Category: world
Our team is proud to present its self-evaluaiton of the 2024 trends published in January. This year we have recorded a 74.19% success rate. Several events were accurately anticipated from the start of the year: the defection of at least one of the two US presidential candidates, the dissolution of the government in France and […]
The answer that immediately comes to mind is: “China, of course”! But that’s too easy for the GEAB, so we won’t be going down that route in this article. Instead of presenting our hypothesis right away, as we typically do, we prefer to keep you in suspense and take you on a journey. So, what’s […]
New emerging countries are making their mark on the international scene and positioning themselves as strategic markets. They represent the vanguard of growth drivers for a changing global economy, offering investment and diversification opportunities for a growing number of companies. The demographic dynamic, a wake-up call for investment The dynamics of emerging countries[1] are unique […]
In the coming years, the African continent will find itself more isolated than ever. Its relations with the global system and Western countries have reached a point of dysfunction that cannot be surpassed, and these ties are bound to be reexamined. Paradoxically, this situation grants African countries newfound freedom in choosing their alliances, which, magnified […]
While economic conglomerates may be on the decline worldwide, they remain the dominant force for foreign investment in Africa. This overview highlights the most influential structures on the continent, revealing the power strategies and economic confrontations that lie ahead. In our last GEAB issue, we showed that Africa is the major pole of resistance to […]
The triumphant re-election of Donald Trump symbolises the end of the baby-boomer generation’s dominance – their values, economic models and worldview – massively rejected, not just by a large majority of American voters, but also by global public opinion. This response was more supportive of this victory than the Western political and media spheres would […]
In 2048, Israel, far from celebrating its centenary, may no longer exist in its current form. The challenge does not come from its external enemies, but from demographic challenges, internal social fragmentation and an exodus of its most educated population. The country’s future will depend on its ability to reinvent itself, or disappear. No, it […]
The birth rate has always been very high in religious, traditionalist and conservative communities. To anticipate what our future generations will be dreaming of, it is vital to ask which communities are having the most children today. The dystopian world foreseen by the grim prophets of hyper-tech won’t come to pass. The reason is simple: […]
By 2030, the balance of power in space will have shifted. China is catching up with the USA at an alarming rate, making orbit and the Moon the new strategic battlefields. In the face of this Star Wars, Europe and the other emerging powers risk being relegated to the background. The clash of the Chinese […]
It’s a very busy calendar that our team has put together for you over the next four months. Add to this a host of other events, summits, meetings, conferences, etc., as the world is bursting at the seams at the end of this year with ideas about the future of our planet and everything that […]
Investments in Europe are on the verge of becoming one of the pillars of Saudi Arabia’s strategy to wean itself off oil revenue. Behind high-profile projects like The Line, we can see a certain rebalancing between the domestic and international aspects of this strategy. While internal investments have long been the most visible and foreign […]
The economic outlook for Western countries looks bleak, judging by a number of indicators. After the decision to cut interest rates slightly, and with the two leading countries in difficulty, the European economies appear to be the weakest and risk being exposed to an aggressive attitude from countries in better financial health. We touched on […]
The debate over whether the heads of the largest US technology companies or successive US Presidents wield the most power has persisted for many years. While the ascendance of the private sector is undeniable, with the market capitalisation or revenue of these companies now surpassing the GDP of most states, the balance of power has […]
The decline of the United States’ power in recent years has been widely acknowledged. Our team, in this bulletin, was among the first to extensively discuss the emergence of a multipolar world and the gradual erosion of American hegemony over the rest of the world. This trend was so obvious that even Americans themselves were […]
While two hot controversial conflicts, Ukraine/Russia and Israel/Gaza, are setting the world ablaze on our doorstep, the primary actors involved are unwilling to engage in peace negotiations unless their adversary is completely defeated. In the case of Ukraine and Russia, this stance remains unless significant changes occur, such as the disappearance of Putin. Similarly, regarding […]
More than 30,000 civilians have been killed in the ongoing Israeli attack on Gaza[1], yet every ceasefire resolution at the UN Security Council continues to be blocked by US veto, while the General Assembly condemns the Israeli bombardment of Gaza by an unprecedented majority. The history of the UN Security Council itself demonstrates the dysfunctionality […]
We find ourselves precisely where we depicted the painful and violent transition to the world after, with what we referred to as the return of the logic of force in our GEAB178 of 15 October 2023. This situation aligns with the scenario we dared to describe in GEAB 133 of 15/03/2019: “Second quarter 2019: Epilogue […]
“Be greedy when others are fearful”[1] The great feature of 2024 is its jam-packed electoral calendar. This year, almost three billion people will be voting in 76 countries, including major ones like India, Indonesia, South Korea, Japan, Russia, South Africa, Algeria, Rwanda and, of course, the United States. All these countries find themselves in a […]