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The World After: The emergence of the Sovereign Digital Citizen

Digital data is the new black gold; the adage is familiar, but the stakes involved less so. With the COVID-19 pandemic, the world has achieved a two-year digital transformation within two months, says Satya Nadella, head of Microsoft. [1] In fact, the numbers are dizzying: before the health crisis, the Zoom videoconferencing platform had some […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (May 2020)

Insurances – The end of the system as we knew it According to Lloyd’s of London, the insurance industry will have to pay out $203 billion this year and professionals reckon that this pandemic represents the biggest catastrophe their sector has ever suffered. This economic crisis will be coupled with an existential crisis linked to […]

GEAB 145 Synopsis – What New World Order?

The pandemic curves are flattening, European countries are slowly emerging from the containment phase and a new landscape is about to be revealed, whose main features we will try to glimpse to help you find your way more quickly and effectively in this “world after”. The task is threefold: to identify the major societal trends […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (March 2020)

Markets/financial products – Do we really need to mention this?  You don’t need our insight to realise this, but for the sake of clarity: it’s time to stay away from the financial markets. The strength of the evidence for this says a lot about the psychology of investors and its outlook for the market. Don’t […]

The challenge of the institutionalisation of cryptocurrencies

While the wave of buzz and hype around cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies, is running out of steam among people in general,[1] the movement that has emerged remains robust. The versatility of the technology, its deployment in a digital context which can quickly reach millions of people, its potentially anonymous character and the place it could […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Apr 2019)

– Smart cities: Fundopolis? – Human-friendliness: Back to basics – Oil: the fly in the ointment – Cryptocurrencies – Cake sharing – Uber – Cheese with holes – Fee-based Internet – Whose turf? – Autonomous vehicles – AI? Yes! But… – Coffee – A Brazilian hostile takeover Smart cities: Fundopolis? The modernisation of cities consists in […]

Coming soon, the GEAB 134 (April edition synopsis)

Uncovering false evidence is one of the missions of the GEAB team. At a time when the European Elections campaign is slowly starting to take off, bringing the migration issue in the forefront, it seems appropriate to take a more detached look at this subject. No, migration flows from Africa to Europe are not expected […]

Coming soon, the February edition of the GEAB (synopsis)

The gradual disappearance of the previous world order’s straitjackets of stability (international organisations, treaties, alliances, various regulations…) is becoming alarming. Will this alarm act as a spur or will it turn out to be a bad counsellor? With the US-Russian exit from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF), uncertainties surrounding US-China trade negotiations, the new […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Nov 2017)

Strategic recommendation: remain covered Even though this GEAB bulletin is optimistic and sees the end of the transition tunnel focused on peace in the Middle East, we shall keep our warning of the last two months: remain covered until the end of the year! We are in the middle of a global geopolitical reconfiguration era, […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (dec 2017)

Bitcoin: in and out Whilst maintaining our recommendation to be extremely cautious on Bitcoin, we suggest to those who wish to test it one simple method: buy an amount of Bitcoins which you are ready to lose and resell it as soon as it reaches the value you have previously targeted; take another amount you […]

An evaluation of our anticipations for 2017 (drawn from GEAB No 111 of January 2017): 75% successful

Each year in December, we release an assessment of our trend expectations presented last January. This time, we end up with a final score of 27 out of 36, meaning a 75% success, exactly the same percentage as in 2016. Currencies Dollar – End of the exceptional status: 1 « As we saw two months ago, […]

A roaring 120th: Evaluation 2017, Bitcoin, Israel… Somewhere between dream and nightmare

Dear readers, Another year is ending. The 12th year for us… and for some of you as GEAB readers. As it goes with Decembers, it is time to take a break, to ponder the road we have travelled, to question the relevance of pursuing, and to ask ourselves what research orientations to give to this […]

Listening to the weak signals of trends: our selection

– Iran … Germany, France and Norway have signed a series of contracts with Iran. They are not the only ones in Europe[1], despite the warnings and the risks which potential North American sanctions pose to European companies contravening the US policy[2]. The amounts of those contracts are significant and they refer to diverse sectors, […]