Applying anticipation to world political and economic news
Your intelligence for the future
The ‘yellow vests’ (FR), the pro- and anti-Brexit protests (UK), the German political crisis (DE), the Catalan independence movement (SP), the budget battle (IT), the labour law reform (HU), the Marrakesh agreement and ministerial reshuffle (BE)… the European element in the increasingly violent crises currently feeding the national news is striking. Disclaimer: We recommend that you pay particular attention to the numerous footnotes supporting this article because the global news is indeed worrying. The European crisis, manifested and accelerated by the result of the British referendum, has precipitated the need for a complete overhaul of the European project that has been outstanding for two years now. However, two years later, in a Europe lacking leadership, the mobilisation of countless actors (political movements, governments, economic interests, foreign powers, etc.), in search of both solutions and the means to implement them, is becoming more and more visible in the form of a rat race in which different actions cancel each other out, revealing to the Europeans the gigantic political quagmire of the continent and throwing them out into the streets, angry and panicked. Unfortunately, the different national translations of this unique European crisis are imprisoning both citizens and politicians inside their borders [...]
Geab.eu also is going through a period of systemic transition! Further to a long process of consultation, reflection, construction and implementation, the new GEAB site is ready to be presented [...]
Future developments: What will be the new normal? President Trump emerged as a champion of those who perceived that they were left behind in the inequality race and who felt [...]
Largely criticised by some, glorified by others, cryptocurrencies keep raising questions and represent as many threats as opportunities depending where we stand; whether on the side of citizens, institutions, businesses [...]
General recommendation: Find shelters! You will understand when reading this issue that the clouds are gathering during the end of this year and the beginning of the next. Take out [...]
An evaluation of our anticipations for 2018 (drawn from GEAB No 121 of January 2018): 68% successful
17 Up et 16 Down Each year in December, we release an evaluation of our anticipations presented last January. This time, we end up with a final score of 22.5 [...]
Cryptocurrencies lie at the centre of many of the questions being asked by individuals, companies and market authorities, and therefore by nation states. Their position within the economic environment is [...]
The nations are angry, as anticipated in the GEAB since late 2011, and this is a logical consequence of a crisis without historical precedent, a multi-directional crisis of global dimensions [...]
Our website has been upgraded. New subscription packages, new features, new analyses... Check the brand new GEAB.EU website now! . Annual GEAB subscriptions available for only 160 euro/year; . Monthly GEAB subscriptions now [...]
Ukraine continues to create a significant barrier between Europe and Russia, forcing EU member states to abandon the dynamics of community to preserve interests intrinsically linked to the fluidity of [...]
The arrival of the petro-Yuan is of course the end of the dollar as a pillar of the international monetary system and thus the end of the unavoidability of the [...]
News on the economic front is less severe. The recovery is expected to continue in 2018, partly on the basis of these various returns to slight forms of protectionism; a [...]
For several years, in the fight between the national and the European levels of governance, it was asserted that the European level was a bulwark against nationalist ‘populisms’, a bastion [...]
As we have seen at the Davos Forum – and more generally in the recent developments over international relations – two models compete on the transatlantic stage, especially with regards [...]
A trade in goods without obstacles An abandonment of this regulation and an emancipation of the Brussels' tutelage still remain largely probable, because although a trade partnership following Brexit goes [...]
