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GEAB 152

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Feb 2021

Investments, trends and recommendations (Febr 2021)

– > Currencies: Landslide

– > Oil: Fire-exposed

– > Raw materials: Heavy stuff

– > Big Tech: Turnaround in sight

– > Pharma: Run away

– > Beijing Olympic Games: Benchmark

 

Currencies: Landslide

According to our team, there is little doubt to be seen in the downward trend of the US dollar in 2021. This will have a considerable impact on the composition of the Forex: currencies pegged to the dollar could question their strategy, the number of swap agreements with the Yuan could increase, new currencies will appear (such as the Aber – a regional digital currency in the Middle East) … One should be prepared for major upheavals on the currencies front in 2021… even if, in the coming weeks, the likely announcement of the adoption of the American stimulus plan should see the greenback rebound.

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In summary

Particularly three phenomena concur to the distortion of our collective understanding of reality: the economic and mobility slowdown, the collapse of information systems linked to the pandemic, and the election [...]

In our January Panorama of trends for 2021, we mentioned that the US was the main question mark on our map of the future. Part of this dark spot was [...]

In March 2019 our teams published a Reader’s Digest of the anticipations found on the net with the first key date of 2020 for which some analysts had announced the [...]

2020 has been particularly difficult for the European space industry. Besides the suffering from the COVID-19 crisis, the European space economy is also suffering from several other shortcomings. Today, we [...]

Many of us have grown up in countries where access to water is taken for granted; where a constant and secure supply of clean water has become the norm. Safe [...]

It's time to update our "money digitalisation" trend. If everything has taken the direction we anticipated two years ago,   these experiments seem to have a hard time coming out [...]

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