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Post-Midterms USA 2022-2024: The Emperor’s New Clothes

Congress is an important part of a well-oiled political system, and many of its features (like the support for America’s endless wars) are bi-partisan or uniparty. But the DC system has, for a long time, been in an existential crisis which has led America to experience a populist alternative for four years with the election […]

Calendar of the future (April-September): The world keeps turning…

In these times of crisis, it is difficult to follow a calendar of the future, as international and national agendas are so overwhelmed by fresh news. On the one hand, the Ukrainian crisis is cutting off all meetings, mainly on the American and European sides, whose agendas are jostling for solutions at summits and crisis […]

2024: Peter Thiel’s New American Right

If we observe Peter Thiel today, his networks, his ideology and his levers of influence, we get a glimpse of a certain American Republican party planning to run in the 2024 elections.[1] The wealthy Silicon Valley investor and early Trump supporter has recently put aside some of his business roles, notably inside Meta, to focus […]

Trend – The collapse of communication

In 1450, Gutenberg invented the printing press and published his first Bible. 100 years later, the Council of Trent invented the “index librorum prohibitorum”.[1] In between, Luther initiated the reform movement of the Catholic Church. 500 years later, in 1995, the West invented the Internet. Twenty years later, as a result of a multi-directional questioning […]

Panorama 2022: Trends and anticipations

A cluster of major trends 2022 is shaping up to be a complicated year… After the great pause of 2020, 2021 tried to make it look like things would return to normal. Instead, as we anticipated at the beginning of last year, every hint of recovery has led to new fractures in the old system: […]

Global Humanitarian Crisis 2020-2030: From eliminating Poverty to eliminating the Poor

There is no doubt that the collective unconscious of the West feels threatened by an overpopulated humanity. Everything contributes to this diffuse feeling[1] : . The post-pandemic return to life and street crowds suddenly made unbearable by comparison with the calm of the lockdown. . The highlighting of a non-Western world ten times more numerous than […]

Human genetic engineering: augmented humanity as a legacy?

When anticipations are being regularly published, as is the case of the GEAB, “the future is already here” is a very innocent phrase. Although, it rarely resonates as eloquently as it does when we speak of the modification of the human genome: acquiring control over the DNA of an unborn person, i.e., controlling the biological […]

The “traditional” family in 2040: marrying freedom with stability

The traditional family model has been changing dramatically over the past few decades. Originally (until only a few decades or years ago[1]), family was defined as a lasting union (marriage) between a man and a woman with the intention of procreation. However, expanding personal freedoms of the constitutive parts of the family has resulted in […]

Sexuality 21 – And Sex Became Art…

The differentiation between sex and reproduction, characteristic of human beings, is not new. Indeed, if humans have learned to control their fertility, they have never been fully able to control their sexual impulses… We can even consider that the more they have tried to control them, the more “bizarre” they have become from nature’s point […]

Sex, Family, Reproduction XXI: Artificialisation, how far will it go?

The process of distancing man from nature was inaugurated a very long time ago, perhaps when he invented fire, or even before that, when he invented the first tools. The speed at which humans have extracted themselves from nature has been exponential: very slowly for millennia; more rapidly from the invention of historical memory by […]

Political Recommendation – In the Face of Obscurantism/Collapse of Civilisation, the Only Defence is Reconnecting Citizens with their Leaders

One of the main points of instability in the reformed system emerging today is how out of touch leaders are. This year, we’ve scraped the barrel and it’s undermining all the progress made through reform, modernising and reinforcing stability in the system. The fact that the benefits of these reforms will not immediately be visible […]

The World After: The emergence of the Sovereign Digital Citizen

Digital data is the new black gold; the adage is familiar, but the stakes involved less so. With the COVID-19 pandemic, the world has achieved a two-year digital transformation within two months, says Satya Nadella, head of Microsoft. [1] In fact, the numbers are dizzying: before the health crisis, the Zoom videoconferencing platform had some […]

Air travel: Revolution in sight

As has been repeated several times since the outbreak of this crisis, COVID-19 will act as a multi-level accelerator. If this ends up being true in just one sector, it will be the airline industry. Directly blamed for its responsibility in the spread of the virus, perhaps this sector has been hit hardest by the […]

Public Health 2020-2030: A New Quantum Leap

The last quantum leap in public health dates back to the 19th century. It was the result of the application of the principle of free medical care for all citizens. This extension of the healthcare domain had the effect of providing a gigantic database to a medical scientific community grouped in large hospital institutions.[1] Since […]

GEAB Community – Let’s develop a collective understanding of the challenges of the future

Dear Readers, In this time of crisis, many people are thinking about the solutions needed in order to get out of it and create a new world. Since 2008, the GEAB team has demonstrated its capacity, and therefore its credentials, to anticipate events and the systemic crisis. We are now inviting you to become part […]

Health Systems and Big Data: What will a “Global Pandemic Warning System” look like?

For the past few weeks, the planet has been in a state of emergency; people are locked into their homes and the economy is in a state of hibernation. As stated in last month’s GEAB, our team sees this as part of the transition towards the “world after” and it is significant that the event […]

Society: COVID-19: ‘I-told-you-so’ crisis and social fragmentation

 “In 2020, a global pandemic called COVID-19 brought the world economy to a virtual standstill for several months. To contain the epidemic, governments had to take radical measures to contain populations, reducing activity to the essentials: health, food and certain basic services (telecommunications, water, electricity, financial systems, etc.). It was during these few weeks of […]

A Historian’s view of the COVID-19 Crisis

Political anticipation is LEAP’s method of “rationalisation of the future”.[1] In fact, it is very close to the “historical method” [2] in the sense that it is accessible to all and aids the social actor in adapting to the complex world which constitutes his new environment. Because of this, its practitioners have often been defined […]