Home Page 2

Category: anticipation

European elections 2019: the allied far rights becomes the dominant parliamentary group in the European Parliament (Mar. 2017)

This anticipation is not very original but it must nevertheless be faced with all the lucidity required. It is hardly a hypothesis, but rather a certainty: the allied European far rights will constitute the most consistent and therefore powerful parliamentary group in the next European Parliament, whatever their results in the previous national elections. What […]

What future is there for the European Commission within the big redefinition of the Transatlantic Relationship? (Sep. 2016)

Since its creation, the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin has been designed among other things to inform European public opinion and decision makers about the fact that the global geopolitical reconfiguration vitally requires a profound change of the EU. The United States, structural associate of the European project since its origin – but mostly since the […]

Global systemic crisis: the big comeback of dark Europe (Dec. 2015)

A long time ago, in 1998, Franck Biancheri, our regretfully departed director of studies, signed an anticipatory article entitled: « 2009, when Europe ends up in the hands of the grandsons of Hitler, Pétain, Mussolini… ». This is the fate he anticipated for the EU in case it failed to democratize. The failure is a patent […]

The EU: Sailing in a raging storm with no navigation equipment (Nov. 2016)

The editorial GEAB team decided to share, exceptionally, with its readers an excerpt of the as yet unpublished document entitled “Community or Empire”; a book written by Franck Biancheri in 1992. This excerpt evokes the importance for the EU’s endowing with a forecasting capacity to adapt its governance to the challenges of its reopening to […]

2014-2020: A Mutating Europe

The corona crisis has been the trigger for the EU to finally start issuing common bonds. It was a modest and hard-won step forward. In the midst of the flames, the fire brigade still took 5 days to decide to bring out the big fire hose. That says a lot about the degree of divisions […]

GEAB Community – Let’s develop a collective understanding of the challenges of the future

Dear Readers, In this time of crisis, many people are thinking about the solutions needed in order to get out of it and create a new world. Since 2008, the GEAB team has demonstrated its capacity, and therefore its credentials, to anticipate events and the systemic crisis. We are now inviting you to become part […]

Health Systems and Big Data: What will a “Global Pandemic Warning System” look like?

For the past few weeks, the planet has been in a state of emergency; people are locked into their homes and the economy is in a state of hibernation. As stated in last month’s GEAB, our team sees this as part of the transition towards the “world after” and it is significant that the event […]

‘Covidian’ Geopolitics – The American lockdown

While the need for the digitalisation of the international monetary system described earlier is being reinforced by the financial crisis triggered by the pandemic, one finds in many articles on this topic the same fixed idea: allowing the world to bypass the American system of sanctions.[1] Indeed, these digital currency projects do not date back […]

Society: COVID-19: ‘I-told-you-so’ crisis and social fragmentation

 “In 2020, a global pandemic called COVID-19 brought the world economy to a virtual standstill for several months. To contain the epidemic, governments had to take radical measures to contain populations, reducing activity to the essentials: health, food and certain basic services (telecommunications, water, electricity, financial systems, etc.). It was during these few weeks of […]

A Historian’s view of the COVID-19 Crisis

Political anticipation is LEAP’s method of “rationalisation of the future”.[1] In fact, it is very close to the “historical method” [2] in the sense that it is accessible to all and aids the social actor in adapting to the complex world which constitutes his new environment. Because of this, its practitioners have often been defined […]

Insurance sector: Questioning of the economic model

Everyone remembers the images picturing floods, hail storms, mudslides, tornadoes and other disasters that have swept Europe, Germany, France, and Belgium recently, but also those of other continents (America, Australia, and Canada, where huge fires are still raging in Alberta). The estimated damage is reported to be in billions of Euros: 1.4 billion estimated in […]

Political Anticipation and Networks – Creating Anticipatory Systems for Government and Society

LEAP, whose method of political anticipation was invented by Franck Biancheri, and applied every month in the GEAB, is honoured to have been invited to contribute a 20-page chapter in an international scientific publication on Cognitive Systems entitled « Anticipation across Disciplines », edited by world famous anticipation expert, Prof Mihai Nadin (Springer, 2015)… . Investments, trends […]

2016 : The year of India… and the last chance for an organized systemic global transition

When LEAP launched the GEAB in January 2006 with the object of describing a “global systemic crisis” in the making, one of its aims was to help raise awareness amongst Europeans of the US’ weakness and of the opportunity which then existed to complete the continent’s independence process. This objective was not only motivated by […]

EU/UK/US – Union, Dislocation, Reinvention: The Great Systemic Transformation of the West

  For the fourth consecutive month, accompanied by all the usual precautions, our team continues to believe that the crisis’ peak is now behind us. It’s clear that two photos taken five minutes before and five minutes after this peak can be identical. On the other hand the film isn’t comparable; it’s that the perspective […]

Real estate: watch your step

The various quantitative easings, or other political stimuli and support for real estate, have prevented real estate prices to collapse as they should have done in the turmoil of the global systemic crisis. We say: “as they should have done”, because it was the only way of finally balancing delusional bubbles… Investments, trends and recommendations […]

(Geo-) political anticipation: why Europe must plan ahead positively for tomorrow’s multi-polar, open and fluid world

Where must the EU’s boundaries stop? We often hear this question, but is it still relevant? The will to eventually integrate the Ukraine in the Union is one of the origins of the current crisis with Russia. The issue of reinforcing economic ties with the Ukraine should never have been a problem, however, except that […]

Investments, trends and recommendations

. Invest in expanding one’s business on the Internet . And if the time of public investment returned… . A profession of the future: deconstruction . Digital currencies based on gold We never overestimate enough the magnitude and importance of the internet revolution – that some even call the third industrial revolution. Whether it is […]

NATO, QE, Siriza, the Ukraine, Israel: Highways towards « tomorrow’s world » on the horizon

The terrible 2014 Ukrainian crisis should be understood as an absolute limit beyond which the “world before” disappears no matter what. It will either disappear in the chaos and radicalization of the system which, in doing so, will cease to be itself, or it will disappear by opening up to the new characteristics of the […]