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2020: IMF, a collateral victim of the US-China trade war

It’s not only Hong Kong that finds itself in the middle of the crossfire of the US-China trade war. The IMF may also be on the list of collateral victims of the great tectonic plate movement currently at work. In recent years, Beijing has increased its voting weight and added the Yuan to the basket […]

Future demographics: questioning certainties

In developed nations, there is a clear trend to living longer and having fewer children.[1] Certain countries have countered this trend through (planned or unplanned) immigration,[2] but this approach also causes change, with new ethnic mixes, and imported cultures, which in turn has led to a political backlash.[3] It is also well accepted that, as […]

Bolton – World – US 2020: An American Perestroika

In line with our anticipations in 2006 regarding the fall of the second half of the bipolar system centred around Russia and the United States, the recent dismissal of Trump’s security adviser, the neo-conservative John Bolton, is in our view a historic event of the same symbolic significance as Gorbachev’s launch of perestroika[1]. By openly […]