Has the West bet on the wrong future?
The objective of understanding the future is, above all, to increase one’s chances of being part of it. And undeniably, this goal will be less likely to be achieved if we are mistaken in the elaboration of an objective vision of the future.
The GEAB began 2-3 years ago to question the rationality of the visions of the future that are being put forward in the West to attract trillions of dollars to finance the competition with Asia.
With the approaching rise in Western central bank rates promising a bursting of the new tech bubble, we return to this hypothesis: has the West collectively misunderstood what the future would look like so badly that it risks to be left out, or even choose to step aside? Will the Iron Curtain we keep anticipating be an Iron Curtain 3.0, marking the West’s exit from the race to modernise, a new Star Wars? Could the GAFAS themselves turn into anti-future actors and why?
Based on this line of questioning, we anticipate in the next issue a violent and painful stop to the financing of the future, an anticipation that should be posed in an attempt to reposition ourselves.
This stop has already been anticipated by China, which is taking its Big Tech out of Wall Street, regulating it to bring it back onto reasonable paths for the future, and is already laying down new models for the functioning of its economy in the process (Systemic shift: From Made in China to Powered by China).
Meanwhile, Westerners continue to exhaust their monetary forces in supporting an economy that may not be on the right track… even if, in Europe in particular, a real intelligence of the future has emerged as evidenced by the vision anchored in the coalition treaty of the new German government (Germany’s Map for 2022-2025: A Multipolar Government for a Multipolar World).
This issue, which takes stock of the Western negotiation of the systemic shift, also contains the annual assessment of the 2021 Trend Panorama, which proudly displays a 77% success rate, our best result in 10 years (An assessment of our anticipations for 2021: 77% success rate).
Detailed summary of the GEAB 160:
– 2022-2025: Western New Tech versus Web 3.0
– The past comes to save the future: Taking a new look at… the Cold War
– Systemic Change: From Made in China to Powered by China
– Germany’s Map for 2022-2025: A Multipolar Government for a Multipolar World
– An assessment of our anticipations for 2021: 77% success rate
– Investments, trends and recommendations