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2016 : The year of India… and the last chance for an organized systemic global transition

When LEAP launched the GEAB in January 2006 with the object of describing a “global systemic crisis” in the making, one of its aims was to help raise awareness amongst Europeans of the US’ weakness and of the opportunity which then existed to complete the continent’s independence process. This objective was not only motivated by […]

Summer 2015: from the end of the Greek crisis to new geopolitics in the Eastern Mediterranean

Excerpt : GEAB 94 / Apr 2015 The Greek crisis is about to end… and it won’t be a European cheque which saves it but the fact that Greece is about to find the money to pay off its debt itself. Russia? The US? … Lack of political will to save Greece Since 2009 the […]

Latin America 2020 : Get rid of the last links inherited from the 20th century so as to calmly take its place in the 21st century’s multi-polar world

After a golden decade when Latin America finally seemed to take off towards prosperity under its own steam, the panorama has suddenly darkened in a few weeks…  « New Silk Road »: A Chinese-style New Deal Historians will remember that the Chinese President Xi Jinping officially launched the new “Silk Road” with a 30 minute speech at […]

Real estate: watch your step

The various quantitative easings, or other political stimuli and support for real estate, have prevented real estate prices to collapse as they should have done in the turmoil of the global systemic crisis. We say: “as they should have done”, because it was the only way of finally balancing delusional bubbles… Investments, trends and recommendations […]

Investments, trends and recommendations

. Invest in expanding one’s business on the Internet . And if the time of public investment returned… . A profession of the future: deconstruction . Digital currencies based on gold We never overestimate enough the magnitude and importance of the internet revolution – that some even call the third industrial revolution. Whether it is […]

Geopolitics, democracy, finance, Greece, Russia, China… 26 key trends for 2015

2014 was dominated by the Ukrainian crisis that overshadowed the many advances made in changing the world. 2015 is likely to be full of these kinds of events, proved this January with the terrorist attack against a French satirical newspaper and the management of the subsequent crisis…

First half of 2015 – Oil, the Middle East, Charlie Hebdo… Last resilience tests of the Western “model”: commit suicide or adapt

In the absence of a Europe able to indicate the true ways of the future[1], the « world before »[2] is hardening, locked into its “serious thinking” ideologies (ideologies are always “serious thinking”, moreover) and repeat the recipes of the past ad nauseam. In doing so, the “world afterwards” is finding itself transformed: it will be […]