Your intelligence for the future

Home Terra Cognita 2089 – Towards a Greater Europe?

Terra Cognita 2089 – Towards a Greater Europe?

The Terra Cognita 2089 section aims to map out our medium- to long-term future based on official documents and statements from powerful actors. By studying, combining and applying critical reading, we believe we can build a rational understanding of what we are collectively striving for. After delving into the visions of Saudi Arabia 2055 and Turkey 2053, this edition focuses on the future of Europe.

This is no easy task, as our continent struggles to agree on a clear vision for its future, fluctuating with each crisis: in the 1980s, the focus was on political Europe; but in the 1990s, the focus shifted to enlargement; then in the 2000s, governance reform was the big issue; With nothing having been done in this area, the 2010s saw the migration crisis and populism lead to the departure of the United Kingdom and trigger a major reflection on the future of Europe. This debate enabled the decade to end with a clear project aimed at addressing the ecological crisis, the Green Deal (2019). However, the war between Ukraine and Russia is now drawing Europe into a dream of a Greater Europe extending to the whole of Western Europe (the United Kingdom, Norway, Switzerland, Andorra, etc.) as well as the former Russian sphere of influence (the Balkans, the Caucasus) and Turkey.

The obvious limitations reached by the EU since the departure of the United Kingdom, Switzerland’s successive refusals to join the EU, the hesitations of smaller states such as Andorra, etc., are forcing Europe to devise a new vehicle for continental cooperation. The European Political Community launched by Emmanuel Macron in 2022 provides a new framework integrating all the states of the Council of Europe plus Kosovo, i.e. 47 Member States, for a project of security, stability and prosperity.

 

The discovery of the Book of Europe: leaders share their vision for the future of the continent, published in 2024 at the end of Liechtenstein’s presidency and on the occasion of the 75thanniversary of the Council of Europe, provided an opportunity to take a closer look at what the leaders of this Greater Europe in the making had in mind for our future. Thirty-three leaders express their views in this document.

1/ First, we invite you to read this document and form your own opinion.

2/ Then, with the help of AI, we asked ourselves what vision of tomorrow’s Europe emerges from this compilation.

3/ Finally, we offer you a critical exercise in style in which two ethnologists explore the archives of the Book of Europe (2024) in 2089, a document-memoir of a Europe in search of a future.

Marie-Hélène Caillol and Christopher Cordey

Une question ? Un commentaire ? Écrivez-nous
Contents

EDITORIAL Labour, money, energy… is technological progress the key to escaping the constraints of this economic triangle? Following OpenAI’s ChatGPT breakthrough, which promised virtually limitless production independent of human labor, [...]

The rise of stablecoins backed by the US dollar is often presented as a "technological solution" to the global debt crisis: by massively recycling Treasury bills (T-bills) as collateral, they [...]

The United States now considers that public opinion is ready to "hear the truth" about UFOs. Some therefore anticipate that Unidentified Aerospace Phenomena (UAP) are about to enter the public [...]

"He who knows the other and knows himself can fight a hundred battles without ever being in danger." This quote from Sun Tzu justifies the existence of a thousand Earth [...]

Since 2024, Washington has been encouraging its allies to sign massive commitments to purchase American hydrocarbons in order to secure their supply and consolidate the influence of the United States. [...]

Disclaimer: The recommendations below are the result of a systemic anticipation approach specific to the GEAB. They do not represent personalised financial advice or investment incentives. In a context of [...]

Related articles
GEAB_AUTEUR
15 Jun 2026

Investment recommendations (June)

RECOMMENDATIONS Disclaimer: The recommendations below are the result of a systemic anticipation approach specific to the GEAB. They do not represent personalised financial advice or investment incentives. In a context [...]

GEAB_AUTEUR
15 Jun 2026

Understanding collective narrative manipulation

METHOD In recent years, narratives surrounding all sorts of conflicts have seen a remarkable resurgence of what was previously known as ‘agitprop’ (on the Soviet side) or ‘psy-ops’ (on the [...]

GEAB_AUTEUR
15 Jun 2026

The Saturday morning market, or what AI has taught me to see

WEAK SIGNAL Christopher H. CORDEY is a Swiss futurist and maieutician, founder of Futuratinow and Prosilience, and a partner at gaming the future. He edits the mµtators series and works [...]