Category: Focus
As in every stock market crisis, stocks will change hands. Insofar as the crisis is largely provoked, it is likely that state structures – starting with the United States – will take advantage of it to regain control of part of the economy. We propose a series of recommendations that take account of three predicates: […]
After almost 20 years of anticipating the collapse of the Western-centric system, the GEAB now feels it has a duty to continue to identify the crises in the making, but also to describe the emerging model. If anticipation is the history of the short- to medium-term future, this article is a sociology exercise of the […]
The dread of the climate crisis could soon be replaced by that of a “global seismic crisis”, i.e. a gradual increase in the number and severity of earthquakes. If we add to this the increase in sinkholes, it would seem that the ground is planning to give way beneath our feet more and more often… […]
At the crossroads of a Russian past, an American present and a European future, Ukraine, which for the last 3 years has been a testing ground for the wars of the 21st century, is on its way to becoming the key to Europe’s next-generation defence architecture, particularly in terms of arms production. The EU at […]
Nearly a hundred of you once again chose to respond to the February questionnaire. What stands out is that the question required nuance, as only a third of you identified with a clear-cut answer. Just over half of those who did responded that “ASEAN is the future of the EU,” while slightly fewer chose “The […]
Market Uncertainty – how smart money survives and thrives 2025 is shaping up to be a year of economic turbulence, with volatility defining global markets. Growth is sluggish, inflation is squeezing speculative investments and geopolitical forces are reshuffling capital flows. Traditional financial safe havens are no longer reliable, and investors clinging to outdated models are […]
The return to reality of our systems, analysed and anticipated by the GEAB for several years now, is now preparing to conquer the innovation sector. With artificial intelligence occupying everyone’s minds and dominating the media since the publication of ChatGPT by OpenAI at the end of 2022, you’d think we were in for another round […]
At the start of this issue, we put forward the following hypothesis: Asia may be developing at breakneck speed, but it is ultimately following the same economic model of the West, and Europe in particular, into the crisis we all know about. So instead of looking down their noses at poor Europe, the Asians and […]
2025: Western Sahara, the new investment hotspot! We believe that the Morocco-Algerian disagreement over the Western Sahara will come to an end by 2025. Progress has been slow but steady. In 2020, Trump broke the support – both unconditional and ineffective – of the West as a whole (France, Spain, Europe, the United States, the […]
The BRICS’ difficulties in building a suitably influential financial system can be explained by their internal divisions. In 2026, we expect Asia to take over and lay the foundations for a new regional financial order. In the face of Western control and extraterritorial sanctions, the major Asian powers will create independent infrastructures of international importance. […]
Oil: Expect a short-term rise fueled by geopolitical tensions If you have read our overview and trends for 2025, you will know that our team is relatively optimistic that the conflicts between China and the United States and between Russia and Ukraine will be resolved in 2025. However, this will not happen immediately, and tensions […]
Over a hundred of you clicked on the link to the questionnaire we included in the article “Who will be the next public enemy No. 1?” This demonstrates a genuine desire for interaction, which we are thrilled to see and will certainly offer again. In response to the first closed question, “Do you agree with […]
Central Asia: Nuclear power as a strategic lever Central Asia, rich in natural resources, is increasingly exploring nuclear power for its energy needs. Kazakhstan, the world’s largest producer of uranium, is aiming to build its first nuclear power station[1], with the support of China. Uzbekistan, which is also rich in uranium, has signed agreements with […]
Many people view digital data as the oil of the 21st century, but the natural resources required to produce it are rare earth elements. Beyond digital technology, rare earths are equally crucial for key sectors such as defense and the ecological transition. Naturally, they will be at the center of geopolitical rivalries between the major […]
According to Aaron Holmes[1], Microsoft is now pitching “Spend less on people”. While AI is certainly the next stage in the long process of optimising human resources in the production apparatus – enabling more to be produced with constant HR – it also means, above all, that humans are going to become increasingly valuable. We […]
The new technology hubs Emerging markets stand out for their adaptability and technological dynamism. These markets are particularly invested in fintech, e-commerce and e-health. They are focusing on forward-looking sectors to prepare for the economy of tomorrow. An even more digitised economy, where artificial intelligence and robotics will have taken over every part of our […]
New emerging countries are making their mark on the international scene and positioning themselves as strategic markets. They represent the vanguard of growth drivers for a changing global economy, offering investment and diversification opportunities for a growing number of companies. The demographic dynamic, a wake-up call for investment The dynamics of emerging countries[1] are unique […]
Lithium concentration continues Last week, Rio Tinto, an Anglo-Australian major in the lithium sector, confirmed the purchase of Arcadium Lithium[1], which owns the main lithium mine in Argentina, one of the countries in the world with the largest possible reserves. Lithium is essential for the production of electronic and IT equipment, making it one of […]