Home Space 2030: towards the end of jurisdictional sovereignty

GEAB July 2023

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Jul 2023

Space 2030: towards the end of jurisdictional sovereignty

This is one of the most serious crises facing the space sector, particularly in the West, and it will determine the future balance of powers. Already listed as one of the “reality shocks” in last year’s special GEAB (July 2022), the issue of human resources is now crucial in the general ecosystem, where we will have to face the inevitability of a battle that has already been lost. The role of the space agencies will become diffuse rather than dominant, as they will no longer be able to guarantee control of space themselves.

Ultra-domination of the private sector

The public players in the space sector have just lost a major battle on the field of fascination. SpaceX, personified by the eccentric Elon Musk, has rapidly become more attractive than NASA thanks to the power of social networks and the scientific populism of the media, which rely on the mythification of space to make a profit without the need to add culture. Everything was based on the power of images, including that of a cherry red Tesla Roadster put into orbit by the Falcon Heavy in 2018. A knockout victory for SpaceX communications over all the world’s space agencies, even in China, without even having to explain “what it’s for”. The brand itself is used to raise funds, while the agencies have to fight political forces that remain in the dark.


To leave a comment sign up now

International relations and geopolitical tensions are fuelled by a myriad of factors, the most well-known of which is access to mineral resources and agricultural products. The microprocessor war reveals new [...]

From agriculture and printing press to the Internet, all technological advances have had socio-economic consequences, leading to profound changes in society. Easy access to the power of artificial intelligence will [...]

Fabienne Goux-Baudiment has a degree in political science and a doctorate in social sciences. She is the managing director of SAS, a study, research and consultancy centre in the field [...]

Artificial Intelligence: Jump on the bandwagon! After offering you several anticipations and analyses on the future challenges of AI in this issue, our team would now like to take a [...]

Related articles
15 Nov 2023

Investments, trends and recommendations (Nov)

#AI #economy #Eurozone #investments #world

Eurozone: State bankruptcies on the horizon? Stagflation, recession, rising credit costs, unemployment... the negative signals are multiplying for the eurozone economies. As the end of the year approaches, these indicators [...]

15 Nov 2023

China 2030: The Global Public Debt and Chinese Debt Equation

#China #economy #finance #governance

With the subprime crisis (2007/2009), the rescue plans for banks and financial institutions reached such dizzying heights that we did not expect to see them again any time soon. Since [...]

15 Nov 2023

2030 Middle East: New Epicentre of World Trade (INSTC, IMEC, New Silk Roads…)

#governance #middle east #world

The reshaping of the world is reflected in the evolution of trade routes. Global merchandise trade is expected to reach $32.6 billion in 2030, with Asia, Africa and the Middle [...]