Six years after the announcement of the Brexit, five years after the transatlantic "shock" of Trump's election, a few months after the withdrawal from Afghanistan, our team anticipates that a New Europe will show up as early as 2022, one that will fully reveal itself from spring/summer on. At its heart, the European defence, which is finally beginning to take shape, should normally strengthen the progressive camp, even if a violent battle is in the offing between the latter and the networks of an identitarian West. These networks have occurred in recent years under the media radar in reaction to the great shocks experimented by our societies since 2008 and which have come to light over the past two years. Our hypothesis of the future takes into account the axes of systemic transformation affecting Europe: systemic rivalry with China, American and Western multisectoral crisis, risks weighing on the post-Covid Western financial system, transformation of the international monetary system, geopolitical repositioning of the UK, in-depth transformation of the EU, the first faltering steps of a European Defence, the first tests of a common foreign policy, the consolidation of a cracked Union, the major upheaval of the world political scene, etc. 2022 [...]