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Bitcoin halving, very short-term positioning Following on from our article on the recovery of Bitcoin by the United States, we recommend that you continue to position yourself for the very short term. Although in the long term, as demonstrated in the article, the United States could take an extreme position on the complete recovery of […]

While two elections capture the world’s attention – the European elections in June and the US presidential election on 5 November – there are other elections on the international calendar that also merit our scrutiny to spot the subtle signals of a changing world landscape. The beginning of the year was marked by the Taiwanese […]

Marie-Hélène Caillol, President of LEAP and author of this article, draws on the work carried out with the Real-Futur Excellence Centre of the INSEEC-MSc business school, (PERF) which she founded and which she has been leading since January 2024 on the theme of “The future of Human performance in Post-ChatGPT Corporations”. The arrival of ChatGPT […]

In its counter-attack, the American e-Empire cannot ignore its chosen weapon: the dollar. It is impossible to reinvent American power and its domination of the global system without reinventing the hegemony of its currency. With Big Tech gaining the upper hand over American political power, it is only natural that the reinvention of its monetary […]

The debate over whether the heads of the largest US technology companies or successive US Presidents wield the most power has persisted for many years. While the ascendance of the private sector is undeniable, with the market capitalisation or revenue of these companies now surpassing the GDP of most states, the balance of power has […]

The decline of the United States’ power in recent years has been widely acknowledged. Our team, in this bulletin, was among the first to extensively discuss the emergence of a multipolar world and the gradual erosion of American hegemony over the rest of the world. This trend was so obvious that even Americans themselves were […]

© Kerozen Concept (AI generated image) In a world where upheavals are occurring with increasing frequency, it’s easy to value the constants. The American presidential elections are always a thrilling soap opera. The motherland of Hollywood knows how to captivate the attention of the rest of the world, and this season is no exception. With the traditional […]

War has a long future ahead of it In line with our article on Europe and Ukraine, we believe that the defence industry has a long and bright future ahead. And as Europe’s strategy to revive the industry will benefit the sector’s majors in the short term, we can only advise you, with a touch […]

She is the muse of American youth, as well as European (and not just English-speaking) and, of course, global youth. Her videos have hundreds of millions of views, her albums have topped the box-office charts (and have done so for more than a decade), she is one of the biggest contributors to the recording industry […]

While two hot controversial conflicts, Ukraine/Russia and Israel/Gaza, are setting the world ablaze on our doorstep, the primary actors involved are unwilling to engage in peace negotiations unless their adversary is completely defeated. In the case of Ukraine and Russia, this stance remains unless significant changes occur, such as the disappearance of Putin. Similarly, regarding […]

More than 30,000 civilians have been killed in the ongoing Israeli attack on Gaza[1], yet every ceasefire resolution at the UN Security Council continues to be blocked by US veto, while the General Assembly condemns the Israeli bombardment of Gaza by an unprecedented majority. The history of the UN Security Council itself demonstrates the dysfunctionality […]

Impossible relaunch of the European defence industry, political and social confrontations, strategic disagreements, diplomatic differences… “Until now, Europe has been built out of crises”. This has been a historically verifiable motto. The conflict in Ukraine, however, will be the crisis that proves this motto wrong, and even brings the edifice crashing down on itself. The […]

© Kerozen Concept (AI generated image) Will the European project survive the Orwellian moment in which it finds itself entangled? The European Union, long asserting itself as the sole guarantor of peace on the continent, now appears ready to deploy its operations in service of war, all in the name of securing peace, of course. […]

Oil: Break the prices and we’ll break you Expensive oil will be the norm in 2024. The GEAB has always believed that the arrival of the United States as the world’s leading oil producer would be short-lived due to a lack of sustainable reserves. The fracking sector is in crisis and private operators are buying […]

This month, our reader’s look on the future digs into technology and medicine through the AI and digital tools, only to get back to our most basic needs: health and human relationship.  Philip Choban, the CEO of Telios Care, a Romanian telehealth specialised company, shares with us his insights on the future of healthcare, health […]

Hit by the Western mega-crisis, with all escape routes blocked, Germany must reinvent urgently its economic model to stop its decline. After the Allied victory over Hitler, the US and other Western Allies established the Federal Republic of Germany to harness German economic power[1] against the Soviet Union[2]. However, the 500-year-old Western model failed to […]

We find ourselves precisely where we depicted the painful and violent transition to the world after, with what we referred to as the return of the logic of force in our GEAB178 of 15 October 2023. This situation aligns with the scenario we dared to describe in GEAB 133 of 15/03/2019: “Second quarter 2019: Epilogue […]

Egypt lies at the crossroads of trade routes, providing a link between two major regions: North Africa and the Arab countries. This strategic geographical position puts Egypt, in North Africa, in direct contact with the Middle East, while at the same time bordering one of the world’s most important shipping routes, the Suez Canal. These […]