Home economy

Category: economy

2025-2030: towards the end of the insurances’ omnipotence?

The threats to the profitability of the insurance industry are now forcing its transformation. The consequences will be brutal for policyholders, companies and households, as well as for insurers, whose loss of profitability threatens the sustainability of their business model. This situation will make the insurance sector the perfect contagious element of an economic and […]

Nuclear 2023-2035: Where there is a will, is there a way? (Redefining a new Euratom)

This article was written by Naël de la Sayette, a civil nuclear power consultant. The invasion and war in Ukraine have brought to light the fragility of the European energy supply. The return of the theme of the sovereignty of Europe, but also (or above all) of the European states, has been confirmed in the […]

Visions and key dates in tomorrow’s space agenda

Between the desire for supremacy and the wish to use space as a catalyst for a new economy, the vision that nations have of their place in space is remarkably diverse. Let’s remember that space is one of the few sectors which needs to have a long-term view. Race for space supremacy between China and […]

The space economy in 2030: A clash of titans and a shock of realities

Young, even infant, the space market has grown by 70% since 2010 and is expected to reach a trillion dollars in annual revenues by 2040.[1] One might think that the space economy would one day become normal, like the car economy, but that would be to navigate like a sorcerer’s apprentice. Three words sum up […]

Editorial – Space 2030: In a post-Ukraine world, a new era is turning into reality

This September, NASA’s Psyche spacecraft will take off from Cape Canaveral to study the asteroid with the same name and the metals littering its surface. Behind the science, there is this dream of asteroid mining. This is an example of the Space Psyche of tomorrow: building an economy the resources of which are not terrestrial. […]

2023 – 2025: Blackout risks. Responding to the imperative of prosilience

Denial, illusion of security, feeling of powerlessness and unpreparedness seem to prevail in terms of preparing the population for the risk of a blackout on a European scale. Blackout is a frightening term, still somewhat taboo in certain chancelleries, whereas the American, Austrian and Swiss governments – among others[1] – have been mobilising their populations […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Feb)

Meta/Facebook: Complications in sight Mark Zuckerberg’s life has never been more complicated. Even he is questioning his free advertising-based model[1] and is moving towards a Netflix-like model. Officially, he is facing a crossfire of regulations, a shrinking subscriptions base, the arrival of Web3 challenging all his fundamentals, and more recently the loss of a quarter […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (jan)

Investments – The voice of reason In view of our booklet of trends and all the points of uncertainty we have identified, we would urge you to be careful about the two most extreme segments of the economy: hyper-innovation and zombie economics. When it comes to commodities, currencies, countries or companies, avoid betting everything on […]

Systemic shift: From Made in China to Powered by China

China’s economy weakened further in August 2021 after a fresh Covid outbreak curbed consumer spending[1]. To relaunch the economy after the Covid-19 crisis, the country continued its old-style supply boost by starting state sponsored projects and reinforcing factories to produce more and more. Yet, as data has shown, internal demand in China has not risen […]

Panorama 2022: Trends and anticipations

A cluster of major trends 2022 is shaping up to be a complicated year… After the great pause of 2020, 2021 tried to make it look like things would return to normal. Instead, as we anticipated at the beginning of last year, every hint of recovery has led to new fractures in the old system: […]

Crisis of the future 2022-2025: Has the West got it all wrong about the future?

The shadow of Web3 is now looming on the horizon.[1] It is already presenting itself as a new revolution, 25 years after the arrival of the Internet, from which our societies are only just beginning to recover. A new stage of decentralisation and disintermediation, a reaffirmation of Internet user’s freedoms (robbed by Web 2.0 and […]

Global Economy 2022: What if growth is not forthcoming…

The IMF has already started to revise downwards its 2021 growth projections: for the US (from 7 to 6%)[1], Asia (from 7.6 to 6.5%)[2], the Eurozone (from 5.4 to 5%)[3], and the world (from 6 to 5.9%).[4] As seen in our article on the central banks, the Western financial administration is bent on continuing unconventional […]

Luxury: A future-proof business model

Last August, Bernard Arnault (LVMH) overtook Jeff Bezos (Amazon) as world’s richest person.[1]  The luxury giants have performed brilliantly on the stock market.[2] There is a lot of talk about the wealthy getting richer as a result of the Covid crisis as a direct explanation for this trend. But it is no longer the rich […]

Doing Business in 2025: A handbook for students and schools to make the most of the billions of jobs in sight!

The year 2025 is not so far ahead but it is a relevant horizon because it corresponds to the moment when beginner business students will resolutely enter the job market. However, due to the Covid-related acceleration of socio-economic transformation, what this job market will look like by then is a concern for schools and students. […]

Covid, NATO, Migrants… Flashback to all European crises

As the media heralds the Democrat candidate’s victory in the US presidential election, Europe is going through another of the great hallucinations that we described last month in the GEAB: “Under Biden, America is back and the world is saved!” And the good news is piling up, starting with the discovery of a miracle vaccine by […]

2020: Democracy in Euroland… finally

What if the decision of the German Federal Constitutional Court (Bundesverfassungsgericht – BVerfG) of 5 May was to become the first key component of a European political and democratic system, rather than a spanner in the works? This was our initial reaction as the media exploded with articles, each more catastrophic than the last, on […]

Excerpts of our July anticipations on European tourism… (in the context of the failure of Thomas Cook)

Over the next decade, the impact of a downturn, combined with the effects of increased competition, saturation and fatigue, and environmental considerations, all this in the context of a vast questioning of meaning, will lead to a complete repositioning of the European tourism sector. Reality has begun to remind Europe of the unsustainable nature of […]

African Union: The end of the CFA franc (from the GEAB 110 / Dec 2016)

Africa! The second largest continent in the world after Asia, both in size and population[1], and also one of the poorest[2] is shaken by internal conflicts and wars. But above all, it’s a continent with one of the youngest age pyramids in the world[3]; so many opportunities open for the future and for hope in […]