For 40 years now, the freezing of the situation in Western Sahara has been contributing significantly to the paralysis of the whole of North Africa. Nevertheless, significant changes in the regional order allow our team to anticipate a future outcome.
. South China Sea, 2016: a summit of bordering countries
In line with the escalating tensions resulting from the large global systemic transition, a direct confrontation between the US and China is clearly on the conceivable horizon. The fuelled tensions in the South China Sea regarding the disputed ownership of certain islands seem to provide a perfect trigger to the escalating conflict in the American-Chinese relations. Yet, our team, without totally excluding the hypothesis of such a conflict, anticipates that this bluster is probably just about to be extinguished…(Read more in the GEAB 99)
The global systemic crisis we have been experiencing for at least eight years is challenging a world order which we have often compared to the one going back not only [...]
LEAP, whose method of political anticipation was invented by Franck Biancheri, and applied every month in the GEAB, is honoured to have been invited to contribute a 20-page chapter in [...]