Home Very Big Systemic Trend – Demographics, the mother of change

GEAB 156

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Jun 2021

Very Big Systemic Trend – Demographics, the mother of change

Demographics are the “mother of change”. Indeed, the successive resizing of the global population is at the origin of the imperatives to transform the political-techno-economic systems that organise the human community. For example, the Industrial Revolution created an era of shared prosperity which represented social progress in its early stages (allowing a very primitive and isolated rural population to socialise, get access to better education and care). But this prosperity provoked a demographic surge that soon put the model into disarray, crushed under a plethoric workforce, causing wages to collapse, defeating the model of prosperity and inducing a series of transformational crises between the 1870s and 1945. The Second World War was the ultimate crisis that allowed a new model to be established, based on consumption rather than labour, and assumed to be sustainable since the more people there were, the more wealth would be created. This era has allowed a new demographic boom that is now causing the model to run up against planetary boundaries.[1]

Comments

To leave a comment sign up now
Contents

As Biden puts the kibosh on US anti-China rhetoric - by reversing Trump's actions against TikTok and WeChat, for example - our team anticipates that a far more fundamental systemic [...]

The concept of Global Britain was formulated in the early months following the 2016 referendum on the UK's decision to exit the EU. Theresa May and her teams have been [...]

Trump was the seal of the populists’ era born in the wake of the gigantic crises of the last decade: Putin, Erdogan, Trump, Bolsonaro, Johnson... More fear than harm in [...]

The Espana 2050 project, presented by the Sanchez government on the 20th of May, brings together, in the form of 9 challenges, 50 objectives and 200 proposals, a set of [...]

The author of this analysis is an Indian member of our network of contributors. He casts an emerging country’s glance on these huge American stimulus plans. The over $5 trillion [...]

Cryptocurrencies – Caught in the crossfire // Sport - Big changes ahead // Inflation/currencies - The great waltz // Consumption - After the greenwashing, here comes the localwashing // Oil [...]

Related articles
GEAB
15 May 2021

Energy, raw materials: Will there be enough for everyone?

#energy #Raw materials #systemic #world

The post-Covid world is multipolar, with at least three of the major poles competing for mineral resources and industrial production. Until recently, this competition was mainly reserved for the western [...]

GEAB
15 Dec 2020

Organised Crime, Terrorism, Espionage and Hackers… – Should we be Afraid of an Underworld Resurgence?

#Crypto #hackers #mafia #secret #terrorism #trend

Last month, thanks to our junior team, we explored the mysteries of the cyber world. This first visit was very fruitful and is already taking us to a new set [...]

GEAB
15 Sep 2019

Future demographics: questioning certainties

#demographics #governance #society

In developed nations, there is a clear trend to living longer and having fewer children. Certain countries have countered this trend through (planned or unplanned) immigration, but this approach also [...]