Applying anticipation to world political and economic news
Your intelligence for the future
Like any living organism, our world died in suffering, blood and excrement (and disease). Like any living organism, a new world is born in suffering, blood and excrement (and vaccination). The baby will grow and transform very quickly, crushing the freedom and the common sense of its parents. Then there will be the teenage tantrums, the severity of which will depend on natural provisions and the education received. Then things will calm down for a while... Looking ahead to choose the right path Societal time depends on its components, namely human beings. Therefore, we have a good twenty years (a generation) of reconstruction difficulties, crises and attempts to stabilise ahead of us. During this period, we will have to find ways to keep a cool head because the worse we manage the shocks, the more they will come back to haunt the following cycles. However, if the crises that we are expecting are rooted in the past, they will take the characteristic forms of the “world-after” – new and unusual, more difficult to imagine and to spot. It will be more vital than ever to try to anticipate shocks and any brewing transformations. Meanwhile, we have to add a more [...]
After the year of "reflection" that the long Covid break of 2020 has provided humanity, Year One of the World After, or the "Digital Age", takes us on a trip [...]
2021 is full of events that could not be held in 2020 due to the pandemic. Some of these dates are still uncertain, and the 2021 Calendar that we’re setting [...]
The post-election statement made by German Defence Minister Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer ("The idea of European strategic independence goes too far if it nurtures the illusion that we can ensure Europe’s security, [...]
As we have already stated in various issues of the GEAB, agriculture as we know it is undergoing remarkable change. While we often see farming as a rural, analogue activity, [...]
One of the main points of instability in the reformed system emerging today is how out of touch leaders are. This year, we’ve scraped the barrel and it’s undermining all [...]
FROM OUR JUNIOR TEAM / With the year 2020 now behind us, it seemed interesting for the LEAP team to look back on its Vision 2020. This book, written by [...]
This task is particularly risky this year. In 2021, our fates will be tightly held between the highly disruptive relaunch of the economy (an economy that has been considerably modernised, [...]
Welcome to 2021, Year One of the world after. After the year of "reflection" that the long Covid break has provided humanity, Year One of the world after, or the [...]
2020 has literally given rise to “the brave new world”, the key features and emergence stages of which the GEAB has spent 15 years anticipating. And the end of this [...]
The European Commission is launching EU4Health, a programme it will endow with €9.4 billion. It seems like a good time to republish the “vision” part of the article “Public Health [...]
Despite the figures for the pandemic once again sky-rocketing, Biden – like Trump back in March – does not envisage a second lockdown. The reality is that the United States [...]
As the media heralds the Democrat candidate’s victory, the western world is living through another of the great illusions that we described last month: under Biden, America is back on [...]
Hysteria gripped the West in 2008 when the subprime crisis sent the first clear signal of the end of its world supremacy and the absolute necessity to begin a process [...]
Excerpt : GEAB 94 / Apr 2015 The Greek crisis is about to end… and it won’t be a European cheque which saves it but the fact that Greece is [...]
