Home Middle East: The summer will be hot

GEAB 135

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 May 2019

Middle East: The summer will be hot

We would like to remind you that one of the main guiding principles for analysing North American foreign policy and current events in and around the Middle East is the annexation by Israel of all or part of the Occupied Territories.[1] Preparations are underway. The sending of US troops close to Iran is intended to prevent this country from moving – not to attack it directly.[2]

After the diplomatic phase that allowed Netanyahu to conciliate many Arab and other governments,[3] the strategy is now focused on people (Jewish diaspora, Israeli Jews, Israeli Arabs, Palestinians, Arabs, Europeans) through communications playing the depolarisation card:

  • Leaking out some elements of Donald Trump’s peace plan to test it among Israelis[4]
  • Showing to the world that the installation of the US Embassy in Jerusalem is not a problem[5]
  • Sending signs of goodwill towards the Palestinians (measured reactions to missile fires,[6] rejection of a proposal to ban Palestinians from highways[7]…)
  • Revealing the good living conditions of the Arabs in Israel[8]
  • Questioning the low scores of the Arab parties in the last election in Israel[9]
  • Focusing on forms of “Palestinian Spring” directed against Palestinian leaders[10]
  • Suggesting that Palestinians would live better in Israel than under occupation and in Israel than under Palestinian rule[11] and that their support for the two-State solution is diminishing[12]
  • Projecting visions of the region at peace[13]

Comments

To leave a comment sign up now
Contents

There’s no need to wait for the results of the election to anticipate some of the major features of the new Europe that will be established after June 2019. Certainly, [...]

The new face of tomorrow's Europe matches the faces of tomorrow's Europeans. Among the latter is one we wish to present to you: Manfred Weber, the very petulant 46-year-old German [...]

To be able to advance in a complex world that is in full transition, it is helpful to have a GPS system. This calendar of future events, produced every four [...]

Silver has always stood the test of time, coming back as a winner, whether as an essential commodity or as a valuable investment. Since ancient times it has been the [...]

- Air transport in Europe: Don’t bet your shirt on this - Yuan: Quick!!  - Dollar: Discount on US staff! - Gold: Back to the standard _____________________________ Air transport in [...]

Related articles
GEAB
15 Mar 2021

Vatican 2023: Transcending the Apocalypse

#geopolitics #governance #religions

Whether or not one believes in the prophecy of Saint Malachi, who identified Pope Francis II as Peter the Roman (the last of a line of 112 popes) one thing [...]

GEAB
15 Mar 2021

EDITO – Europe facing disillusions: dreaming of a better world, waking up in a battlefield

#covid #europe #European Union #geopolitics #governance

The ideological revolution of the European Union (EU) imposes a corresponding structural revolution. 2020 has accelerated all the trends of systemic transformation. But in 2021, this free flight into the [...]

GEAB
15 Feb 2021

WaterTech2040: The challenge (and risks) of bringing water to all

#climate #geopolitics #governance #watertech

Many of us have grown up in countries where access to water is taken for granted; where a constant and secure supply of clean water has become the norm. Safe [...]