Applying anticipation to world political and economic news

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Global Systemic Crisis: Impending Return to Reality

For 12 years, the West has been struggling to understand the message of the 2008 crisis: "You are no longer the only ones on the planet!” The dollar, international organisations dominated by the West, Western-centric financial markets, trade flows focused on Europe and the US,… the fantastic global trade network set up during the first half of the 20th century must be replaced as quickly as possible so it doesn’t collapse under the pressure of the gigantic flows running through it. Which is no tiny matter, especially when you want to remain No 1 and you only represent one tenth of the world's population (EU+US = about 800 million of a soon-to-be 8 billion people). In this western camp, however, Europe has learned to stop being No 1 and to do it very well... Switzerland or Luxembourg, to mention just the most obvious, are examples of how size isn’t everything. The US, on the other hand, in response to this need for transformation, has embarked on a delusional headlong rush which, far from helping it to reposition itself, is depleting its last remaining strength. Washington think-tanks and other US power strategy agencies may be very clever, but they seem to [...]

In summary

New-Tech – U-Turn!

Back to reality all round. And if there is one area that has been seized by acute "virtualisation" in the last decade, it is technology companies. They have found themselves [...]

US Tempted by Petroyuan

Remember! Back in 2017 we anticipated that Saudi Arabia would soon be selling its oil in yuan? This was a highly provocative hypothesis at the time, since the country was [...]

American Democracy: Towards some Healthy Questioning… and a Government of National Unity

Everyone knows that democracy in general is sick. Nevertheless, the West continues to base the legitimacy of its world ‘leadership’ on this supposed civilisational superiority. In the 1990s, the wars [...]

2021 – Galileo and the United Kingdom: (A Slight) Breturn

The United Kingdom has not been in the EU since January 2020. As a result, it has been cut off from access to the European GPS system, Galileo, which it [...]

Horizon 2030 – Re-Imagining Vehicles to Combine Private Cars and Public Transportation

In a period of uncertainty and with the morose predictions that have constantly plagued it over the last ten years, the European car industry has undoubtedly taken advantage of the [...]

Commodities: Towards an unsustainable volatility…

For the last 20 years, the international prices of many commodities have been set within a framework of globally recognised futures and spot contracts. Today, as many contracts detach from [...]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Oct 2020)

Recommendations: Treasure hunt This issue is packed with investment recommendations. Car sector, raw materials, technology stocks... we suggest you read it carefully then go on a treasure hunt! Samsung: Temporary [...]

Soon the GEAB No 148 (October issue). Back to Reality

Hysteria gripped the West in 2008 when the subprime crisis sent the first clear signal of the end of its world supremacy and the absolute necessity to begin a process [...]

Summer 2015: from the end of the Greek crisis to new geopolitics in the Eastern Mediterranean

Excerpt : GEAB 94 / Apr 2015 The Greek crisis is about to end… and it won’t be a European cheque which saves it but the fact that Greece is [...]

Bridging the gap to renewables

Many renewable energy sources have seen a dramatic increase in both their cost efficiency and their uptake by developed and developing economies. European countries have done particularly well, with some [...]

The centre of gravity of the Transatlantic relationship is shifting towards Europe (GEAB 146 – Synopsis)

The manufacture of the future is running at full speed and everyone (individuals, companies, associations, countries, continents) is working on their own (greater or lesser) projects. It is not easy [...]

What future is there for the European Commission within the big redefinition of the Transatlantic Relationship?

(excerpt from the GEAB bulletin 107 / September 2016) Since its creation, the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin has been designed among other things to inform European public opinion and decision [...]

GEAB 145 Synopsis – What New World Order?

The pandemic curves are flattening, European countries are slowly emerging from the containment phase and a new landscape is about to be revealed, whose main features we will try to [...]

GEAB Community – Let’s develop a collective understanding of the challenges of the future

Dear Readers, In this time of crisis, many people are thinking about the solutions needed in order to get out of it and create a new world. Since 2008, the [...]

Soon, the GEAB edition of April – The Covid Crisis as seen in the year 2040

At a time when the monomaniac media is drawing a smokescreen in front of everyone's eyes, the GEAB, as always, is focusing its radars on what is going on behind [...]

2020: General mobilisation against climate change

Warning: Environmentalism, or the preservation of the environment in an overpopulated world, largely deserves enlightened debate, intelligent policies and effective investments. However, we are using the word "climatism" (in the [...]

YOUR INTELLIGENCE OF THE FUTURE

YOUR INTELLIGENCE OF THE FUTURE

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An anticipation exercise* conducted on a monthly basis by the European Laboratory for Political Anticipation (LEAP).
* 75% success rate (on average, according to the annual evaluation)

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