Applying anticipation to world political and economic news

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US Election 2020 – A New America takes over

The next US presidential election, despite its relatively normal exterior, is already showing some new features. For example: 1/ It’s not the main point of interest on the planet; 2/ Because of the pandemic, the Democratic primary did not really take place, but this did not prevent the nomination of the presumptive candidate; 3/ New contenders from new parties seem to be starting to show promise in what has always been a two-horse race. Therefore, while it is difficult to predict what will emerge from an election that is extraordinary in every respect, observing the major trends in the transformation of American power makes it possible to begin to identify the birth of a New America. This America is very (too) close to Europe and its ambitions are more global than ever. The proposed model deserves a closer look... to be able to better understand whether it will succeed in coming about during the next presidency or whether it will have to continue to put up with the old model of representation. All else being equal... American ‘democracy’ holds no surprises: two Democratic mandates then two Republican mandates, followed by two Democratic mandates and another two Republican mandates... It is [...]

In summary

Public Health 2020-2030: A New Quantum Leap

The last quantum leap in public health dates back to the 19th century. It was the result of the application of the principle of free medical care for all citizens. [...]

2020: Democracy in Euroland… finally

What if the decision of the German Federal Constitutional Court (Bundesverfassungsgericht - BVerfG) of 5 May was to become the first key component of a European political and democratic system, [...]

Air travel: Revolution in sight

As has been repeated several times since the outbreak of this crisis, COVID-19 will act as a multi-level accelerator. If this ends up being true in just one sector, it [...]

Paper gold: A looming crisis

Are the precious metal markets rushing to get ready for the biggest bull run in history? Recent actions by the London Bullion Market Association, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and many [...]

Investments, trends and recommendations (May 2020)

Insurances - The end of the system as we knew it According to Lloyd's of London, the insurance industry will have to pay out $203 billion this year and professionals [...]

What future is there for the European Commission within the big redefinition of the Transatlantic Relationship?

(excerpt from the GEAB bulletin 107 / September 2016) Since its creation, the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin has been designed among other things to inform European public opinion and decision [...]

GEAB 145 Synopsis – What New World Order?

The pandemic curves are flattening, European countries are slowly emerging from the containment phase and a new landscape is about to be revealed, whose main features we will try to [...]

GEAB Community – Let’s develop a collective understanding of the challenges of the future

Dear Readers, In this time of crisis, many people are thinking about the solutions needed in order to get out of it and create a new world. Since 2008, the [...]

Soon, the GEAB edition of April – The Covid Crisis as seen in the year 2040

At a time when the monomaniac media is drawing a smokescreen in front of everyone's eyes, the GEAB, as always, is focusing its radars on what is going on behind [...]

2020: General mobilisation against climate change

Warning: Environmentalism, or the preservation of the environment in an overpopulated world, largely deserves enlightened debate, intelligent policies and effective investments. However, we are using the word "climatism" (in the [...]

The birth of techno-climatism

History tends to remember the 1920s as the “roaring twenties”, dominated by joie de vivre, jazz and the Charleston. But this is the story as told by the Americans. On the [...]

Soon the GEAB issue of March: Covid-19 and NewParadigm-20

It would be hard not to mention Covid-19 in this coming bulletin. But it’s also hard to think straight and bring the characteristic GEAB perspective into the current media hysteria. [...]

As anticipated by our team, OPEC is exploding…

Russia's recent defection to OPEC+ is causing oil prices to plummet and causing the collapse of OPEC, according to the Wall Street Journal. These latest twists and turns in the [...]

The IMF and Washington’s South American politics

(what the GEAB said in September 2019) In reality, the IMF is not up to the refinancing challenge implemented by its creators. Indeed, how can it face the 22 trillion [...]

YOUR INTELLIGENCE OF THE FUTURE

YOUR INTELLIGENCE OF THE FUTURE

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An anticipation exercise* conducted on a monthly basis by the European Laboratory for Political Anticipation (LEAP).
* 75% success rate (on average, according to the annual evaluation)

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