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GEAB Summer 2024

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 31 Jul 2024

When will the oil era come to an end?

Global systemic crisis 2015 – Oil, currencies, finance, societies, the Middle East: Massive storm in the Western port

For many years, by combining various points of view (speculative, geopolitical, technological, economic, strategic and monetary…), we have continued to anticipate a major crisis in the entire oil sector. Today, no one doubts the fact that we are actually at that point, and the GEAB must therefore anticipate the consequences of this veritable atomic bomb, which has begun to blow up all the old system’s pillars: everything which we have known, international currencies, financial markets, the US, the Western alliance, world governance, democracy, etc.

The oil crisis is systemic because it is linked to the end of the all-oil era

Let’s return for a moment to the main characteristics of this systemic oil crisis which we have analysed. To quickly summarise and to highlight the systemic nature of this crisis, to better position our anticipations which follow, it’s the oil market’s world governance system OPEC, which has been undermined. The US, which was its master until around 2005, has seen the arrival of the emerging nations whose levels of consumption has inevitably made them joint masters.

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Contents

Since our bulletin's launch in 2006 under the direction of Franck Biancheri, one of our key missions has been to anticipate what we theorised as the "global systemic crisis", which [...]

Hydrocarbons will no longer be a resource of the future in the long term. New resources capable of replacing oil and new modes of consumption to ensure the distribution of [...]

The world of energy continues to reconfigure itself, with all the creaks and groaning notoriously associated with the quest for energy. Extracts from GEAB 141, 01/2020 : (...) A new [...]

In Europe, nuclear power, as a viable energy source for the future, divides opinion sharply in a political and societal battle over whether it should be maintained, developed or dismantled.  [...]

In conclusion, we would like to share some of the comments left by our readers in the survey on the future energy sources, which you will find in the appendix [...]

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