Home Europeans on alert! Major uncertainties across the Atlantic (recovery plan, inflation, defence)

GEAB 152

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Feb 2021

Europeans on alert! Major uncertainties across the Atlantic (recovery plan, inflation, defence)

In our January Panorama of trends for 2021,[1] we mentioned that the US was the main question mark on our map of the future. Part of this dark spot was coming from the fact that Joe Biden had not even taken office on January 15 and it was yet difficult to grasp the reality of his good intentions. On that specific point, things have began to lighten up. But the change of administration is not the only factor of uncertainty coming from the US. On economic, political and geopolitical levels, the world will see great surprises that we try to pinpoint in this article. Indeed, Europe must be particularly vigilant to all risks of economic, financial and geopolitical conflagration, and finish freeing itself from its transatlantic ties, while paying close attention to its own personal demons.

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Contents

Particularly three phenomena concur to the distortion of our collective understanding of reality: the economic and mobility slowdown, the collapse of information systems linked to the pandemic, and the election [...]

In March 2019 our teams published a Reader’s Digest of the anticipations found on the net with the first key date of 2020 for which some analysts had announced the [...]

2020 has been particularly difficult for the European space industry. Besides the suffering from the COVID-19 crisis, the European space economy is also suffering from several other shortcomings. Today, we [...]

Many of us have grown up in countries where access to water is taken for granted; where a constant and secure supply of clean water has become the norm. Safe [...]

It's time to update our "money digitalisation" trend. If everything has taken the direction we anticipated two years ago,   these experiments seem to have a hard time coming out [...]

- > Currencies: Landslide - > Oil: Fire-exposed - > Raw materials: Heavy stuff - > Big Tech: Turnaround in sight - > Pharma: Run away - > Beijing Olympic [...]

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