Applying anticipation to world political and economic news

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First semester of 2019 – Anger of nations, Balkans, end of the QE, Special Purpose Vehicle, Brexit, Elections… Europe: Countdowns are on!

The ‘yellow vests’ (FR), the pro- and anti-Brexit protests (UK), the German political crisis (DE), the Catalan independence movement (SP), the budget battle (IT), the labour law reform (HU), the Marrakesh agreement and ministerial reshuffle (BE)… the European element in the increasingly violent crises currently feeding the national news is striking. Disclaimer: We recommend that you pay particular attention to the numerous footnotes supporting this article because the global news is indeed worrying. The European crisis, manifested and accelerated by the result of the British referendum, has precipitated the need for a complete overhaul of the European project that has been outstanding for two years now. However, two years later, in a Europe lacking leadership, the mobilisation of countless actors (political movements, governments, economic interests, foreign powers, etc.), in search of both solutions and the means to implement them, is becoming more and more visible in the form of a rat race in which different actions cancel each other out, revealing to the Europeans the gigantic political quagmire of the continent and throwing them out into the streets, angry and panicked. Unfortunately, the different national translations of this unique European crisis are imprisoning both citizens and politicians inside their borders [...]

In summary

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An anticipation exercise* conducted on a monthly basis by the European Laboratory for Political Anticipation (LEAP).
* 75% success rate (on average, according to the annual evaluation)

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