Category: asia
At the start of this issue, we put forward the following hypothesis: Asia may be developing at breakneck speed, but it is ultimately following the same economic model of the West, and Europe in particular, into the crisis we all know about. So instead of looking down their noses at poor Europe, the Asians and […]
2025: Western Sahara, the new investment hotspot! We believe that the Morocco-Algerian disagreement over the Western Sahara will come to an end by 2025. Progress has been slow but steady. In 2020, Trump broke the support – both unconditional and ineffective – of the West as a whole (France, Spain, Europe, the United States, the […]
The BRICS’ difficulties in building a suitably influential financial system can be explained by their internal divisions. In 2026, we expect Asia to take over and lay the foundations for a new regional financial order. In the face of Western control and extraterritorial sanctions, the major Asian powers will create independent infrastructures of international importance. […]
Until now, it has been a question of preventing China from overtaking the United States in terms of technology. In 2025, not only will the West realise that China has already overtaken it, but above all that it is not China but the whole of Asia that has overtaken it: not just in terms of […]
The fundamental principles of the Internet in 1995 included free access and technological democratisation. For the most part, the information highways launched at the time seemed to be offered to the public with a humanistic and humanitarian goal: universal access to knowledge. Then, in 2009, Big Tech began to take control of Web 2.0 (the […]
The transformation of the global landscape is no longer simply a matter of Chinese technological or economic dominance. We are witnessing the emergence of a new world order structured by China, in which technology is just one of the many threads in a complex web woven with remarkable strategic precision. This silent revolution is not […]
While Europeans have their eyes firmly fixed on the headlights of the Trump-Musk duo, China, Vietnam, South Korea, Singapore, Indonesia and Malaysia have just celebrated the start of the Year of the Snake. Sealing in the violence of the preceding Dragon, the Snake symbolises moulting, growth, flexibility, long-term thinking and wisdom. These symbols resonate very […]
Central Asia: Nuclear power as a strategic lever Central Asia, rich in natural resources, is increasingly exploring nuclear power for its energy needs. Kazakhstan, the world’s largest producer of uranium, is aiming to build its first nuclear power station[1], with the support of China. Uzbekistan, which is also rich in uranium, has signed agreements with […]
Many people view digital data as the oil of the 21st century, but the natural resources required to produce it are rare earth elements. Beyond digital technology, rare earths are equally crucial for key sectors such as defense and the ecological transition. Naturally, they will be at the center of geopolitical rivalries between the major […]
The answer that immediately comes to mind is: “China, of course”! But that’s too easy for the GEAB, so we won’t be going down that route in this article. Instead of presenting our hypothesis right away, as we typically do, we prefer to keep you in suspense and take you on a journey. So, what’s […]
Over the next decade, the impact of a downturn, combined with the effects of increased competition, saturation and fatigue, and environmental considerations, all this in the context of a vast questioning of meaning, will lead to a complete repositioning of the European tourism sector. Reality has begun to remind Europe of the unsustainable nature of […]
Contrary to the feverish dreams of officials in Brussels and our capitals, fuelled by the prospect of an exponential growth in the global flow of tourists, the EU will soon cease to be the world’s main tourist destination. We anticipate that, in 2025, Europe will lose its leading position to Asia. Over the next decade, […]
European Tourism 2020-2030: The improbable alliance between tourism and protectionism Contrary to the feverish dreams of officials in Brussels and our capitals, fuelled by the prospect of an exponential growth in the global flow of tourists, the EU will soon cease to be the world’s main tourist destination. We anticipate that, in 2025, Europe will […]