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Investments, trends and recommendations (Apr 2017)

Euro-diversification As part of our forecasts mentioned above on the probable reform of the common currency, we recommend people to “diversify their euros” simply by placing part of any liquid savings in euros in banks from various countries of the monetary zone. With online banks, all this is transparent, extremely quick and free of charges […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (May 2017)

Oil – It’s working In spite of many interests that obviously want to minimise the impact of the agreement on oil production between OPEC and its allies, and doubts related to the sustainability of the deal, it seems that Russians and Saudis are planning to extend the Vienna Agreement[1] until – at least – the […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Jun 2017)

Oil: counter-direction The day the coalition around Saudi Arabia announced a cut of diplomatic relations with Qatar, risking the “koweitisation” of the latter, the oil prices… collapsed. This is not the first time we have noticed that outbreaks of conflict are no longer causing price surges. This fact validates the axes we have been following […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Nov 2017)

Strategic recommendation: remain covered Even though this GEAB bulletin is optimistic and sees the end of the transition tunnel focused on peace in the Middle East, we shall keep our warning of the last two months: remain covered until the end of the year! We are in the middle of a global geopolitical reconfiguration era, […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Nov 2018)

– European Automobile Industry – The long and winding road
– GM – LOL
– General Electric – Will it fail or not?
– Oil: Seesawing to its death
– Financial market: Ashes to ashes, junk to junk
– Investments – Where does the money go? 
Convinced that the emissions scandal is now behind it, the German automobile industry is ready to restart. VW (Volkswagen), for instance, lined up 440,000 vehicles in October (compared to the 310,000 last August). But two markets are about to escape VW – and not the least important …

Investments, trends and recommendations (Feb 2018)

– Oil: Bottom down – Businesses: beware of bankruptcies galore – Businesses: beware of bankruptcies galore – Bitcoin and cryptocurrency: everything is under control – Precious metals, safe assets Oil: Bottom down  The US announcements of oil production effect (we moved overnight from the ‘explosion of production’ to ‘less than expected production’[1]) have resulted in […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Mar 2018)

– ICOs: Be agile, but well informed – NEOM: The key to a new Middle East citizenship? – Oil: Beware of dollar fluctuations – European arms industry: All the way, with military QE ahead ICOs: Be agile, but well informed As we have seen in this issue of the GEAB, ICOs (Initial Coin Offerings) allow […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Apr 2018)

– Oil / Gas: Good news for the producing countries – Iran: Not much longer – Frontier markets: Opportunities in sight Oil / Gas: Good news for the producing countries The announcements about attacks on Syria, followed by the trilateral US-GB-FR attack itself, have raised bench mark oil prices to their highest in the last […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (May 2018)

– Oil – don’t count on it! – The dollar – deals to make? – Gold – not like the rest – Loans – urge you on! – Savings – keep them safe! – Business initiatives – an expiry date! – Automobile sector – a model for the future Oil – don’t count on it! […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Jun 2018)

– Chinese market – New banks – Real estate: Owning your home, it’s over! – Your information system: diversify by sectors Chinese market  China has an instrumental role in the world economy. The investment and financing needs are enormous. So far, the Chinese stock market remained relatively closed; offering foreign investors either reserved shares (B […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Oct 2018)

– GAFAM: On their way home? – Oil: You’ve guessed it! – US dollar: The same thing! – Large corporations: Vital or not? GAFAM: On their way home?  GAFAM (Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon and Microsoft) have been the masters of the world, but this is coming to an end. Two phenomena are playing a part […]

Investments, trends and recommendations

– Paris: watch out! – Emerging countries: Taking the plunge in Yuan waters – Raw materials: Oops! – New finance: yours to experiment with Paris: watch out! Between ‘Grand Paris’, world capital of luxury, European financial hub and the Olympic city in 2024, Paris is about to rise through the ranks. The sleeping beauty of […]

New Finance: Eyes on ICOs

In the next five years, the ICO (Initial Coin Offering), which currently looks like a micro-phenomenon in the sphere of fundraising, will be an essential means for structuring a company on a sustainable basis. Turn lead into gold Halfway between crowdfunding and traditional fundraising IPO (Initial Public Offering), ICO is a new tool allowing companies […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Oct 2017)

General Recommendation – Alert: Large zone of ​​turbulence by the end of the year It is of course impossible to guess what the end of the year will precisely look like. Nevertheless, we wish to draw our readers’ attention to the fact that the whole planet is currently in a general and simultaneous repositioning phase. […]

European Real Estate: Caution

Here and there we may read some optimistic analyses on the European property market, saying either that the “revival” is here, that the sector is in good health, and so on. As our readers might guess, we are less enthusiastic and suggest the utmost caution in this regard, although the outlook is not uniformly and entirely […]

An evaluation of our anticipations for 2016 (drawn from GEAB n° 101 of January 2016): 75% success

Each year in December, we evaluate our trend anticipations made in January. This month, we come across a final score of 25.5 out of 34, meaning a 75% success rate; two points more than last year. The year 2014 and the great turmoil caused by the Euro-Russian shock that drove us below the 70% success […]

Regional economic unions (2016-2017): Between Apparent Failure and Underlying Recovery

It seems that everything is going wrong for regional integrations. South America’s MERCOSUR trading bloc has completely stopped functioning, due to the marginalisation of Venezuela which currently holds the presidency of the Common Market, but that no one is following anymore. Another alliance currently chaired by Venezuela, the much less known NAM (Non-Aligned Movement), is […]

USA 2017 – Independence is the right path for Puerto Rico

As part of our series of articles on the United States, knowing the elections are almost here, and deep socio-political changes are most probably on the way in this country, we will dedicate some time to study what the crisis in Puerto Rico says about the solidarity of the US union system. We will show […]