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Structural Trends in the Global Systemic Crisis (multipolarisation)

MULTIPOLARISATION: what is it? Since 2006, the GEAB’s mission has been to analyse the very large systemic transition in which the world is struggling in order to anticipate its next turns and help its readers to make the right adaptation decisions in due time. This work is based on what we call ‘interpretive railways’ that […]

Sex-Family-Reproduction: Recommendations

Build Noah’s arks… quickly! As we have seen, there is something eminently Nietzschean about the visions[1] of the future emerging under ​the Anglo-Saxon revolution, in terms of sex, gender, family and reproduction.[2] Like Nietzsche, they[3] rejected the principles of Christian morality… even if, unlike Nietzsche, they conceived a kind of Christian anti-morality, an inverted Manicheism where […]

Human genetic engineering: augmented humanity as a legacy?

When anticipations are being regularly published, as is the case of the GEAB, “the future is already here” is a very innocent phrase. Although, it rarely resonates as eloquently as it does when we speak of the modification of the human genome: acquiring control over the DNA of an unborn person, i.e., controlling the biological […]

The “traditional” family in 2040: marrying freedom with stability

The traditional family model has been changing dramatically over the past few decades. Originally (until only a few decades or years ago[1]), family was defined as a lasting union (marriage) between a man and a woman with the intention of procreation. However, expanding personal freedoms of the constitutive parts of the family has resulted in […]

Sexuality 21 – And Sex Became Art…

The differentiation between sex and reproduction, characteristic of human beings, is not new. Indeed, if humans have learned to control their fertility, they have never been fully able to control their sexual impulses… We can even consider that the more they have tried to control them, the more “bizarre” they have become from nature’s point […]

Sex, Family, Reproduction XXI: Artificialisation, how far will it go?

The process of distancing man from nature was inaugurated a very long time ago, perhaps when he invented fire, or even before that, when he invented the first tools. The speed at which humans have extracted themselves from nature has been exponential: very slowly for millennia; more rapidly from the invention of historical memory by […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Jun 2021)

Cryptocurrencies – Caught in the crossfire // Sport – Big changes ahead // Inflation/currencies – The great waltz // Consumption – After the greenwashing, here comes the localwashing // Oil – Change on the horizon in Venezuela  ______________________________ Cryptocurrencies – Caught in the crossfire The crypto war is getting organized. On one side: rich states, […]

Consequences of US stimulus on emerging economies: an Indian perspective

The author of this analysis is an Indian member of our network of contributors. He casts an emerging country’s glance on these huge American stimulus plans. The over $5 trillion stimulus plans signed by US Presidents Donald Trump and Joe Biden are aimed to boost consumer confidence, rebuild infrastructures and fuel the US economy to […]

España 2050 Strategy Paper – A broken promise

The Espana 2050[1] project, presented by the Sanchez government on the 20th of May, brings together, in the form of 9 challenges, 50 objectives and 200 proposals,[2] a set of reform measures in the fields of education, healthcare, taxes, employment, pensions and environment, setting out the framework for a 30-year national strategy for Spain.[3] Produced […]

Global political scene 2021-2025: Welcome to the “tech-politics” era

Trump was the seal of the populists’ era born in the wake of the gigantic crises of the last decade: Putin, Erdogan, Trump, Bolsonaro, Johnson… More fear than harm in the end. Yet, a new era is beginning, the nature of which Israel has just indicated, as anticipated by us: the techno-radicals are here. Enough […]

Very Big Systemic Trend – Demographics, the mother of change

Demographics are the “mother of change”. Indeed, the successive resizing of the global population is at the origin of the imperatives to transform the political-techno-economic systems that organise the human community. For example, the Industrial Revolution created an era of shared prosperity which represented social progress in its early stages (allowing a very primitive and […]

A timeline of the UK trade negotiations

The concept of Global Britain was formulated in the early months following the 2016 referendum on the UK’s decision to exit the EU. Theresa May and her teams have been using it as an umbrella term for the country’s aspirations to strengthen its global (and European) influence once separated from the 27 member states. In […]

Global Britain-China 2021-2024: The fundamental systemic rivalry

As Biden puts the kibosh on US anti-China rhetoric – by reversing Trump’s actions against TikTok and WeChat,[1] for example – our team anticipates that a far more fundamental systemic rivalry will soon become evident: that between the UK and China. And make no mistake: the forces at play are far less unbalanced than they […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (May 2021)

Crypto-currencies: Maximum mistrust // Dollar : Standardisation // Technology stocks: Too virtual // Iron ore: Volatility in sight // Oil: Agility, security //  If the “back to basics” trend that we have been observing for several months starts to dominate, as our research on energy and commodities seems to suggest, here is a new set […]

Sign of the times – Berlusconi clan takes control of European media

One piece of business news with political significance: French and Italian media giants Vivendi (Bolloré) and Mediaset (Berlusconi) are throwing in the towel on their differences, each going their own way.[1] The end of the feud allows the Italian group to move forward with its great ambition: the Media for Europe project[2], merging its Italian […]

Iron ore 2026: Guinea at the core of the emergence of a new market

The price of the 2nd most traded commodity (oil being number one[1]) is soaring. At a time of recovery and infrastructure plans, and illustrating the “back to basics” trend, iron ore is the object of all sorts of lusts. While some incumbent interests prefer to optimise their margins by letting prices rise, others are working […]

2025-2030: Back to “nuclear reason”

To tackle a subject as complex as energy, the LEAP teams called on the collective intelligence of the GEAB, through the GEAB Café of 20 April, and the active participation of Greg de Temmerman and other discreet contributors, whom we warmly thank for assistance. If you wish to also take part in this type of […]

Future Energy Technology – A Timeline

Our universe is an ever-changing web of abundant energy, it is a central aspect of life and all human activity. Yet if we see energy through the lens of our economic activity, it appears as a limited commodity. In this future energy technology timeline, we wish to cast a look at the current energy transition, […]