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Thirty-one Key Trends for 2024

Geopolitics: Asymmetrical Recomposition 1 – American election fog disrupts global visibility The fog surrounding the American elections is disrupting global visibility. What will this lack of visibility mean for the outcome of the American election? Claiming to be the world’s leading democracy, the US political system has always been fine-tuned, and for decades, like clockwork: […]

Mega-Trends for 2024: Real Risks, False Fears

“Be greedy when others are fearful”[1] The great feature of 2024 is its jam-packed electoral calendar. This year, almost three billion people will be voting in 76 countries, including major ones like India, Indonesia, South Korea, Japan, Russia, South Africa, Algeria, Rwanda and, of course, the United States. All these countries find themselves in a […]

2024: Peter Thiel’s New American Right

If we observe Peter Thiel today, his networks, his ideology and his levers of influence, we get a glimpse of a certain American Republican party planning to run in the 2024 elections.[1] The wealthy Silicon Valley investor and early Trump supporter has recently put aside some of his business roles, notably inside Meta, to focus […]

April 2022 – French presidential election: If candidate Macron steps back…

There’s nothing very original to say about the French election. Nevertheless… For over a year, our references of the upcoming presidential election have allowed us to see the arrival of this new “identitarian” political movement, embodied today by Zemmour, who is aptly riding the wave born of the societal storms of the last 15 years… […]

Coming up next, the GEAB bulletin of November. Synopsis

As the media heralds the Democrat candidate’s victory, the western world is living through another of the great illusions that we described last month: under Biden, America is back on top and the world has been saved! And the good news keeps on coming, what with the discovery of a miracle vaccine that the American […]

American Democracy: Towards some Healthy Questioning… and a Government of National Unity

Everyone knows that democracy in general is sick. Nevertheless, the West continues to base the legitimacy of its world ‘leadership’ on this supposed civilisational superiority. In the 1990s, the wars fought in the Middle East in the name of ‘democracy’ stirred hatred towards this fine principle,[1] contributing to a decline in its attractiveness. But the […]

Calendar 2020 – Some key dates

Briefly annotated, here are some important dates to keep in mind as we look ahead to 2020. 31st January: EU – Official exit of the UK The beginning of some clarification, but negotiation is still needed to establish the nature of future EU-UK relations. This is an important step, but not the end of the […]

Calendar of future events (May-September 2019): 28 dates that will change the world… or not

To be able to advance in a complex world that is in full transition, it is helpful to have a GPS system. This calendar of future events, produced every four months, is one of the many guides that GEAB offers to readers to help them navigate through the fog of the future. Here are the […]

European elections / Europe 2040: ‘And now for something completely different’

(A handbook for the actors of the European campaign) There is a lot about epilogues in this issue! In the case of the EU (a phase in the construction of Europe which came into being on 7 February 1992 in Maastricht), the upcoming elections will seal the vision it has held for 27 years. And […]

Turkish Elections – The impossibility of chaos in Turkey

We have repeatedly analyzed that only the regional powers would be able to restore calm in the Middle East and resolve the Daesh issue, the common enemy on which (almost) everyone has agreed. However, we have stated that the US or Russian interventions would only have the effect of exacerbating tensions. Repeatedly missed opportunities Suffice […]

EU 2007 French presidential elections: towards an election full of surprises / Upcoming German EU presidency: the reasons why it is doomed to impotence

During the first semester  of 2007, two major events for the EU will combine.  In fact, European authorities believe that that semester will be key in re-launching  the broken down EU: on the one hand, the French presidential  election, and on the other hand, the German presidency  of the EU. However LEAP/E2020 anticipates that the […]