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Panorama: It’s time for the emerging markets

As expected, with the mid-terms soon behind us, the Fed is starting to prepare for a slowdown in monetary tightening in December.[1] Goldman Sachs is trying to make it look like inflation will fall in 2023[2] – presumably to encourage the Fed to slow down. Again, the tightening of rates only has a marginal effect […]

Editorial: From transhumanism to posthumanism, long live AI

Did you like transhumanism? You will love posthumanism! If the first, while wishing an increase in human, still asserted its centrality, the second intends to exceed the human and humanism in order to place the tools it has created at the core of the construction. The prefixes are important: “trans” here indicates the notion of […]

2025-2030: towards the end of the insurances’ omnipotence?

The threats to the profitability of the insurance industry are now forcing its transformation. The consequences will be brutal for policyholders, companies and households, as well as for insurers, whose loss of profitability threatens the sustainability of their business model. This situation will make the insurance sector the perfect contagious element of an economic and […]

A calendar of future events: Africa, Asia and Middle East

China, Russia, Asia: A reorganisation of flows A reorganisation of all types of flows (diplomatic, economic, financial, energy, etc.) is underway, and not without pain. After a phase of rapid development in recent decades, these changes imply a slowdown in growth and not necessarily a general recession, even for Russia. The causes are obvious: the […]

Nuclear 2023-2035: Where there is a will, is there a way? (Redefining a new Euratom)

This article was written by Naël de la Sayette, a civil nuclear power consultant. The invasion and war in Ukraine have brought to light the fragility of the European energy supply. The return of the theme of the sovereignty of Europe, but also (or above all) of the European states, has been confirmed in the […]

Balkans 2023: inflation, economic crisis, youth exodus, social tensions… an explosive cocktail!

This article was edited by Pierre-Alix Pajot, a History-Geography teacher, former intern at the French Embassy in Sarajevo. His work focused initially on the integration of Serbia into the European Union and then on the future of Bosnia Herzegovina as a state and its European future. Further on, he was Editor of the International Journal […]

A transatlantic overview or how Europe and the Americas will enter the winter of 2022-2023

In the most troubled times, our method of political anticipation leads us to return to future facts and to broaden our vision. To see more clearly, we need our traditional calendar of future events. There is so much to say that we have chosen to restrict ourselves to the European continent and the Americas. We […]

What will be left of Europe when its consumer market disappears

(open letter to European Atlanticists) NATO and Atlanticist circles are shamelessly crowing about the superb unity displayed by the Allied camp “thanks” to the suffering in Ukraine[1] : “Who would have thought that a war would be a rebirth of the Alliance from its brain death noted by the French president a year ago?” the Atlanticists […]

War in Ukraine: A Chronicle of a never-ending era

For our traditional dive into the archives in August, we have logically chosen the major theme of this year 2022: the entry of Russian forces in Ukraine. The interest of this exercise is primordial to our work of anticipation, and it makes more sense on such a burning subject. As we mentioned in our March […]

Visions and key dates in tomorrow’s space agenda

Between the desire for supremacy and the wish to use space as a catalyst for a new economy, the vision that nations have of their place in space is remarkably diverse. Let’s remember that space is one of the few sectors which needs to have a long-term view. Race for space supremacy between China and […]

2025: The New Space and the emergence that will shape its new look

The revolution in orbit access prices and the standardisation of satellite construction are enabling the advent of a new space economy. Space is becoming more democratic and is gradually following the model of air travel. If today we are witnessing a competition of dreams, tomorrow we will become users. The process is ultra-fast, because it […]

The space economy in 2030: A clash of titans and a shock of realities

Young, even infant, the space market has grown by 70% since 2010 and is expected to reach a trillion dollars in annual revenues by 2040.[1] One might think that the space economy would one day become normal, like the car economy, but that would be to navigate like a sorcerer’s apprentice. Three words sum up […]

Editorial – Space 2030: In a post-Ukraine world, a new era is turning into reality

This September, NASA’s Psyche spacecraft will take off from Cape Canaveral to study the asteroid with the same name and the metals littering its surface. Behind the science, there is this dream of asteroid mining. This is an example of the Space Psyche of tomorrow: building an economy the resources of which are not terrestrial. […]

Geopolitical weak signals : Trends in a changing world

BRICS + While the European continent seems to be living in tune with the delivery of arms to Ukraine and the political shockwaves caused by the conflict in our societies, this war is not having the same impact on other parts of the globe. The United States’ cries would have brought the world’s states to […]

End-2022 – The signing of the Armenian-Azerbaijani peace agreement ushers in a new future for the South Caucasus

The Ukrainian crisis is currently allowing many countries to advance their pawns. Turkey, in partnership with Israel and at the forefront of these actors, is inventing the future of the Caucasus and East Asia in the wake of the huge breakthrough named “Abraham Accords”. A major step towards stabilising the region is in sight with […]

2023 – 2025: Blackout risks. Responding to the imperative of prosilience

Denial, illusion of security, feeling of powerlessness and unpreparedness seem to prevail in terms of preparing the population for the risk of a blackout on a European scale. Blackout is a frightening term, still somewhat taboo in certain chancelleries, whereas the American, Austrian and Swiss governments – among others[1] – have been mobilising their populations […]

Editorial: 2023-2030 – Terminal phase of the ‘boring’ apocalypse

The tangle of all the crises in the making is reaching such an intensity that it is hard to believe that a major rupture will not occur by the end of the year. Not to mention wars and other conflicts,[1] inflation,[2] shortages,[3] unprecedented widespread impoverishment,[4] “hurricane of famines”,[5] natural disasters,[6] drought,[7] blackouts,[8]… if it is […]

Post-Midterms USA 2022-2024: The Emperor’s New Clothes

Congress is an important part of a well-oiled political system, and many of its features (like the support for America’s endless wars) are bi-partisan or uniparty. But the DC system has, for a long time, been in an existential crisis which has led America to experience a populist alternative for four years with the election […]