password\">\n\t\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/geab.eu\/es\/mi-cuenta\/lost-password\/\">\u00bfOlvidaste la contrase\u00f1a?<\/a>\n\t\t\t<\/p>\n\n\t\t\t\n\t\t<\/form>\n\n\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>19 de mayo \u2013 Ir\u00e1n: Elecciones presidenciales en Ir\u00e1n Un serio opositor amenaza las posibilidades de reelecci\u00f3n del reformista Rouhani, el ultraconservador Ebrahim Raissi, fortalecido por las enormes tensiones geopol\u00edticas que rodean a Ir\u00e1n: la guerra contra Arabia Saudita en Yemen, la implicaci\u00f3n en el conflicto sirio, amenazas de agresi\u00f3n por parte de Israel, peligro [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[129],"tags":[501,427,5295,5232],"class_list":["post-39686","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-telescopio-es","tag-estados-unidos","tag-europa-es","tag-gobernanza","tag-politica"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.8 - 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