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Mid-November: International Summits Congestion

In the week we publish GEAB there are some very big events that we have to bring to your attention: 12-16 November: ASEAN summit / Vietnam. The debates focus on the immense risks that US-Chinese tensions pose to the region. 13 November: G20 / Saudi Arabia.  The indebted countries of the G20 agree to lift […]

Financial Markets in Turmoil, Endemic Violence, Stabilisation Needed: What Will the Next Catastrophe Be?

Even though the world is still counting its Covid deaths and assessing the consequences of this crisis onto its financial markets, economy and society, perhaps it is already time to wonder whether a second rogue wave is not already forming on the horizon, ready to sweep away the old Western socio-economic model next year. Contrary […]

Covid, NATO, Migrants… Flashback to all European crises

As the media heralds the Democrat candidate’s victory in the US presidential election, Europe is going through another of the great hallucinations that we described last month in the GEAB: “Under Biden, America is back and the world is saved!” And the good news is piling up, starting with the discovery of a miracle vaccine by […]

Coming up next, the GEAB bulletin of November. Synopsis

As the media heralds the Democrat candidate’s victory, the western world is living through another of the great illusions that we described last month: under Biden, America is back on top and the world has been saved! And the good news keeps on coming, what with the discovery of a miracle vaccine that the American […]

Horizon 2030 – Re-Imagining Vehicles to Combine Private Cars and Public Transportation

In a period of uncertainty and with the morose predictions that have constantly plagued it over the last ten years, the European car industry has undoubtedly taken advantage of the covid crisis to take a more wholesome route. In spite of a severe indictment, what with the saturation of urban spaces, environmental problems, unacceptable dangers […]

2021 – Galileo and the United Kingdom: (A Slight) Breturn

The United Kingdom has not been in the EU since January 2020. As a result, it has been cut off from access to the European GPS system, Galileo, which it had previously been a major contributor both in terms of science and money. Since 31 December, the British army no longer has access to the […]

Global Systemic Crisis: Impending Return to Reality

For 12 years, the West has been struggling to understand the message of the 2008 crisis: “You are no longer the only ones on the planet!” The dollar, international organisations dominated by the West, Western-centric financial markets, trade flows focused on Europe and the US,… the fantastic global trade network set up during the first […]

Summer 2015: from the end of the Greek crisis to new geopolitics in the Eastern Mediterranean

Excerpt : GEAB 94 / Apr 2015 The Greek crisis is about to end… and it won’t be a European cheque which saves it but the fact that Greece is about to find the money to pay off its debt itself. Russia? The US? … Lack of political will to save Greece Since 2009 the […]

What will post-COVID-19 Europe look like? (Mar 2020)

The prospects for social reorganisation that can be imagined from the current health crisis are enormous. We have, therefore, decided to focus on Europe, about which we are much more certain than we are about the rest of the world. But certain trends of transformation will be the same everywhere. Governance: strengthening regional and global […]

The new face of post-election Europe (May 2019)

There’s no need to wait for the results of the election to anticipate some of the major features of the new Europe that will be established after June 2019. Certainly, on the surface, there will be no revolution: The sovereignist right-wing parties (ENF[1]+Brexit[2]+AEPN[3]+CRE) won’t accumulate more than 20 or 25% maximum of parliamentary seats (around […]

European elections / Europe 2040: ‘And now for something completely different’ (Mar 2019)

There is a lot about epilogues in this issue! In the case of the EU (a phase in the construction of Europe which came into being on 7 February 1992 in Maastricht), the upcoming elections will seal the vision it has held for 27 years. And this is not an anticipation! We reiterate that the […]

Euro governance/Horizon 2020: The inevitable evolution of the ECB’s unique mandate (Apr. 2017)

The financial crisis followed by the debt crisis has led to a substantial change in the mandate of the European Central Bank (ECB) and to more political provisions. The ECB has acquired implicit mandates to safeguard the euro but also an economic policy which all go far beyond the original objective of price stability. The […]

European elections 2019: the allied far rights becomes the dominant parliamentary group in the European Parliament (Mar. 2017)

This anticipation is not very original but it must nevertheless be faced with all the lucidity required. It is hardly a hypothesis, but rather a certainty: the allied European far rights will constitute the most consistent and therefore powerful parliamentary group in the next European Parliament, whatever their results in the previous national elections. What […]

What future is there for the European Commission within the big redefinition of the Transatlantic Relationship? (Sep. 2016)

Since its creation, the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin has been designed among other things to inform European public opinion and decision makers about the fact that the global geopolitical reconfiguration vitally requires a profound change of the EU. The United States, structural associate of the European project since its origin – but mostly since the […]

Global systemic crisis: the big comeback of dark Europe (Dec. 2015)

A long time ago, in 1998, Franck Biancheri, our regretfully departed director of studies, signed an anticipatory article entitled: « 2009, when Europe ends up in the hands of the grandsons of Hitler, Pétain, Mussolini… ». This is the fate he anticipated for the EU in case it failed to democratize. The failure is a patent […]

The EU: Sailing in a raging storm with no navigation equipment (Nov. 2016)

The editorial GEAB team decided to share, exceptionally, with its readers an excerpt of the as yet unpublished document entitled “Community or Empire”; a book written by Franck Biancheri in 1992. This excerpt evokes the importance for the EU’s endowing with a forecasting capacity to adapt its governance to the challenges of its reopening to […]

2014-2020: A Mutating Europe

The corona crisis has been the trigger for the EU to finally start issuing common bonds. It was a modest and hard-won step forward. In the midst of the flames, the fire brigade still took 5 days to decide to bring out the big fire hose. That says a lot about the degree of divisions […]

Second half of 2020 – The European test of peace in the Middle East

In theory, Europe currently seems much more compatible with the multipolar world of the 21st century than the United States. But it still needs to prove it. From 1st July, Europe will be put to the test. Officially, this is the date on which the implementation of the plan to annex the Occupied Territories to […]