Category: oil

Oil: Beware of upheavals Much of our issue is about change and reinvention. The international oil market is also affected by this trend. Prices are falling, mainly due to weak growth in China. This trend is structural, as China adapts to a new growth model, aware that it will not regain the same economic dynamic […]

Gold in equities We always write about gold as a metal resource to invest in. But gold stocks also include shares in mining groups. Their margins, which are far from keeping pace with the price of gold, have risen sharply recently. This rise is due in particular to the anticipated increase in extraction of the […]

Oil: Break the prices and we’ll break you Expensive oil will be the norm in 2024. The GEAB has always believed that the arrival of the United States as the world’s leading oil producer would be short-lived due to a lack of sustainable reserves. The fracking sector is in crisis and private operators are buying […]

Bitcoin: Double-edged institutionalisation The United States’ recognition of Bitcoin’s legitimacy via the ETFs[1] will be a double-edged sword: it will consolidate the Bitcoin’s value and status in the short term[2]; in the long run, on the other hand, it could result in the United States taking control of this crypto. In terms of recommendations, we […]

Cheap oil is history As demonstrated in our economic panorama, oil prices will remain high in the short and medium term, driven mainly by the coordinated action of Russia and Saudi Arabia. What we need to remember about the BRICS+ expansion is that the United States is losing influence over the oil market. This trend […]

Last safe haven investment: the earth is the limit // June 2023: From war in Ukraine to a “pax americana-sinica”? // Gas: The future of oil // New Tech 2023: We are starting to reach the limits of Web2 // _________________ Last safe haven investment: the earth Two and a half years ago, we announced […]

The following article is the result of discussions between the GEAB editorial team and Dr Louis Arnoux. The latter’s work is far more alarmist than most research in the same field, namely the future of the oil industry and oil as a fuel for the world economy. The results and data discussed below, even though […]

Real estate: Never release the prey for the shade // Oil: Bottleneck in sight! // Web3: Place your bets // Where to set up what type of business, according to GEAB (advice for European entrepreneurs) // ________________ Real estate: Never release the prey for the shade In a previous bulletin, we recommended letting go of […]

Gold, Bitcoin: Focus on traditional investments // Yen, the first pawn to fall? // End of combustion engines in 2035 // Oil: The rise continues Gold, Bitcoin: Focus on traditional investments For the markets, a (long) period of mistrust and uncertainty is definitely setting in. Between inflation and rising rates, against a backdrop of heightened […]

Bitcoin & co continues to grow // Gold: Big uncertainties are favouring historical solutions // Property prices: Amsterdam, Paris, Stockholm, Zurich, Munich, Frankfurt at the end of the line // Norway: Market listing is not always the best option // _______________________ Bitcoin&co continues to grow The acceptance of Bitcoin, and more broadly of the various […]

Meta/Facebook: Complications in sight Mark Zuckerberg’s life has never been more complicated. Even he is questioning his free advertising-based model[1] and is moving towards a Netflix-like model. Officially, he is facing a crossfire of regulations, a shrinking subscriptions base, the arrival of Web3 challenging all his fundamentals, and more recently the loss of a quarter […]

Cryptocurrencies – Caught in the crossfire // Sport – Big changes ahead // Inflation/currencies – The great waltz // Consumption – After the greenwashing, here comes the localwashing // Oil – Change on the horizon in Venezuela  ______________________________ Cryptocurrencies – Caught in the crossfire The crypto war is getting organized. On one side: rich states, […]

Crypto-currencies: Maximum mistrust // Dollar : Standardisation // Technology stocks: Too virtual // Iron ore: Volatility in sight // Oil: Agility, security //  If the “back to basics” trend that we have been observing for several months starts to dominate, as our research on energy and commodities seems to suggest, here is a new set […]

A short guide for investors in times of reflation/inflation  In the current context of extreme uncertainty, we have put together a series of 8 recommendations and practical tips to get you through this period of reflation/inflation. . Equities: Run away! The rise in debt announces a series of bankruptcies, of which Greensill is a precursor. […]

– > Currencies: Landslide – > Oil: Fire-exposed – > Raw materials: Heavy stuff – > Big Tech: Turnaround in sight – > Pharma: Run away – > Beijing Olympic Games: Benchmark   Currencies: Landslide According to our team, there is little doubt to be seen in the downward trend of the US dollar in […]

It’s time to update our “money digitalisation” trend. If everything has taken the direction we anticipated two years ago, [1]  these experiments seem to have a hard time coming out into the open: . The digital Yuan is in the live-test phase in certain cities, such as Shenzhen – which as pilot-city is highly compatible […]

Recommendations: Treasure hunt This issue is packed with investment recommendations. Car sector, raw materials, technology stocks… we suggest you read it carefully then go on a treasure hunt! Samsung: Temporary mistrust The current economic and strategic rapprochement between the Chinese and South Korean leaders[1] makes us fear American reprisals. One can imagine that it will […]

For the last 20 years, the international prices of many commodities have been set within a framework of globally recognised futures and spot contracts. Today, as many contracts detach from the delivery of the underlying physical commodity, volatility is surging on the back of QE and a host of new retail speculators have entered the […]