Category: finance
With the subprime crisis (2007/2009), the rescue plans for banks and financial institutions reached such dizzying heights that we did not expect to see them again any time soon. Since then, the global debt clock has continued to churn out figures that are just as crazy… Between the Covid crisis (2020/2021), the Afghan debacle (2021), […]
We hear a lot about the end of civilisation linked to the arrival of AI, which ChatGPT has made clear for everyone. Human beings would have no or very little added value from now on, AI would be so much more than HI… We have news from the future that is both reassuring and disturbing. […]
2023 – From dollar shortage to a multi-directional financial crisis… until better times are coming In support of our urgent recommendation to diversify in the face of a major financial shock, here is a brief description of the systemic phenomena at work behind the byzantine analyses of the current crisis. It does not give cause […]
For 17 years, the GEAB has been characterising one by one the phases of the global systemic transition process. As of April 2023, it is very clear that the “new world” (led by the BRICS), after a slow and uncertain revival almost 15 years ago, is now beginning its take-off phase. The new world is […]
Dragging in its wake the Silvergate and Signature banks, the Silicon Valley Bank’s bankruptcy (SVB) remains the sad event illustrating this GEAB issue of March: as analysed/anticipated over the past three years, after the lyrical flights of Western tech at the start of the Covid crisis, painful returns to reality would inevitably be the batch […]
One hundred years ago this year, the Ottoman Empire collapsed.[1] Officially born in 1299, it was mainly with the capture of Constantinople in 1453 that the empire was born from a European perspective. Until a hundred years ago, for more than five centuries, Europeans and Ottomans lived side by side, brothers and enemies and sometimes […]
If we take the geopolitics of foreign direct investment (FDI)[1] in the loop, the map of the new multipolar world naturally comes out. Its analysis allows us to anticipate this current and future recomposition. Three poles remain clearly identifiable for the time being: the United States in the lead and set to stay there, China, […]
The threats to the profitability of the insurance industry are now forcing its transformation. The consequences will be brutal for policyholders, companies and households, as well as for insurers, whose loss of profitability threatens the sustainability of their business model. This situation will make the insurance sector the perfect contagious element of an economic and […]
Article written by Christopher H. CORDEY, Swiss national, founder of Futuratinow, a consulting firm specialising in IDEAtion, strategic anticipation and training. Partner of Yonders.world. Denial, illusion of security, feeling of powerlessness and unpreparedness seem to prevail in terms of preparing the population for the risk of a blackout on a European scale. Blackout is a […]
The art market has been adapting incredibly fast to the shock of 2020. The investments are flourishing in this sector, whether the macroeconomic situation is good or bad, which leads us to anticipate that there is a bright future ahead. Its ability to adapt makes the art market a particularly resilient space, responding rapidly to […]
This geographical timeline and ranking has been developed primarily on the basis of researches carried out by the Atlantic Council (CBDC Tracker) and Madhvi Mavadiya (published in finextra). Based on this data, we have attempted to position the prospects of central bank digital currency (CBDC) projects over time. The creation of a digital currency essentially […]
Investments – The voice of reason In view of our booklet of trends and all the points of uncertainty we have identified, we would urge you to be careful about the two most extreme segments of the economy: hyper-innovation and zombie economics. When it comes to commodities, currencies, countries or companies, avoid betting everything on […]
A cluster of major trends 2022 is shaping up to be a complicated year… After the great pause of 2020, 2021 tried to make it look like things would return to normal. Instead, as we anticipated at the beginning of last year, every hint of recovery has led to new fractures in the old system: […]
Economy: Fleeing into the virtual // Prices are rising while growth is not forthcoming and commodity prices are no longer even contributing to inflation. The quality of products and services is decreasing. The points of growth are running away towards a decentralised e-economy linked to the first steps of the Web 3.0. Will this e-economy […]
Bitcoin – Salvad’orisation Bukele, the young president of San Salvador, is rubbing his hands together at the rise in value of Bitcoin, which he adopted as his country’s official currency on September 7th. This unprecedented decision is turning the small country into an experimental lab, and specialists are flocking to observe and advise. The president’s […]
A new generation of traders has arrived in 2020 during the successive lockdowns. Although it does not change the rules of the game in the financial markets, it reveals a perception of the economy (macro and micro) that is very different from those of its elders. Thanks to the disintermediation of information and access to […]
The Covid crisis has put all central banks to the test, especially the European and American ones, which carry a significant share of the weight of the world economy on their shoulders. With inflation taking hold and growth timidly recovering, choices must be made. The ECB seems to have already made up its mind: keep […]
Even if there are still reasons for hope on the global horizon and the paths to reinventing a functional model are showing up on all sides, the world still has some dramatic stages to go through, according to our team. The previous model was particularly based on growth, but growth is primarily demographic. For many […]