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Panorama: It’s time for the emerging markets

As expected, with the mid-terms soon behind us, the Fed is starting to prepare for a slowdown in monetary tightening in December.[1] Goldman Sachs is trying to make it look like inflation will fall in 2023[2] – presumably to encourage the Fed to slow down. Again, the tightening of rates only has a marginal effect […]

Landmarks for Tomorrow: A little dive into posthumanist fictions

Article written by Mara Magda Maftei, University Professor at the University of Economic Studies in Bucharest, visiting scholar at the College of Global Studies, holder of a PhD in French literature (2009), a PhD in the history of economic thought (2007) and, more recently, an HDR defended in 2021 at the University of Paris Nanterre. […]

Post-Qatar international sport: New political actors serving new gods

Rarely has a sporting event caused so much ink to flow before it even started. The football World Cup in Qatar starts this month and it is no less than a revelation of the shift that the global system is undergoing. In this case, that of the continuity of the model in place and the […]

Editorial: From transhumanism to posthumanism, long live AI

Did you like transhumanism? You will love posthumanism! If the first, while wishing an increase in human, still asserted its centrality, the second intends to exceed the human and humanism in order to place the tools it has created at the core of the construction. The prefixes are important: “trans” here indicates the notion of […]

2025-2030: towards the end of the insurances’ omnipotence?

The threats to the profitability of the insurance industry are now forcing its transformation. The consequences will be brutal for policyholders, companies and households, as well as for insurers, whose loss of profitability threatens the sustainability of their business model. This situation will make the insurance sector the perfect contagious element of an economic and […]

A calendar of future events: Africa, Asia and Middle East

China, Russia, Asia: A reorganisation of flows A reorganisation of all types of flows (diplomatic, economic, financial, energy, etc.) is underway, and not without pain. After a phase of rapid development in recent decades, these changes imply a slowdown in growth and not necessarily a general recession, even for Russia. The causes are obvious: the […]

Nuclear 2023-2035: Where there is a will, is there a way? (Redefining a new Euratom)

This article was written by Naël de la Sayette, a civil nuclear power consultant. The invasion and war in Ukraine have brought to light the fragility of the European energy supply. The return of the theme of the sovereignty of Europe, but also (or above all) of the European states, has been confirmed in the […]

Balkans 2023: inflation, economic crisis, youth exodus, social tensions… an explosive cocktail!

This article was edited by Pierre-Alix Pajot, a History-Geography teacher, former intern at the French Embassy in Sarajevo. His work focused initially on the integration of Serbia into the European Union and then on the future of Bosnia Herzegovina as a state and its European future. Further on, he was Editor of the International Journal […]

A transatlantic overview or how Europe and the Americas will enter the winter of 2022-2023

In the most troubled times, our method of political anticipation leads us to return to future facts and to broaden our vision. To see more clearly, we need our traditional calendar of future events. There is so much to say that we have chosen to restrict ourselves to the European continent and the Americas. We […]

What will be left of Europe when its consumer market disappears

(open letter to European Atlanticists) NATO and Atlanticist circles are shamelessly crowing about the superb unity displayed by the Allied camp “thanks” to the suffering in Ukraine[1] : “Who would have thought that a war would be a rebirth of the Alliance from its brain death noted by the French president a year ago?” the Atlanticists […]

War in Ukraine: A Chronicle of a never-ending era

For our traditional dive into the archives in August, we have logically chosen the major theme of this year 2022: the entry of Russian forces in Ukraine. The interest of this exercise is primordial to our work of anticipation, and it makes more sense on such a burning subject. As we mentioned in our March […]

Geopolitical weak signals : Trends in a changing world

BRICS + While the European continent seems to be living in tune with the delivery of arms to Ukraine and the political shockwaves caused by the conflict in our societies, this war is not having the same impact on other parts of the globe. The United States’ cries would have brought the world’s states to […]

End-2022 – The signing of the Armenian-Azerbaijani peace agreement ushers in a new future for the South Caucasus

The Ukrainian crisis is currently allowing many countries to advance their pawns. Turkey, in partnership with Israel and at the forefront of these actors, is inventing the future of the Caucasus and East Asia in the wake of the huge breakthrough named “Abraham Accords”. A major step towards stabilising the region is in sight with […]

2023 – 2025: Blackout risks. Responding to the imperative of prosilience

Denial, illusion of security, feeling of powerlessness and unpreparedness seem to prevail in terms of preparing the population for the risk of a blackout on a European scale. Blackout is a frightening term, still somewhat taboo in certain chancelleries, whereas the American, Austrian and Swiss governments – among others[1] – have been mobilising their populations […]

Editorial: 2023-2030 – Terminal phase of the ‘boring’ apocalypse

The tangle of all the crises in the making is reaching such an intensity that it is hard to believe that a major rupture will not occur by the end of the year. Not to mention wars and other conflicts,[1] inflation,[2] shortages,[3] unprecedented widespread impoverishment,[4] “hurricane of famines”,[5] natural disasters,[6] drought,[7] blackouts,[8]… if it is […]

New world monetary order: clash of blocs and multiplication of tools in sight

All the conditions are in place for the shift towards a new world monetary order. The terrible geopolitical and strategic circumstances resulting from the war in Ukraine are completing the rupture between two blocs: the West (gathered around the United States) on the one hand, and the Sino-Russian (gathered around the Eurasian Union EAEU[1] and […]

Editorial : Beauty will save the world

This issue 165 is an important step in the history of the GEAB as it breaks with the sacrosanct tradition of anonymity of the articles, until now always collectively signed by the “LEAP team”. In this world-after which is moving in all directions, we feel that a publication on the future should now include a […]

Calendar of the future (April-September): The world keeps turning…

In these times of crisis, it is difficult to follow a calendar of the future, as international and national agendas are so overwhelmed by fresh news. On the one hand, the Ukrainian crisis is cutting off all meetings, mainly on the American and European sides, whose agendas are jostling for solutions at summits and crisis […]