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Dollar: Time is running out

The dollar will collapse only if the United States decides to let it collapse. The country is now in a situation where it is getting closer to having to make that decision. Are the current threats of non-raising the debt ceiling designed to warn the world that this time is coming and that everyone must […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (sept 2021)

Bitcoin: wait and see // Dollar: last opportunity // Stocks: floating bombs in sight! // Dollar versus tech stocks // Commodities: Bonanza! ______________________________ Bitcoin: wait and see Unsurprisingly, Bitcoin regained its luster over the summer. Governments on holiday gave it a free hand and it was able to follow its natural upward trend as a […]

2021-2040: Back to the future

The historic event of this summer is of course the withdrawal from Afghanistan, a withdrawal in which no one seemed to really believe, despite the decisions taken a year and a half earlier[1]… No one except France, which withdrew its troops last May[2]… proving everything was well planned after all. This event is important enough […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (May 2021)

Crypto-currencies: Maximum mistrust // Dollar : Standardisation // Technology stocks: Too virtual // Iron ore: Volatility in sight // Oil: Agility, security //  If the “back to basics” trend that we have been observing for several months starts to dominate, as our research on energy and commodities seems to suggest, here is a new set […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Oct 2020)

Recommendations: Treasure hunt This issue is packed with investment recommendations. Car sector, raw materials, technology stocks… we suggest you read it carefully then go on a treasure hunt! Samsung: Temporary mistrust The current economic and strategic rapprochement between the Chinese and South Korean leaders[1] makes us fear American reprisals. One can imagine that it will […]

US Tempted by Petroyuan

Remember! Back in 2017 we anticipated that Saudi Arabia would soon be selling its oil in yuan? This was a highly provocative hypothesis at the time, since the country was then one of the two pillars of the petrodollar system.[1] Two years later, it became clear that export flows of Saudi oil were making a […]

Deep into our archives – Twelve Years of Transformation of the International Monetary System as anticipated by the GEAB

The global systemic crisis has spanned 12 years between its onset in 2008 and its conclusion in 2020, most of which correspond to the ‘decantation phase’ mentioned in the previous article. During that time, the LEAP team has kept an eye on many axes of transformation – governance, geopolitical configuration, economic models, the Middle East, […]

Deep into our archives – The major phases of the ‘global systemic crisis’ as anticipated by the GEAB

The ‘world-after’ is a phrase which was probably uppermost in most people’s minds during the period of global lockdown caused by the coronavirus pandemic. For the authors and readers of the GEAB, it is nothing new; this phrase has been at the centre of our anticipatory analyses since issue No.28 of October 2008. At the […]

Anticipation 2025 : Peak Oil

Everyone agrees that, as announced by the International Energy Agency and OPEC, the next peak oil will be around 2025 (2030 for McKinsey), all sectors of production included, whether conventional or unconventional. After that, the supply will fall or collapse, according to forecasters, in spite of population growth (though we will see later that such […]

Coming soon, the GEAB 133 (March edition synopsis)

The latent financial crisis, the invention of a new world monetary system, the world being shared between China and the United States, American military withdrawal, European disintegration, civil wars and border tensions, the reorganisation of the world map; we don’t know where to look first in the gigantic global reshuffle that is underway. The common […]

The attack on gold as money

For most of recorded history, gold has been the central sign and store of wealth and the more abundant silver has been the coinage of the people. This continued as the basis for sound money right up until the start of the 20th century. Gold bullion was held as bars by national banks and silver […]

Oil: Searching of the tipping point (free article, initially published in November 2018)

The dollar is becoming a currency like any other. Also, oil is following the same path and becoming a source of energy like any other. First, have a look at the following graphs of global energy and oil consumption; one from the International Energy Agency (IEA – US) and the other from OPEC; two sources […]

United States, Fed, T-Bonds: The US federal level will undergo a budgetary slimming regime

The United States and Europe present striking similarities in their destinies. The way Brexit (itself a negative event) manages to free an EU paralysed by vast structural dysfunctions; Trump’s election (so traumatic for the Americans) probably provides an opportunity to redeem the country (and its partners) from a stifling allegiance system. We have repeatedly shown […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Sept 2017)

Peer-to-peer economy 0 – Traditional Economy 1 In this GEAB bulletin the article dealing with the Airbnb and similar businesses shows that the “traditional” economy has not yet said its last word, although the peer-to-peer economy as a whole has a very bright future. A few years ago or even recently it was particularly wise […]

Oil Anticipation: 20th May 2018 – Venezuela’s comeback and an oil price decrease

No one needs expensive oil[1] and we anticipate that oil prices are about to drop significantly and sustainably in the coming months. Read on for the reasons behind this anticipation. OPEC stops controlling oil production Since the main topic of this GEAB number is the dissolving of supranational systems, we will start with the anticipation […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (May 2018)

– Oil – don’t count on it! – The dollar – deals to make? – Gold – not like the rest – Loans – urge you on! – Savings – keep them safe! – Business initiatives – an expiry date! – Automobile sector – a model for the future Oil – don’t count on it! […]

NEOM, between a New Jerusalem and the Library of Alexandria

The Middle Eastern mega-city project called NEOM[1] that we have told you about in a previous issue is a real reason to hope. As mentioned last time, the Saudis would not proceed with this project if they truly had in mind an open conflict with Iran. This project is first and foremost a symbol of […]

10 years of crisis: A return to GEAB’s anticipations of 2006-2007

Currently, the media is marking 10 years of a crisis they didn’t see coming in the first place and questioning experts they did not listen to at the time (at best) or who became experts after its advent (at worst). Hence, it’s time to recall that LEAP/E2020 and the GEAB were among the very few who first forecasted the crisis – in the midst of complete media indifference – with a degree of detail that was barely equalled…