Category: governance
The dread of the climate crisis could soon be replaced by that of a “global seismic crisis”, i.e. a gradual increase in the number and severity of earthquakes. If we add to this the increase in sinkholes, it would seem that the ground is planning to give way beneath our feet more and more often… […]
As economic and political instability intensifies, our team takes a closer look at the forecasts of the major Western financial institutions. Between optimism and underestimated risks, these reports are as full of lessons as they are surprisingly consistent. Given the growing instability in international economic and political affairs, our team has decided to redouble its […]
The answer that immediately comes to mind is: “China, of course”! But that’s too easy for the GEAB, so we won’t be going down that route in this article. Instead of presenting our hypothesis right away, as we typically do, we prefer to keep you in suspense and take you on a journey. So, what’s […]
It’s a very busy calendar that our team has put together for you over the next four months. Add to this a host of other events, summits, meetings, conferences, etc., as the world is bursting at the seams at the end of this year with ideas about the future of our planet and everything that […]
As the European Union struggles to adapt to the realities of a multipolar world, a new intergovernmental structure is emerging, the European Political Community (EPC). More agile and flexible, it could redefine the framework of European cooperation and meet tomorrow’s economic, geopolitical and security challenges. The European Union is facing a double failure: it can […]
The elections were held and unfortunately they fulfilled all the promises we had identified. But not just us. Nothing very extraordinary, except that it was made very clear that on 9 June we were not witnessing “a” European election (by which we mean that European citizens elected their MEPs on a European programme) but twenty-seven […]
At what expense? And to what end? These are two questions that should arise organically as artificial intelligence technologies are implemented. However, currently, this doesn’t seem to be the case. There is a stark contrast in attitudes among the political and economic leaders overseeing the development and deployment of AI technology. They appear to have […]
Or rather “love at first sight”[1]. It may have escaped the attention of our readers, who tend to be more forward-thinking than the average citizens, that the United Kingdom is now preparing to temporarily entrust power to the Labour Party after seventeen years of Tory governance[2]. The remarkable aspect of British democracy is that you […]
The Euro in your pocket: A sense of belonging to Europe The relationship we have with money is charged with affectivity and emotion, extending beyond its economic, financial, and monetary dimensions to encompass social, cultural, and emotional values. Similarly, the Euro’s introduction has profoundly influenced European attitudes, marking a significant shift. With the emergence of […]
Among the anticipated back to basics, few measures hold as much potential efficacy as money itself. In times of mounting difficulties and risks, reverting to fundamental principles becomes imperative. Politicians are already taking heed of this necessity by doubling down on bold and assertive monetary policies. This is obvious in ongoing debates surrounding central bank […]
The decline of the United States’ power in recent years has been widely acknowledged. Our team, in this bulletin, was among the first to extensively discuss the emergence of a multipolar world and the gradual erosion of American hegemony over the rest of the world. This trend was so obvious that even Americans themselves were […]
While two hot controversial conflicts, Ukraine/Russia and Israel/Gaza, are setting the world ablaze on our doorstep, the primary actors involved are unwilling to engage in peace negotiations unless their adversary is completely defeated. In the case of Ukraine and Russia, this stance remains unless significant changes occur, such as the disappearance of Putin. Similarly, regarding […]
More than 30,000 civilians have been killed in the ongoing Israeli attack on Gaza[1], yet every ceasefire resolution at the UN Security Council continues to be blocked by US veto, while the General Assembly condemns the Israeli bombardment of Gaza by an unprecedented majority. The history of the UN Security Council itself demonstrates the dysfunctionality […]
Impossible relaunch of the European defence industry, political and social confrontations, strategic disagreements, diplomatic differences… “Until now, Europe has been built out of crises”. This has been a historically verifiable motto. The conflict in Ukraine, however, will be the crisis that proves this motto wrong, and even brings the edifice crashing down on itself. The […]
We find ourselves precisely where we depicted the painful and violent transition to the world after, with what we referred to as the return of the logic of force in our GEAB178 of 15 October 2023. This situation aligns with the scenario we dared to describe in GEAB 133 of 15/03/2019: “Second quarter 2019: Epilogue […]
Egypt lies at the crossroads of trade routes, providing a link between two major regions: North Africa and the Arab countries. This strategic geographical position puts Egypt, in North Africa, in direct contact with the Middle East, while at the same time bordering one of the world’s most important shipping routes, the Suez Canal. These […]
As we diligently observe the geopolitical shifts in our world each month, the analysis of futuristic city projects and new urban developments proves to be exceptionally revealing. Like dreams, these projects unveil our hopes and fears, ultimately reflecting the visions of perfect, celestial, or ideal cities that their sponsors aspire to create. In embracing this […]
Geopolitics: Asymmetrical Recomposition 1 – American election fog disrupts global visibility The fog surrounding the American elections is disrupting global visibility. What will this lack of visibility mean for the outcome of the American election? Claiming to be the world’s leading democracy, the US political system has always been fine-tuned, and for decades, like clockwork: […]