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What will post-COVID-19 Europe look like? (Mar 2020)

The prospects for social reorganisation that can be imagined from the current health crisis are enormous. We have, therefore, decided to focus on Europe, about which we are much more certain than we are about the rest of the world. But certain trends of transformation will be the same everywhere. Governance: strengthening regional and global […]

The new face of post-election Europe (May 2019)

There’s no need to wait for the results of the election to anticipate some of the major features of the new Europe that will be established after June 2019. Certainly, on the surface, there will be no revolution: The sovereignist right-wing parties (ENF[1]+Brexit[2]+AEPN[3]+CRE) won’t accumulate more than 20 or 25% maximum of parliamentary seats (around […]

European elections / Europe 2040: ‘And now for something completely different’ (Mar 2019)

There is a lot about epilogues in this issue! In the case of the EU (a phase in the construction of Europe which came into being on 7 February 1992 in Maastricht), the upcoming elections will seal the vision it has held for 27 years. And this is not an anticipation! We reiterate that the […]

Euro governance/Horizon 2020: The inevitable evolution of the ECB’s unique mandate (Apr. 2017)

The financial crisis followed by the debt crisis has led to a substantial change in the mandate of the European Central Bank (ECB) and to more political provisions. The ECB has acquired implicit mandates to safeguard the euro but also an economic policy which all go far beyond the original objective of price stability. The […]

European elections 2019: the allied far rights becomes the dominant parliamentary group in the European Parliament (Mar. 2017)

This anticipation is not very original but it must nevertheless be faced with all the lucidity required. It is hardly a hypothesis, but rather a certainty: the allied European far rights will constitute the most consistent and therefore powerful parliamentary group in the next European Parliament, whatever their results in the previous national elections. What […]

What future is there for the European Commission within the big redefinition of the Transatlantic Relationship? (Sep. 2016)

Since its creation, the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin has been designed among other things to inform European public opinion and decision makers about the fact that the global geopolitical reconfiguration vitally requires a profound change of the EU. The United States, structural associate of the European project since its origin – but mostly since the […]

Global systemic crisis: the big comeback of dark Europe (Dec. 2015)

A long time ago, in 1998, Franck Biancheri, our regretfully departed director of studies, signed an anticipatory article entitled: « 2009, when Europe ends up in the hands of the grandsons of Hitler, Pétain, Mussolini… ». This is the fate he anticipated for the EU in case it failed to democratize. The failure is a patent […]

The EU: Sailing in a raging storm with no navigation equipment (Nov. 2016)

The editorial GEAB team decided to share, exceptionally, with its readers an excerpt of the as yet unpublished document entitled “Community or Empire”; a book written by Franck Biancheri in 1992. This excerpt evokes the importance for the EU’s endowing with a forecasting capacity to adapt its governance to the challenges of its reopening to […]

2014-2020: A Mutating Europe

The corona crisis has been the trigger for the EU to finally start issuing common bonds. It was a modest and hard-won step forward. In the midst of the flames, the fire brigade still took 5 days to decide to bring out the big fire hose. That says a lot about the degree of divisions […]

Second half of 2020 – The European test of peace in the Middle East

In theory, Europe currently seems much more compatible with the multipolar world of the 21st century than the United States. But it still needs to prove it. From 1st July, Europe will be put to the test. Officially, this is the date on which the implementation of the plan to annex the Occupied Territories to […]

Europe 2020-2028: 750 billion euro to change the paradigm… and save the USA

As the virus attacks what has been viewed as the core of the Western reactor since 1945, namely America, it is propelling Europe, regenerated by twelve years of reflection, to the forefront. 2028 is the date set to start repaying the 750-billion-euro loan that the European Council is expected to authorise on 19 June. This […]

COVID-19 / America21: Fatal chain reaction

Last month, we anticipated a risk of derailment of the centuries-old machine of the American elections.[1] With optimism, we hypothesised that an exceptional context could lead to an extraordinary election that would send Trump as well as Biden back to the ropes and bring to light a third option, more representative of the ‘New America’ […]

Transatlantic 21: The centre of gravity of the transatlantic relationship is shifting towards Europe

Since 2006, the global systemic crisis described by the GEAB has referred to the ‘system’ founded in 1945 in the aftermath of the WW2.[1] Nevertheless, at the heart of this world order is the transatlantic relationship, a link between the USA and Europe based on a double predicate: Europe needs the American guardian so that, […]

The centre of gravity of the Transatlantic relationship is shifting towards Europe (GEAB 146 – Synopsis)

The manufacture of the future is running at full speed and everyone (individuals, companies, associations, countries, continents) is working on their own (greater or lesser) projects. It is not easy to see clearly what tomorrow will look like in the end. Luckily, the GEAB is here to help you rise above all the hype and […]

Air travel: Revolution in sight

As has been repeated several times since the outbreak of this crisis, COVID-19 will act as a multi-level accelerator. If this ends up being true in just one sector, it will be the airline industry. Directly blamed for its responsibility in the spread of the virus, perhaps this sector has been hit hardest by the […]

2020: Democracy in Euroland… finally

What if the decision of the German Federal Constitutional Court (Bundesverfassungsgericht – BVerfG) of 5 May was to become the first key component of a European political and democratic system, rather than a spanner in the works? This was our initial reaction as the media exploded with articles, each more catastrophic than the last, on […]

Public Health 2020-2030: A New Quantum Leap

The last quantum leap in public health dates back to the 19th century. It was the result of the application of the principle of free medical care for all citizens. This extension of the healthcare domain had the effect of providing a gigantic database to a medical scientific community grouped in large hospital institutions.[1] Since […]

2008-2020: Twelve Years of Global Systemic Crisis

Since 2008, the GEAB has been talking about the ‘world after’. Now everyone is using this expression. It is therefore time to archive the ‘global systemic crisis of 2008-2020’.[1] The ‘historian of the future’ is the one who will have described what happened over this 12-year period. Now that a chapter of history is coming […]