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Category: Focus

A reader’s eye on the future, Christophe Cesetti: “We are facing a digital boom that is as exciting as it is worrying”

Christophe Cesetti, who has a background in management control, currently operates as a freelancer within a cooperative, focusing on projects associated with the social economy. Disappointed by the inability of multinational structures to bring about change, he turned to citizen politics and developed a practical approach to collective intelligence in the service of the Commons. […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (May)

Bitcoin: Take your profits //  Oil: The war //  T-bond: Big sale //  Investment: Real water //  New Tech: Forget AI… //  __________________ Bitcoin: Take your profits We have always said that violence and technology do not mix. Bitcoin’s safe-haven status is likely to come into play in a context of geopolitical tensions, de-dollarisation and […]

Trends in a changing world

Mexico, 2025/2026, a + in the BRICS+ world President Andrés Manuel López Obrador, AMLO, has one year left to make his country a permanent member of the group of sovereign and equal states[1] and to consolidate all the changes he has brought about in the last five years. In the “Reader’s eye on the future” […]

Investments, trends, and recommendations (apr)

2023 – From dollar shortage to a multi-directional financial crisis… until better times are coming In support of our urgent recommendation to diversify in the face of a major financial shock, here is a brief description of the systemic phenomena at work behind the byzantine analyses of the current crisis. It does not give cause […]

A reader’s eye on the future: “AI Advancements have been a breakthrough this year”

Bogdan Herea, founder and CEO of PitechPlus (a full-cycle software development company) and founder of Academy+Plus (a Romanian Ecole 42), is what some call the “Romanian Xavier Niel”[1] . His main expertise is in product and software development, where he uses cutting-edge technologies such as artificial intelligence, machine learning and cyber security. Born in 1975 […]

Water Wars 2025: The Geopolitics of Europe’s resources

Climate change has been shifting our relationship with water, bringing power and politics into human rights issues of access and management, because the powerless is particularly hit by this. Besides the question of access to safe water for domestic use, it is also a matter of sovereignty over the landscape.[1] Water also serves many purposes […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Mar)

Last safe haven investment: the earth is the limit // June 2023: From war in Ukraine to a “pax americana-sinica”? // Gas: The future of oil // New Tech 2023: We are starting to reach the limits of Web2 // _________________ Last safe haven investment: the earth Two and a half years ago, we announced […]

Eyes on the future: “We are living through the last decade of the Oil Age”

The following article is the result of discussions between the GEAB editorial team and Dr Louis Arnoux. The latter’s work is far more alarmist than most research in the same field, namely the future of the oil industry and oil as a fuel for the world economy. The results and data discussed below, even though […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Febr)

Real estate: Never release the prey for the shade // Oil: Bottleneck in sight! // Web3: Place your bets // Where to set up what type of business, according to GEAB (advice for European entrepreneurs) // ________________ Real estate: Never release the prey for the shade In a previous bulletin, we recommended letting go of […]

May-June 2024, Modi’s re-election? A not so easy path for India…

We continue our focus on India with this brief on the 2024 elections. The 543 Members of Parliament representing the 28 states + the 8 Indian territories will be elected. In 2024 Narendra Modi, then 74 years old, will have been at the head of the Indian government for 10 years and will be running […]

Will India be the tomb of the Western economy?

We anticipate that Narendra Modi’s Make in India strategy, fueled by the Anglo-Saxon anti-China strategy, will attract a good number of companies that will remain there – in all senses of the word. In line with our previous article on India, it is appropriate to warn our readers against the “Indian temptation” that is likely […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Jan)

Back to reality and the end of the cheap economy //  Bitcoin vs. other cryptos //  Real estate: A slump that can be taken advantage of? //  AI – Invest in your skills //  Elon Musk will most likely be the man of the year: All his companies are worth watching //  Back to reality […]

2024-Ramaphosa is re-elected as coalition President: En route to the African Continental Free Trade Area

Article written by Michael Kahn, an independent adviser on innovation anticipation, policy, monitoring and evaluation. Professor Kahn is honorary Research Fellow at Stellenbosch University and Professor of Practice in the University of Johannesburg, He works with governments, the multilateral organisations, NGOs and higher education. His most recent publications are the UNESCO GO-SPIN Report for Mozambique, a […]

Investments, trends and recommendations: 2023, the perfect storm

Companies: Wave of bankruptcies in sight // Derivatives: 2023, on the way to a subprime giga-crisis // Dollar: Shortage in sight // Lifebuoy: Low potential of diversification // _______________ Companies: Wave of bankruptcies in sight Everyone knows that the Fed’s rate hikes in particular are designed to slow down a pre-COVID19 overheating economy, yet totally […]

A Panorama of weak signals

US/Europe/World – Comparative Stabilities: America’s Advantage In line with our article on the geopolitics of foreign direct investments (FDI), we must say that by using all its tools of power, the United States is currently succeeding in reversing the process of tilting the transatlantic relationship in favour of the EU, something we spotted in 2019 […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (nov)

Wealth management – What should Europeans do? //  Investments – Find the exit //  Tax havens – New horizons //  Real Estate – Save yourselves //  Commodities – Beware //  Paris – Between Emily and Amélie //  Wealth management – What should Europeans do? Between taxes, inflation, low wages, the looming real estate crisis, gold […]

Panorama: It’s time for the emerging markets

As expected, with the mid-terms soon behind us, the Fed is starting to prepare for a slowdown in monetary tightening in December.[1] Goldman Sachs is trying to make it look like inflation will fall in 2023[2] – presumably to encourage the Fed to slow down. Again, the tightening of rates only has a marginal effect […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (oct)

Currencies – Storm warning // Dollar – Earlier than expected // Sterling pound – Forever // Euro – Hard to foresee // Cryptocurrencies – Much ado about nothing // Gold – Towards a simple commodity // Cash – Keep it in mind… // Emerging markets – don’t get locked in // ________________ Currencies – Storm […]