Home Investments, trends and recommendations (Jun 2021)

GEAB 156

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Jun 2021

Investments, trends and recommendations (Jun 2021)

Cryptocurrencies – Caught in the crossfire // Sport – Big changes ahead // Inflation/currencies – The great waltz // Consumption – After the greenwashing, here comes the localwashing // Oil – Change on the horizon in Venezuela 

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Cryptocurrencies – Caught in the crossfire

The crypto war is getting organized. On one side: rich states, their central banks, private banks; on the other, emerging or developing economies, decentralised finance (DeFi), people.

On the side of the rich: on the one hand China is banning cryptos to impose its own central bank digital currency; on the other, Europe and the US are preventing people from taking refuge from inflation in cryptos while their CBDMs are not ready; on a third side, private banks have everything to lose from crypto-currencies as well as from CBDMs but for the time being they pretend to be allied with the States while looking for a way out of this bad situation… or adjusting to it.[1]

On the side of the poor and emerging countries, we find a growing concern of currency devaluation that will impact them first, prompting them to get out of dependence on currencies that are not theirs anyway: El Salvador, [2] Tanzania,[3] India soon maybe[4]

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Contents

As Biden puts the kibosh on US anti-China rhetoric - by reversing Trump's actions against TikTok and WeChat, for example - our team anticipates that a far more fundamental systemic [...]

The concept of Global Britain was formulated in the early months following the 2016 referendum on the UK's decision to exit the EU. Theresa May and her teams have been [...]

Demographics are the “mother of change”. Indeed, the successive resizing of the global population is at the origin of the imperatives to transform the political-techno-economic systems that organise the human [...]

Trump was the seal of the populists’ era born in the wake of the gigantic crises of the last decade: Putin, Erdogan, Trump, Bolsonaro, Johnson... More fear than harm in [...]

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The author of this analysis is an Indian member of our network of contributors. He casts an emerging country’s glance on these huge American stimulus plans. The over $5 trillion [...]

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