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World 2025–2045: Permanent Systemic War as the new norm

ANTICIPATION

It won’t be the climate that forces us to become resilient, war will.

After 20 years marked by the Global Systemic Crisis, we anticipate that 2026 will mark a shift into a new period of at least 20 years (a generation) of Permanent Systemic War. This new norm will be the most characteristic and structuring constraint of the socio-political reorganisation to come, contributing to the “Return of the Human” envisaged in this issue. The vague notions surrounding ‘resilience’ that have emerged in common speeches in recent years in connection with the climate crisis will take on a much more concrete and urgent meaning in the context of the coming awareness of this state of permanent war.

This anticipation is a logical continuation of the process we have observed over the last 20 years, namely the collapse of the international order that emerged after the Second World War, combined with the failure of Western leaders to negotiate the great shift, resulting in the major derailment that we have all witnessed helplessly, now forcing us to acknowledge the systemic impossibility for anyone to regain control of world’s destiny.

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Contents

EDITORIAL Precisely 20 years ago, the European Laboratory for Political Anticipation (LEAP2020) released the first issue of an unconventional UFO-like magazine, the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin. Why "unconventional"? Because at [...]

OVERVIEW We could not forgo our long-awaited January panorama of the year’s trends, anchored in our hypothesis of the official inauguration of Permanent Systemic War. The return of humanity is [...]

TREND In 2009, in his book "World Crisis", Franck Biancheri stated: "Our relationship with the future has fundamentally changed in fifty years the future now influences the present of our [...]

VISION It is the hypothesis of a shift to a state of Permanent Systemic War that allows us to anticipate a return of the human. Indeed, the fragility of the [...]

ACTION In the context of a global systemic crisis causing the collapse of absolutely all societal fundamentals, the first reaction is the hardening of all power structures faced with a [...]

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